Post New Article

Is Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump
in the presidential race?

Original Article

Posted By: Moritz55, 9/5/2024 6:57:22 PM

If Harris’s lead in the Blue Wall states lasts until Election Day, she will garner 270 electoral votes, even if she loses all the other swing states. In recent elections, not just individual polls but also poll averages have turned out to be misleading. Differences between final averages and actual results usually have reflected underestimates of Trump’s vote share more than overestimates of support for Democratic candidates.

Post Reply

Reminder: “WE ARE A SALON AND NOT A SALOON”

Your thoughts, comments, and ideas are always welcome here. But we ask you to please be mindful and respectful. Threatening or crude language doesn't persuade anybody and makes the conversation less enjoyable for fellow L.Dotters.


Reply 1 - Posted by: john56 9/5/2024 7:01:32 PM (No. 1790988)
That's a big if. Polls usually underestimate Trump's support by 4-6%.
14 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: curious1 9/5/2024 7:01:54 PM (No. 1790989)
In reality, she'll be lucky to pull 10-15% of the vote - the hard core commie part.
16 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: philsner 9/5/2024 7:05:26 PM (No. 1790990)
She can only win if she cheats.
29 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: thekidsmom66 9/5/2024 7:12:01 PM (No. 1790995)
This is a lot of BS
18 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: thekidsmom66 9/5/2024 7:16:45 PM (No. 1790996)
Democrat pollster Nate Silver has Trump at 61% odds for winning electoral college, with Harris at 39%.
15 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: WV.Hillbilly 9/5/2024 7:33:38 PM (No. 1791005)
As Rush Limbaugh would say before each election cycle, until the final weeks before election day, the goal of mass-market pollsters is not to provide an accurate reflection of public opinion, it is to shape public opinion.
31 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: Dodge Boy 9/5/2024 8:18:57 PM (No. 1791023)
More gaslighting.
15 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: enemyofthestate 9/5/2024 8:40:50 PM (No. 1791031)
Conservatives, keep your powder dry!
14 people like this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: mifla 9/6/2024 5:11:12 AM (No. 1791107)
Hold that thought until after the debate. If she shows up.
2 people like this.

Reply 10 - Posted by: hershey 9/6/2024 7:53:40 AM (No. 1791167)
No!!!! NEVER believe any poll...the only one that counts is the ballot box unless the democommies find some way to tamper with them...
1 person likes this.

Reply 11 - Posted by: hurricanegirl 9/6/2024 9:49:10 AM (No. 1791219)
I can't believe ANYONE is still quoting polls, especially Nate Silver polls! Oh, and by the way, the Dems are going to cheat, and they're going to "win" just like they did last time, but, hey, y'all go ahead and vote harder this time if it makes you feel better! (eye roll)
0 people like this.

Reply 12 - Posted by: konocti95 9/6/2024 10:00:16 AM (No. 1791229)
Commie-la is way ahead with the people counting the vote.
0 people like this.

Reply 13 - Posted by: Italiano 9/6/2024 10:03:33 AM (No. 1791231)
Kamala Harris would be the last President of the "United" States. Patriotic Americans won't stand for it.
2 people like this.

