Four ways Trump can get to a 96% chance
of winning
Posted By: Moritz55, 9/15/2024 2:36:35 PM
The 2016 election hinged on 40,000 votes in key Midwest states. This time the margin of victory, or defeat, may be even more dramatic: 10,000 to 20,000 Pennsylvanians – or the student section at a Penn State football game. According to election guru Nate Silver, if former President Donald Trump wins the Keystone State, his chances of winning the White House are 96%. We know Trump’s strengths with men – and his weaknesses with women. Thus, the entire race could hinge on his ability to persuade several thousand women in Pennsylvania to turn his way. Easier said than done, as this election poses new challenges.
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Donald Trump was targeted Sunday in a second apparent assassination attempt in as many months.
An eagle-eyed Secret Service agent reportedly spotted the barrel of a gun in bushes a few hundred yards from where the former president was playing golf and shot at the would-be assassin, who was later arrested.
It’s a frightening development that highlights the recklessness of the hateful rhetoric constantly aimed at Trump by his political opponents, even after he was shot at a rally in Pennsylvania in July. Last week, Kamala Harris falsely accused Trump of calling Nazis “fine people,” promising a “bloodbath,” and being responsible for “the worst attack on our democracy since the Civil War.”
Beware the October Surprise
3 replies
Since I move between worlds and see how stories are covered differently by each side, I was shocked — or maybe not — to catch a few minutes of ABC News after the debate. They were selling extreme fear, extreme hysteria. The conclusion?
A) Trump said the bad thing, B) his supporters obey his every command and now an army of armed Proud Boys Nazi Brown Shirts are going to Springfield to terrorize the Haitians.
We hear “bomb threats” and “shooting threats” yet we never hear the follow-up. We never hear if there was any investigation. The reason? They don’t care if it’s true or not. It’s useful to
“You are entitled to your opinion. But you are not entitled to your own facts.”
That famous line from Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan (D-N.Y.) remains a virtual mantra for politicians and pundits. Yet, judging from the presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, we have officially entered the post-truth political era. ABC News has been widely criticized for the bias of the two moderators Linsey Davis and David Muir. Even liberal outlets acknowledged that the two journalists seemed inclined to “fact check” only Trump. In the meantime, they allowed clearly false statements from Harris go unchallenged.
The 2016 election hinged on 40,000 votes in key Midwest states. This time the margin of victory, or defeat, may be even more dramatic: 10,000 to 20,000 Pennsylvanians – or the student section at a Penn State football game. According to election guru Nate Silver, if former President Donald Trump wins the Keystone State, his chances of winning the White House are 96%. We know Trump’s strengths with men – and his weaknesses with women. Thus, the entire race could hinge on his ability to persuade several thousand women in Pennsylvania to turn his way.
Easier said than done, as this election poses new challenges.
Three American citizens have been sentenced to death in Congo after being convicted on charges of participating in a coup attempt, with one telling a court that his father — who led the failed effort — "had threatened to kill us if we did not follow his orders." A lawyer representing 21-year-olds Marcel Malanga and Tyler Thompson Jr. and 36-year-old Benjamin Reuben Zalman-Polun, is now planning to appeal the verdict following the botched attack orchestrated by Malanga’s father, Christian Malanga, in May that targeted the presidential palace and a close ally of President Felix Tshisekedi
Republican vice presidential candidate JD Vance is irked that a House Judiciary Committee hearing on the Biden-Harris border crisis and its impact on American families on Tuesday was largely ignored by the mainstream media. Many major news outlets ignored testimony from victims of crimes stemming from illegal immigration, including the mother of Jocelyn Nungaray, a 12-year-old girl found strangled to death in Texas in June by two Venezuelan illegal immigrants, according to authorities.
"Kamala Harris' open border policies have taken countless American lives. The liberal media is doing all they can to cover it up, even ignoring the heartbreaking testimony
Too often, lying and politics go hand in hand. But lying to cover up responsibility for the deaths of 13 brave Americans in Afghanistan is reprehensible and dishonors their memory.
Kamala Harris is rewriting history and gaslighting the American public to shift blame from her administration’s failed policy in Afghanistan that created death and chaos and turned that country — and billions of dollars of US military assets — over to the Taliban.
Their failure in Afghanistan led to the destruction of American credibility in the world — and led directly to Iran attacking our ally Israel and Russia invading our ally Ukraine in Europe.
“Come on.”
That was Vice President Harris’ response to Donald Trump in the presidential debate when he pressed her for any gestational limit on abortion.
Would she, he asked, “allow abortion in the eighth month, ninth month, seventh month?”
