538 lied and raised cash for Democrats
Posted By: earlybird, 11/2/2022 6:32:08 PM
N8 Ag (Nate Silver) of 538's refusal to concede that Democrats had no chance of keeping the House in the midterm elections puzzled me. Come on. Republicans just need to take 5 measly seats. But N8 opened his forecast season on June 1 by saying Democrats had a 14% chance of keeping the House. He refused to lower it to the <1% chance that history and Biden's miserable approval ratings dictated.(snip)N8 is merely following the Democrat Narrative which says abortion turned white suburban moms against Republicans and passage of the Inflation Reduction Act (the Green New Deal) will gin up Democrat enthusiasm next week. Every media outlet including Fox promoted this nonsensical
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earlybird"
Will Biden Gamble on a Ukraine Coalition?
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When Napoleon Bonaparte began his 1812 campaign to conquer Russia, he led the largest “coalition of the willing” in history. (snip)Today, the Biden White House appears to be considering the use of a multinational force aimed at Russia. The NATO alliance is unable to reach a unanimous decision to intervene militarily in support of Ukraine in its war with Russia. But as signaled recently by David Petraeus, the president and his generals are evaluating their own “coalition of the willing.” The coalition would allegedly consist of primarily, but not exclusively, Polish and Romanian forces, with the U.S. Army at its core, for employment in Ukraine.
A Wisconsin judge on Wednesday dealt a blow to a group in the state who hoped to change rules governing absentee ballots, denying their request that local election clerks accept absentee ballots that contain partial addresses of witnesses.
Dane County Circuit Judge Juan Colas said in his ruling (pdf) that in the past 56 years that Wisconsin elections have been conducted, and absentee ballots counted, they have apparently been done so “without a legally binding definition of the witness address.”
The judge noted that the nearly 60 years of precedent was enough to determine whether an absentee ballot has enough of a witness address to count.
I have never considered that my patronage of a business, or the lack thereof, would make or break the enterprise. So, I find it amusing that D-list celebrities believe their threats to leave Twitter could make any difference when it comes to the company’s bottom line.
This week, stars who haven’t been relevant in years, such as Toni Braxton and Sara Bareilles, announced that they would leave Twitter in the wake of its purchase by SpaceX founder Elon Musk. Braxton, who last had a Billboard 100 hit in the 1990s, said she was leaving because she saw “hate speech” on the platform since the acquisition late last week. Bareilles, who I
Most people are unaware that in this senate election cycle New York Senator and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer is up for reelection. National media have ignored mentioning the Schumer -vs- Pinion race. Few people, even those in New York, realize that Chuck Schumer is on the ballot next week.
Republican candidates in New York are surging and there is a potential, slight though it might be, for Schumer to be defeated in his race. If every New York state voter that supports Republican gubernatorial candidate Lee Zeldin also votes for New York Senate Republican candidate Joe Pinion, there is a path for Schumer to be removed from
538 lied and raised cash for Democrats
3 replies
N8 Ag (Nate Silver) of 538's refusal to concede that Democrats had no chance of keeping the House in the midterm elections puzzled me. Come on. Republicans just need to take 5 measly seats.
But N8 opened his forecast season on June 1 by saying Democrats had a 14% chance of keeping the House. He refused to lower it to the <1% chance that history and Biden's miserable approval ratings dictated.(snip)N8 is merely following the Democrat Narrative which says abortion turned white suburban moms against Republicans and passage of the Inflation Reduction Act (the Green New Deal) will gin up Democrat enthusiasm next week.
Every media outlet including Fox promoted this nonsensical
Next week, the Supreme Court will have a chance to save the free market economy from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). Even as the court reins in the administrative state, the FTC is advancing new rules and novel theories that stretch the limits of its mandate. Under its progressive chair, Lina Khan, the FTC wants to cancel the gig economy, cripple the ad-supported internet, and address racial justice, rather than simply protect consumers.
In Axon Enterprise v. FTC, the court could take a big step toward cabining the FTC within its statutory and constitutional authority. Axon itself involves a narrow procedural question of whether someone can raise certain constitutional challenges to
Apparently, the San Francisco home of Paul and Nancy Pelosi has real time CCTV security remotely monitored by the Capitol Hill Police.