Below, you will find ...
Most Recent Articles posted by "Moritz55"
and
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
Most Recent Articles posted by Moritz55"
Is Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump
in the presidential race?
13 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/5/2024 6:57:22 PM Post Reply
If Harris’s lead in the Blue Wall states lasts until Election Day, she will garner 270 electoral votes, even if she loses all the other swing states. In recent elections, not just individual polls but also poll averages have turned out to be misleading. Differences between final averages and actual results usually have reflected underestimates of Trump’s vote share more than overestimates of support for Democratic candidates.
Colombian truckers block highways in main
cities in protest over increases in fuel prices
1 reply
Posted by Moritz55 9/5/2024 12:34:51 PM Post Reply
Thousands of Colombians were forced to walk to work on Tuesday, as truckers in major cities blocked highways to protest a recent increase in the price of diesel fuel. Truckers unions have said that plans by the government to eliminate diesel fuel subsidies would push their businesses to the brink of bankruptcy, while the administration of left-wing President Gustavo Petro argues it must phase out subsidies to cut a growing budget deficit and direct more funds to education and health. On Saturday, the government raised the price of diesel fuel to around $2.90 per gallon, an increase of 50 cents, following numerous meetings with truckers unions.
Trump vows to hold Harris accountable
and take country to better place
1 reply
Posted by Moritz55 9/3/2024 3:06:42 PM Post Reply
Former President Donald Trump said in an interview with the Washington Examiner that his message to undecided voters in Pennsylvania ahead of November’s general election is that his administration would bring prosperity to Pennsylvanians through common-sense approaches to energy, border security, and strengthening manufacturing. “We are going to bring the cost down on energy, and that is going to bring down the cost of everything,” Trump said. The former president added that he wants voters to know he would take the country to a better place not just on costs but on the massive influx of illegal immigrants who have crossed the southern border since the beginning of the Biden-Harris administration.
Harris-Biden inner circle have almost
no business experience — no wonder Americans
are hurting
11 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/3/2024 1:52:23 AM Post Reply
In her one and only interview of the presidential campaign, Kamala Harris claimed she is “very proud” of the economy she and Joe Biden have presided over for almost four years. Her rosy view of their management of inflation echoes Biden’s tone-deaf boasts about what a great job he’s done, while Americans struggle to pay for groceries. “I’m very proud of the work that we have done that has brought inflation down to less than 3%,” Harris told CNN last week.
Kamala Harris' newest vibe is fading momentum 1 reply
Posted by Moritz55 9/2/2024 7:43:33 PM Post Reply
Polling is a useful tool in politics, if somewhat blunt and slow, and this weekend Democrats were taking no small comfort in an ABC/Ipsos survey showing Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 4 points nationally. But the important thing about this poll is not the margin. After all, Rasmussen has Trump up by 2 points. Nobody knows which is right. What’s important is that on Aug. 13, this same ABC poll also showed Harris up 4. Put another way, Harris' momentum isn’t just gone, it's been gone for a while.
Kamala Harris goes viral with 'cringe'
new accent at Detroit rally, sparks 'Foghorn
Leghorn' comparisons
10 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/2/2024 7:37:42 PM Post Reply
Vice President Kamala Harris raised eyebrows during her Labor Day rally in Detroit, Michigan, unveiling what critics call a new "accent." Harris spent her Monday holiday in the Motor City hoping to shore up blue-collar union workers in the critical battleground state that she wants to keep blue in the November election. "You better thank a union member for the five-day work week," Harris told the crowd with a noticeable shift in her dialect. "You better thank a union member for sick leave. You better thank a union member for paid leave. You better thank a union member for vacation time."
Conservatives, Not Progressives, Are Freedom’s Champions 5 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/2/2024 4:45:46 PM Post Reply
Credit where it’s due: It takes serious chutzpah to gaslight an entire nation. That’s what progressives did last week at the Democratic National Convention when they tried to seize the mantle of freedom. A political movement that has, for more than a century, been explicitly devoted to taxing, regulating, mandating, and surveilling is making a big push to rebrand. Don’t fall for it. Progressivism remains as wedded as ever to empowering bureaucrats to control countless aspects of everyday life, unhindered by democratic accountability. Conservatives, not progressives, are the true defenders of freedom.
US government seizes plane used by Venezuelan
president, citing sanctions violations
11 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/2/2024 2:10:55 PM Post Reply
The U.S. government has seized a plane used by Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro that officials say was illegally purchased through a shell company and smuggled out of the United States, citing violations of sanctions and export control laws. The Dassault Falcon 900EX was seized in the Dominican Republic and transferred to the custody of federal officials in Florida, the Justice Department said Monday. U.S. officials say associates of the Venezuelan leader used a Caribbean-based shell company to hide their involvement in the purchase of the plane, valued at the time at $13 million, from a company in Florida.
Biden teams up with Harris on campaign
trail for 1st time since dropping re-election
bid against Trump
12 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/2/2024 1:47:55 PM Post Reply
Six weeks after he ended his re-election campaign amid rising calls from his own party to drop out of the race, President Biden returns to the campaign trail for the first time on Monday. It will be the first of a "robust" schedule of campaign appearances by the president on behalf of Vice President Kamala Harris over the next two months, a White House official tells Fox News. "President Biden will be leaning in heavily over the next several months to finish the job," White House communications director Ben LaBolt said.
