Will Kamala Harris lose the popular vote?
Posted By: Moritz55, 11/4/2024 5:21:58 PM
Kamala Harris isn’t just on track to lose the election; she could lose the popular vote too. Two self-reinforcing voter trends are conspiring against Harris. One is that Republican mail-in ballots could further strengthen the Trump surge that has closed the last two presidential elections, allowing him to outperform his polling. The other is that, as it becomes increasingly clear Harris can’t win, her untested supporters don’t turn out to vote. Together, these trends could make reality what seemed unthinkable just weeks ago. No Republican presidential candidate has won the popular vote since 2004.
people like this.
people like this.
people like this.
people like this.
people like this.
Below, you will find ...
Most Recent Articles posted by "Moritz55"
and
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
Most Recent Articles posted by
Moritz55"
Save Yourselves. Vote for Donald Trump
3 replies
Voters across the pond are quickly realizing what a massive mistake they made by electing Sir Keir Starmer’s far-left, Labour government in the United Kingdom. America, you cannot afford to follow suit.
It’s only been three months since the left-wing Labour government took over from the corrupted ‘Conservative’ party and already taxes are soaring, crime – especially in major cities – is rampant, and mass migration continues to climb ever upward. The sleaze in the heart of government is part of our daily conversation, and I can’t help but look over at America and think to myself, “Gosh, I hope they aren’t going to go the same way.”
Kamala Harris isn’t just on track to lose the election; she could lose the popular vote too.
Two self-reinforcing voter trends are conspiring against Harris. One is that Republican mail-in ballots could further strengthen the Trump surge that has closed the last two presidential elections, allowing him to outperform his polling. The other is that, as it becomes increasingly clear Harris can’t win, her untested supporters don’t turn out to vote. Together, these trends could make reality what seemed unthinkable just weeks ago.
No Republican presidential candidate has won the popular vote since 2004.
The New York Times Tech Guild that represents hundreds of the giant newspaper's tech staffers went on strike on Monday, one day before Election Day. The guild said in a statement that members would begin protesting outside the Times headquarters on a daily basis, beginning at 9 a.m. on Monday, according to the New York Times.
The planned walkout came after a vote on Sept. 10 to go on strike at a critical juncture if a deal wasn't made: Election Week.
Not a single Democrat I speak with believes that Vice President Kamala Harris will win on Tuesday.
All hoped for an open convention in August to identify and select the best candidate possible, but they were denied. To that point, this past Thursday, The Hill featured a piece headlined, “Democrats start to point fingers even as they hope for Harris win.” A Democratic strategist is quoted as saying, “People are nervous, and they’re trying to cover their ass and get a little ahead of Election Day. It’s based on anxiety, stakes and the unique nature of this cycle. We didn’t have a traditional process for this election.
Kamala Harris and the tyranny of experts
4 replies
One could be forgiven for not noticing, but Vice President Kamala Harris did make her campaign’s closing argument speech Tuesday night in Washington, D.C. To be fair, the little notice it received is not entirely her fault, for as she was making her remarks to a big crowd, President Joe Biden was making his own remarks, calling all Trump supporters “garbage,” which drew everyone’s attention away from Harris.
Harris’s speech nevertheless deserves attention. This is not because it was an exception but because it was an entirely pedestrian and unexceptional dribble of words that could have been given by any other Democrat in the last 100 years.
The Democrats Deserve to Lose
1 reply
The Democrats have been chasing the dragon for so long even they don’t know what they stand for anymore. Shaped by identity politics and social justice, Kamala Harris sure looks the part. But peel back even the surface layer, and there’s nothing - just the failed dreams of a utopia gone wrong.
No one says it better than Kenneth L. Khachigian at the Wall Street Journal:
Ms. Harris was unprepared to enter the rough and tumble of national politics and at the 11th hour relies on being propped up, as she has throughout her career, by patrons—Barack Obama, his operatives and a national media that is predominantly desperate to prevent Mr. Trump
Vice President Kamala Harris and Democrats claim they are the party of freedom. In Harris’ interview on Club Shay Shay on Monday, she argued that people need to vote for her to preserve the First, Second, and Fourth Amendments, that Trump “wants to terminate the Constitution.”
Yet, on the First Amendment, Harris previously called for government “oversight or regulation” of social media to stop what she calls misinformation. In 2022, her vice-presidential nominee, Gov. Tim Walz, claimed: “There’s no guarantee to free speech on misinformation or hate speech.”