However, as the story is told, during the attack on Paul Pelosi, no one was watching the CCTV monitors. But it does appear there is a recording.(snip)According to sources, an officer was monitoring the feeds and saw police lights on a dark street outside the Pelosi’s residence. When going through surveillance footage, the officer saw the alleged attack on Oct. 28, when DePape allegedly struck Paul Pelosi, people briefed on the incident said, according to the report. (read more)
The man accused of breaking into the home of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and attacking her 82-year-old husband, Paul, with a hammer was arraigned Tuesday on numerous charges, including attempted murder, assault with a deadly weapon and false imprisonment of an elder.(snip) Separately, on Monday, the Justice Department charged DePape with the attempted kidnapping of a federal officer and assault of the immediate family member of a federal officer.(snip)DePape allegedly told authorities he viewed her as “the leader of the pack” of lies told by the Democratic Party.
Pro-impeachment Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) vowed to enable the Democrats’ agenda in her final pitch to Alaskan voters.
“Here’s my commitment to you. I will work with anyone from either party to advance Alaska’s priorities, and I will always stand up to any politician or special interest that threatens our way of life,” she said in the ad released Tuesday. “I’m Lisa Murkowski, and I approve this message. I’d be honored to earn your vote.”
It is not the first time Murkowski pledged to help the Biden administration further its agenda. She stated in September she would help the Biden administration because they are in office.
The U.S. Supreme Court on Nov. 1 blocked Congress from obtaining former President Donald Trump’s tax returns.
Chief Justice John Roberts, a George W. Bush appointee, stayed an appeals court order that had ruled a congressional panel could gain access to the documents.
Trump filed an emergency application on Monday to the Supreme Court, asking it to halt the order.
Roberts’ stay is temporary, pending further developments in the case.
Rep. Richard Neal (D-Mass.), chairman of the House Committee on Ways and Means, has for years been trying to obtain Trump’s returns, asserting that they are necessary as the panel considers possibly updating how audits of presidents are done.
regret to inform the meme makers, the narrative builders, and all those involved in the herculean effort to make Paul Pelosi’s attack suspect into a stand-in for the right-wing boogeyman, the after-party has been canceled.
The pathetic human known as David DePape was, until recently, a public backer of Black Lives Matter and LGBTQ causes. At least, that’s what we can surmise by surveying his “home” in Berkeley. DePape had a “Black Lives Matter” sign in the window and an LGBTQ rainbow flag, emblazoned with a marijuana symbol, hanging from a tree outside his house.
Author Michael Schellenberger describes the scene outside DePape’s residence and took a dive into his social media
The man who allegedly attacked the husband of U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) was charged Oct. 31 with assault and attempted kidnapping.
David DePape, 42, was charged with assaulting Paul Pelosi, 82 and attempting to kidnap Nancy Pelosi, 82.(snip)A witness told officers that he saw a person wearing all black and carrying a large black bag walking near the Pelosi residence. Paul Pelosi, meanwhile, said that he was asleep when DePape entered the bedroom and said he wanted to talk to Nancy Pelosi. DePape said that he would wait, even after Paul Pelosi said his wife would not be home for several days.
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Wednesday, NBC reporters Joe Fryer, Savannah Sellers and Jo Yurcaba discussed the impact of voter ID laws on transgender people on NBC News’ free streaming service show “Morning News Now.”
Fryer said, “As Gen Z gears up to hit the polls, transgender voters are concerned they might be blocked from casting their ballots.”
Sellers said, “That is because a growing number of states are enforcing stricter voter identification laws that disproportionally impact the community.”(Snip) because trans people are more likely to have IDs without the name that they go by and the gender marker that reflect how they present.”
MSNBC presidential historian Michael Beschloss on Wednesday night warned that if Republican candidates win their races next week, American democracy and the free press could end, historians may no longer exist, and “our children” could all die at the hands of a “brutal authoritarian system.” President Joe Biden said in his Wednesday night speech that, in the upcoming midterms, “democracy itself is “at stake,” a message that MSNBC’s Chris Hayes and much of the media have been repeating for months. Hayes played clips from the speech, including the president saying that electing certain Republicans is a “path to chaos” —
Republican Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake pushed back Wednesday against a Fox News poll finding nearly half of respondents believe she is “too extreme.”
The poll, conducted along with Beacon Research and Shaw & Company, found 47% of respondents are concerned that Lake’s views are “too extreme,” while 42% hold the view about her opponent, Democrat Katie Hobbs. Over half of the participants, 51%, do not or only somewhat believe Lake is “too extreme.” The poll surveyed 1,003 randomly selected Arizona voters between Oct. 26-30 with a +/- 3% margin of error.
Repugnant co-host of The View, Sunny Hostin, attacked Republican female voters in the lead up to the midterm elections on November 8th. On Thursday’s episode, the angry View harpies discussed the upcoming midterms and co-host Farah Griffin predicted a red wave.
After commenting on a recent polling regarding abortion, Hostin declares, “I read a poll just yesterday that white, Republican, suburban women are now going to vote Republican. It’s almost like roaches voting for Raid, right?”