“Come on,” and a smirk. That’s all she had. That’s because that is, in fact, all she and her running mate, Governor Tim Walz, have when actually forced to come up with any limits on abortion they would support.
They oppose any and all protections for unborn babies and their mothers, including minors, and apparently, babies born alive from botched abortions.
Vice President Kamala Harris is being lauded for her debate performance against former President Donald Trump on Tuesday night, in sharp contrast with President Joe Biden back in June.
The question now becomes whether Harris’s well-executed plan of irritating Trump and joining with the moderators and Trump himself to draw attention to his negatives was what the voters she most needs really wanted.
Trump pollsters Tony Fabrizio and Travis Tunis say that, according to their data from the top seven battleground states, the answer is no. “We found that despite the best efforts of Kamala Harris and [the] media to portray the debate as
ABC News rebuked by pro-life group, asked
for correction of abortion claim by debate moderator 5 replies
for correction of abortion claim by debate moderator 5 replies
A prominent pro-life group isn’t happy with ABC News over its hosting of Tuesday’s presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump. Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America on Wednesday sent a letter to ABC News president Almin Karamehmedovic and debate moderators David Muir and Linsey Davis that urges them to issue a correction and meet with abortion survivors over a viral moment where Davis fact-checked Trump.
"[The] ABC News Presidential Debate featured network moderator Linsey Davis attempting to debunk former President Trump's assertion that some states allow for the killing of an infant after birth," Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America president Marjorie Dannenfelser wrote
Time magazine was forced to correct its coverage of the ABC News Presidential Debate after implying former President Trump’s statement that Vice President Kamala Harris supported free gender transition treatment for detained migrants was "false." During the ABC News Presidential Debate Tuesday night, Trump remarked on Harris’ old position as one of many left-wing issues she appeared to have walked back on since running for president.
"Now she wants to do transgender operations on illegal aliens who are in prison," Trump said.
Though Harris pledged she would support taxpayer-funded gender care for detained migrants in an ACLU candidate questionnaire during her first presidential campaign, TIME Magazine first reported the statement as "false."
Haile Selassie, Ethiopia's former emperor, was dethroned 50 years ago. The king, who befriended leaders in the US, Europe and China, left a mixed legacy in his home country. On September 12, 1974, Haile Selassie, Ethiopia's last monarch, met with a delegate from a newly formed military committee called the Derg at his palace in Addis Ababa. The meeting was the Derg's final step to overthrowing the imperial regime.
Representatives of the delegate addressed Haile Selassie as "your Majesty" and "humbly begged" for him to move to a designated place for his health and security.
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House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) took to X on Sunday to decry what he called “extreme MAGA Republicans,” adding, “We must stop them.” Notably, Jeffries made this declaration an hour after former President Donald Trump survived a second assassination attempt on his life.
“Extreme MAGA Republicans are the party of a national abortion ban and Trump’s Project 2025,” Jeffries said in a Sunday X post, adding, “We must stop them.” [Tweet]
The Democrat House Minority Leader expressed these sentiments an hour after President Trump’s campaign announced that he was safe following gunfire transpiring in his vicinity.
“President Trump is safe following gunshots in his vicinity,”
JD Vance's childcare plan ticked off some
parents and grandparents. There's a way
to fix it. 27 replies
parents and grandparents. There's a way
to fix it. 27 replies
Linda C., a retired deputy sheriff in California, considers herself politically independent.
She voted for former President Donald Trump in 2016 and then for President Joe Biden in 2020. But this year, she feels strongly about supporting the Democratic ticket, largely because of the stances Republicans, including Trump's running mate, Sen. JD Vance, have taken on childcare.
She was particularly perturbed by Vance's recent suggestion that grandparents and other family members "help out a little bit more" with childrearing to relieve the burden of childcare costs.
Reverend Dr. Jacqui Lewis said on MSNBC’s broadcast of “The Saturday Show” that former President Donald Trump is “exactly like” Nazi leader Adolf Hitler.
Host Jonathan Capehart said, “Give me your response to what Donald Trump is doing?”
Lewis said, “It’s outrageous but expected by an authoritarian who wants to take us to Nazi Germany. We exploited racism, fascism to Nazi Germany. We know how to do it.”
She continued, “Let’s not pretend that Donald Trump isn’t exactly like Mussolini, exactly like Hitler, he is that guy. I want to say something to the American people. I live in a neighborhood, Jonathan.
The potato has returned. Brian Stelter is back on the air at CNN and it’s almost like he never left.
During a recent segment on Kamala Harris, Stelter suggested that the image of Harris as the young ‘hope and change’ candidate is more important than anything she actually says about what she would do as president.