Dem insiders head into final election
stretch confident on Harris win: 'Nauseously optimistic' 12 replies
stretch confident on Harris win: 'Nauseously optimistic' 12 replies
Democratic insiders and strategists heading into the final hours of the election are expressing confidence that Vice President Kamala Harris will defeat former President Donald Trump on Tuesday at the ballot box. "Nauseously optimistic," is how Democrats described themselves to New York magazine as the clock continues ticking for the final 100 hours of the election cycle.
Washington Gov. Jay Inslee (D) activated the National Guard to be on stand-by in the event it is asked to support local law enforcement and the Washington State Patrol during election week, a press release issued Friday said.
The National Guard will be activated from Nov. 4 to 7 until just after midnight, according to the release. The adjutant general will determine how many members of the Guard will be called.
Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib publicly refused to endorse Vice President Harris during a rally in Detroit — a critical decision that could tip the scales against Democrats in Michigan.
The move carries significant electoral implications, with Michigan part of the Democrats “blue wall” of must-win states in the 2024 presidential election.
A Trump triumph there would hamper Harris’ chances of winning the White House. Tlaib, a member of the House’s far-left “Squad,” is upset with the Biden-Harris administration’s support for Israel.
The only Palestinian-American in Congress, she has been openly supportive of Hamas during her time in office and has been censured by her colleagues for defending Hamas
With only four days to go until Tuesday’s presidential election, the poor jobs figures could not have come at a worse time for Kamala Harris.
To be sure, there were special factors that explained why the world’s biggest economy added only 12,000 new jobs in October.
Last month two severe hurricanes – Helene and Milton – hit the US. The temporary lay-offs caused by the disruption led to an estimated 20,000 to 50,000 drop in payrolled employees. Manufacturing employment fell by 46,000 – with most of the drop the result of a strike at the aerospace giant Boeing.
For 30 years, the Soviet Union was the main supporter of Cuba’s communist dictatorship, pumping into it more than $29 billion worth of money, weapons, food, oil and technology — a debt that Russia ultimately wrote off. In the 1990s, Hugo Chavez’s Venezuela became Cuba’s new lifeline for Cuba, contributing $35 billion over 15 years in oil alone.
With Venezuela in shambles, Mexico, the main U.S. trading partner, has become Cuba’s new lifeline, sending food, oil and anything else it can to support the longest-standing dictatorship in the Americas. Yet nothing is enough. Nothing can rescue Cuba’s failed communist economy.
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
Rep. Jamie Raskin says there will be a
peaceful transfer only if the election
is 'free and fair' 17 replies
peaceful transfer only if the election
is 'free and fair' 17 replies
Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., said Friday that the Democrats will support the peaceful transfer of power in January, but only “If it’s a free and fair election.”
Raskin was on "Real Time with Bill Maher" on Friday, where he said, "When I say we will support a free and fair election, no we we're not going to allow them to steal it in the states, steal it with the Department of Justice or steal it with any other election official in the country. If it's a free and fair election, we will do what we've always done: Honor it."
Maher responded, "That is the Democrats' history: They honor it.
A Second Amendment and free speech advocate, Lily Tang Williams is the GOP candidate running for United States Congress in New Hampshire District 2. Williams' opponent is part of the D.C. machine: Maggie Goodlander worked as a Senate staffer, a White House aid, and as a deputy assistant attorney general under Attorney General Merrick Garland before resigning to run for the District 2 seat as a Democrat. The seat was held for 12 years by Ann McLane Kuster (D-NH), who announced her retirement from Congress at the end of March.
In case you have not been paying attention – leftist groups around the country have been caught corrupting our elections by dumping tens of thousands of bogus ballot registrations into our voter rolls. This is taking place in state after state.
PENNSYLVANIA
Lancaster County, Pennsylvania city officials announced eight days ago that they were investigating a massive fraudulent voter registration operation investigation involving thousands of fraudulent voter registrations. At least 2,500 ballot registrations were in question.
On Saturday, Lehigh County, Pennsylvania announced that they were also investigating hundreds of fake ballot registrations that were turned in recently by a questionable voter registration group.
The Pentagon is shirking its duty when it comes to providing active military members with the fundamental resources necessary to vote, according to three Republican congressmen. Reps. Brian Mast (R-FL), Mike Waltz (R-FL), and Bill Huizenga (R-MI) all signed a letter directed to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin demanding more resources for servicemembers.