Hard to imagine what would happen if a White pundit called an entire voting block of Black women roaches,
In her recent article in The Atlantic, a Brown University professor, Emily Oster, is calling for "pandemic amnesty." She is telling me to "forgive and forget" everyone who was yelling obscenities at me for not wearing a mask in a public park or calling me a mass murderer for posting a picture with a friend visiting. I must forget all this, the author insists, because all those people had nothing but my well-being in mind!
The author admits that many (if not most!) measures imposed on us by "the experts" were harmful and destructive.
Shep Smith Reportedly To Be Fired From NBC
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NBCUniversal’s CNBC host and former Fox News anchor Shep Smith has reportedly been terminated from his role as the network undergoes a major shakeup. Senior correspondent at Puck, Dylan Byers, shared the news Thursday afternoon. “SCOOP: NBCUniversal is about to undergo significant layoffs and cost cuts in the weeks ahead, sources familiar tell me. This will start with Shepard Smith and his team,” Byers tweeted. (Snip) Smith’s show, “The News with Shepard Smith,” will be replaced with markets coverage until executives finalize a new live show focusing on business, CNBC reported. Smith will depart the network toward the end of
Former President Trump is calling on Republicans to impeach Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) for "allowing" Democrats to pass their agenda items.
During an interview on Real America News, Trump insisted that the Democratic Party must "have something" on McConnell since he has often made deals with them on the debt ceiling in the past.
"Mitch McConnell keeps allowing [them] to have it. I mean, they ought to impeach Mitch McConnell if he allows that. Frankly, Mitch McConnell, something has to be — they have something on him. How he approves this thing is incredible," Trump said.
With just days until the midterm elections,
HAVANA —
Two former beauty queens, Fabiola Valentín of Puerto Rico and Mariana Valera of Argentina, announced this week that they had secretly married.
The joint Instagram post spurred celebration in LGBTQ communities across Latin America, a region that has historically lagged on gay rights but has made small steps in recent years.
“After deciding to keep our relationship private, we’re opening the doors on this special day, 28/10/22,” Valentín and Valera said in their announcement posted Sunday.
The post includes a video montage of their relationship, including the two on vacations, at bars and on the beach at sunset.
Biden says wife Jill once complained he
was ‘poorest’ man in Congress in latest
fishy tale 21 replies
was ‘poorest’ man in Congress in latest
fishy tale 21 replies
President Biden claimed Thursday that first lady Jill Biden once bitterly snapped at him over his ranking as the “poorest man in Congress” — calling it a “true story” even though it’s unclear if he ever actually earned the superlative.
Biden, who moved into a 10,000-square-foot former DuPont family mansion in 1974 — one year after joining the Senate — told the tale during a New Mexico event focused on his plans to forgive up to $20,000 in student debt per borrower.
The president said that his late son Beau “ended up with [student] debt because I had the dubious distinction of being listed as the poorest man in Congress.”
On its radio broadcast Thursday morning, NPR played audio of a woman undergoing an abortion, complete with disturbing sounds of machinery vacuuming out the unborn child and the mother crying and moaning.
The Michigan woman, whose identity was not revealed, received the procedure at eleven-weeks gestation, the outlet reported. In the audio, a vacuum can be heard suctioning out the unborn child, as well as the woman’s cries and moans. The segment concludes with a doctor telling the patient that the abortion had been completed. Laughter, sighs of relief, and words of moral support followed from the people in the room.
The Pelosi home and neighborhood are lit up with CCTV cameras, around-the-clock security detail, and no doubt, motion detectors everywhere. No one is getting within 100 yards of the Pelosi home without being identified. No one is breaking into that house. You can bet on it.We are supposed to accept that a man walked behind the house unnoticed and hammered on a window in a back door until the glass broke. The glass, by the way, landed outside the house which makes no sense since the force against the window reportedly came from the
Biden ridiculed for 'despicable' speech
on 'threat' to democracy: 'What delusion
looks like' 20 replies
on 'threat' to democracy: 'What delusion
looks like' 20 replies
Conservatives ridiculed President Joe Biden’s "despicable" Wednesday speech in which he warned midterm voters of the threats to democracy ahead of election day. During his last address before the balance of power would be decided in Washington D.C., Biden pleaded with Americans to vote against Republicans, accusing them of being election deniers and MAGA extremists who have encouraged political violence, promoted former President Donald Trump’s "Big Lie" about the 2020 election and engaged in voter intimidation.
Rather than focusing the on main issues voters are most concerned about, namely, rampant inflation and other economic woes, Biden’s speech pointed the finger at his political opponents.