He also cheered for the image of Harris speaking at rallies. Has anyone told Brian that the campaign has to bus people in for these events?
Breitbart News reports:
Did Ryan Routh have inside info on Trump’s
movements? Ex-FBI official calls possibility ‘scary’ 22 replies
movements? Ex-FBI official calls possibility ‘scary’ 22 replies
The alleged would-be assassin arrested for targeting Donald Trump while he golfed in Florida may have been given inside information about the former president’s schedule, according to an ex-FBI official who called the possibility “scary.”
Chris Swecker, a retired FBI assistant director, told Newsweek that the feds and other law enforcement will be probing how the suspect, Ryan Wesley Routh, 58, allegedly appeared to know Trump would be at his golf club in West Palm Beach, Fla., on Sunday.
“The biggest question to answer is: ‘How did the would-be assassin know to be at that location at that time?'” said Swecker, who worked on FBI criminal investigations.
The U.S. Navy commissioned a new submarine on Saturday, the first vessel in its fleet designed to fully integrate male and female sailors. (snip) The USS New Jersey was designed for two genders from the outset with accommodations like increased privacy in washrooms and sleeping areas, Vice Admiral Robert Gaucher, commander of Submarine Forces Atlantic, told NorthJersey.com. Access to top bunks and overhead valves were also designed with the height, reach and strength of women in mind. The nuclear-powered submarine was unofficially nicknamed "Jersey Girl," and its interior spaces decorated with posters and memorabilia representing the state, including a guitar signed by Jon Bon Jovi, the news outlet reported.
A campaign speech by Minnesota first lady Gwen Walz, in which she used a sweeping hand gesture to say "bye bye" and "turn the page" on former President Trump energized a Wisconsin audience, but induced cringes elsewhere.
Gwen Walz was slammed as the "living embodiment of Trump Derangement Syndrome" for a stump speech for her husband, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, and Vice President Kamala Harris in Wisconsin on Saturday.
In the speech, Gwen Walz cited Harris’ debate performance last week and how she repeatedly said the election is the time to "turn the page" on the current political climate.
The alleged gunman who authorities said targeted former President Trump while he golfed in Florida Sunday afternoon previously declared on social media that “Democracy is on the ballot” this year, and “we cannot lose” — echoing the anti-Trump rhetoric used by Vice President Kamala Harris and President Biden.
Law enforcement sources identified the suspect as Ryan Wesley Routh, 58.
Routh, who has a lengthy criminal record from North Carolina, frequently posted about politics and exclusively donated to Democratic candidates and causes dating back to 2019.
The wife of a former impeachment witness against President Donald Trump in 2019 downplayed the second assassination attempt on Sunday afternoon.
“No ears were harmed. Carry on with your Sunday afternoon,” Rachel Vindman, the wife of Alexander Vindman, posted on X.
You can use this: The post repulsed GOP strategist and Trump campaign adviser Chris LaCivita, who called on the candidate to denounce his wife’s words.
“Her husband …a candidate for VA 7 …should condemn immediately,” LaCivita posted to X, mistaking Alexander Vindman for his brother, Eugene Vindman, who is running for the open seat in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District.
That seat is being left vacant by Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.).
There is a great irony in a certain autistic Swedish teenager who wants to save the planet from the evils of fossil fuel but is, at the same time, willing to turn over a significant portion of that planet to Bronze Age barbarians who care as much about the environment as they do women's rights.
But that's the case. The Swedish teenager in question is the Swedish Doom Pixie, Greta Thunberg, and in recognition of her support of Hamas, she has been named "Antisemite of the Week" by a group called StopAntisemitism. "Climate activist Greta Thunberg was named 'Antisemite of the Week' by a Jewish group following her arrest at
New images reveal the backpack, GoPro camera and AK-47 style rifle that a gunman left behind when fleeing the scene where he was targeting Donald Trump.
Law enforcement held a press conference in West Palm Beach on Sunday after the FBI announced it is investigating a second assassination attempt against Donald Trump in just two months.
The former president was rushed to safety on Sunday after multiple shots were fired in his vicinity while he was playing golf at his club in West Palm Beach.
The son of Ryan Wesley Routh, the man named as the suspect in a possible assassination attempt near Donald Trump's Florida golf club on Sunday, has said his father is not a violent person and did not even believe him to own a gun.
Wesley's son, Oran Routh, reached by DailyMail.com shortly after Sunday's shooting, said this was the first he'd heard of the alleged assassination attempt.
'This was the first I heard about it,' the 35-year-old exclusively told DailyMail.com. 'Was my father shot or injured?'