“We urge you to mobilize all the necessary resources over the next seven days to give every American citizen wearing our nation’s uniform the opportunity to vote if they so desire, pursuant to all federal and state regulations governing elections,” the letter states.
One of the best ways to know what Democrats are up to is to simply check how they’re smearing their opponents. [Snip] Republican electeds better have an intelligent plan for post-election chaos...If any agitation occurs among any group that isn’t obviously allied with Democrats, it will certainly be pinned on Republicans and their voters and used to justify increasing the deployment of counterterrorism tools against half of Americans. [Snip] Leftist activists say that even Trump declaring victory on election night--a long-established American tradition only broken in 2020--constitutes an incitement to violence and could be “disinformation.”
Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has not appeared with former President Donald Trump on the campaign trail since she dropped her bid challenging him and offered her endorsement, but she is giving her former rival a last-minute push.
Writing in an essay for the Wall Street Journal, she encouraged voters to show up and support Trump on Election Day. The Sunday call was part of a final effort by Trump’s mash-up of supporters trying to put aside past differences and elect the Republican nominee. Haley used the opportunity to paint a future Trump administration as an improvement on what the country has experienced the last four years
The Biggest Loser and the Irony Behind it
14 replies
f things go according to the current outlook, the biggest loser this week will not be Kamala, it will be Barack Obama. In specific terms his legacy is on the line.Kamala Harris would not be in position without the moves Chicago Jesus made in 2020 together with James Clyburn. Obama/Clyburn picked Senator Harris.
Kamala would not be in 2024 position, were it not for the intervention of Chicago Jesus, Pelosi and the upper echelon of DNC control officers. Once again, Obama stepped in to support Kamala. Barack Obama, together with Eric Holder, then selected Tim Walz.
This week, it’s not just the insufferable Kamala on the ballot, it’s Obama,
The New York Times Tech Guild that represents hundreds of the giant newspaper's tech staffers went on strike on Monday, one day before Election Day. The guild said in a statement that members would begin protesting outside the Times headquarters on a daily basis, beginning at 9 a.m. on Monday, according to the New York Times.
The planned walkout came after a vote on Sept. 10 to go on strike at a critical juncture if a deal wasn't made: Election Week.
A buddy of mine grew up in the Soviet Union. Nice guy. He always insisted that the biggest fallacy Americans had about the Soviet people was that the Russians weren’t aware of the news. According to him, Americans knew that the Politburo censored Pravda (and all Russian-language media outlets), so we crazy capitalists assumed the Soviet citizens were living in a land without information. “Those poor, gullible Rooskies! They’ll believe anything their government tells ‘em!”
In fact, he actually argued the opposite was true: It was the Americans who were most manipulated by the media
How Could He Possibly Lose?
13 replies
You may wonder if it is at all possible that Donald Trump could lose the election after all the polls and positive reactions from his rallies and podcast appearances.
The contrast between his huge rallies and the pitifully attended Harris events that did not have celebrities in posh settings is considerable, but it was the same in 2020.
Joe Biden held his appearances from his basement and rarely appeared in person yet he won, didn’t he?
But in 2024, Trump has the richest and smartest man in the whole world in his camp and set to join him in the new administration to fix this broken, corrupt government.
Pittsburgh’s Jewish community is putting the Harris-Walz campaign on notice as they hurdle toward Election Day: stand with Israel and denounce anti-Israel activists or you’ll face Democratic defections at the ballot box.
The backlash has been brewing since the Harris campaign hosted speakers at Steel City rallies who had blamed Israel for the October 7 attacks that killed 1,200 people in southern Israel, despite explicit pleas from the Jewish community.
The campaign ignored those pleas, a person familiar with the conversation told The Post, and went on to give speaking roles to Pittsburgh Mayor Ed Gainey and Allegheny County Executive Sara Innamorato, opening for Barack Obama and Tim Walz, respectively.
The final national NBC News poll of the 2024 presidential campaign finds a neck and neck contest defined by clashing forces that have aided both Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump in their pursuit of the White House.
Taken together, the poll shows Harris getting support from 49% of registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Trump gets an identical 49%. Just 2% of voters say they’re unsure about the choice.
Boosting Harris: rising Democratic enthusiasm, a 20-point lead over Trump on the issue of abortion, and an advantage for Harris on which candidate better looks out for the middle class.