Can They Really Reinvent Kamala Harris
in 70 Days?
16 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/2/2024 12:15:56 PM Post Reply
Under pressure, Harris just completed her first “live interview”—a disastrous performance that was mysteriously taped, edited, and emotionally supported by her co-interviewed running mate. During the interview, she claimed that her values remain the same even though her manifestations of them have admittedly changed. Translated, that means for the next 70 days, she will advocate for popular policies antithetical to her own values, which will inevitably resurface after the election once the current façade fades away.
The Harris campaign is riding a wave to
defeat — and may be setting a trap we’ve
seen before
12 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/1/2024 10:19:33 AM Post Reply
When George H.W. Bush was ducking debates during the fall of 1992, Bill Clinton’s campaign sent trolling 7-foot chicken mascots to every Bush campaign event. The humorous jab was brilliantly effective. A chastened Bush relented, agreeing to three debates. But by that time, “Chicken George,” as it came to be known, had done its damage. Clinton emerged as the alpha-male to Bush’s beta and Clinton never looked back as he rode the wave into the White House. Kamala Harris is potentially setting up the same trap.
Black Californians warn Newsom of 'direct
impact' on Harris after Democrats kill
slave reparation bills
33 replies
Posted by Moritz55 9/1/2024 10:09:21 AM Post Reply
Black activists at the California assembly threatened a "direct impact" on Vice President Harris' presidential campaign after state Democratic lawmakers held off on two bills that would have greenlighted slavery reparations. Last week, the California legislature approved proposals allowing for the return of land or compensation to families whose property was unjustly seized by the government, and issuing a formal apology for laws and practices that have harmed Black people. But none of those bills would provide widespread direct payments to African Americans.
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
Lifelong Republican and former Vice President
Dick Cheney breaks with GOP to back Kamala
Harris, daughter says
40 replies
Posted by Beardo 9/6/2024 4:51:51 PM Post Reply
Former Vice President Dick Cheney, a lifelong Republican, will vote for Kamala Harris for president, his daughter Liz Cheney said Friday. (snip) In a campaign ad for Liz Cheney as she sought a fourth term as Wyoming’s lone congressperson, Dick Cheney called Trump a “coward” for trying to “steal the last election using lies and violence to keep himself in power after the voters had rejected him.” The ad did little good for his daughter in a deep-red state that once held the Cheney family dear but is now thoroughly in Trump’s corner. By a 2-to-1 margin, Liz Cheney lost her Republican primary to Trump-endorsed attorney Harriet Hageman.
Georgia high school shooter
Colt Gray's dad arrested for murder in
shock development after son killed four
on campus
29 replies
Posted by JoElla Bee 9/5/2024 8:56:31 PM Post Reply
The father of Georgia school shooter Colt Gray was arrested on charges including murder after it was revealed that he purchased the AR-15-style rifle the 14-year-old used to shoot dead four people on campus.Colin Gray, 54, has been taken into custody by local authorities and charged with  two counts of murder, four counts of involuntary manslaughter, and eight counts of cruelty to children.Officials confirmed in a press conference that the charges stem from Colin ‘knowingly allowing’ his son to have access to the firearm used in the shooting. 
JD Vance Nukes Liz Cheney over Endorsement
of Kamala Harris: ‘They Get Rich’
While Americans Die in Wars
24 replies
Posted by Imright 9/5/2024 2:14:38 AM Post Reply
Sen. JD Vance (R-OH) criticized former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) after she endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, noting that Cheney and Harris “get rich” while American children die in wars overseas. While speaking to Turning Point USA founder Charlie Kirk in Arizona, Vance described Cheney as being a “person whose entire career has been about sending other people’s children to fight and die for her military conflicts.” Vance added that both Cheney and Harris “get rich” when the United States “loses wars instead of winning wars.”
Vladimir Putin claims he wants 'infectious'
Kamala Harris to win US election over
Donald Trump
22 replies
Posted by snakeoil 9/5/2024 10:25:45 AM Post Reply
Vladimir Putin has made a surprising endorsement for who he wants to win the 2024 US election. The Russian president has long been considered friendlier with this year's Republican nominee Donald Trump, with the former president calling Mr Putin a "genius" early in 2022. But speaking at the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok, he said Kamala Harris was Russia's preferred choice for the next US president.
Yellen says ending Biden tax incentives
would be ‘historic mistake’ for states
like North Carolina
21 replies
Posted by FlyRight 9/5/2024 6:35:56 AM Post Reply
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is warning voters in the battleground state of North Carolina that they could lose jobs if Republicans weaken a signature Biden administration law that encourages investments in manufacturing and clean energy. Yellen says that Republican-dominated states like North Carolina are greatly benefiting from tax incentives under the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act and that eliminating them would be a “historic mistake,” according to a draft of a speech she will give Thursday at a community college in Raleigh. The Treasury Department released the remarks ahead of the address.
The Truth About World
War II
20 replies
Posted by Mercedes44 9/5/2024 6:31:22 AM Post Reply
In a recent and now widely seen Tucker Carlson interview, a guest historian named Darryl Cooper casually presented a surprising number of flawed theories about World War II. He focused his misstatements on the respective roles of Winston Churchill’s Britain and Adolf Hitler’s Germany—especially in matters of the treatment and fate of Russian prisoners, the Holocaust, the systematic slaughtering of Jews, strategic bombing, and the nature of Winston Churchill. Because of the size of the audience Carlson introduced him to, and because of the gravity of Cooper’s falsehoods, his assertions deserve a response.
Florida Doctor Allegedly Removed Patient's
Liver Instead of Spleen, Killing Him
18 replies
Posted by ladydawgfan 9/6/2024 8:29:38 AM Post Reply
An Alabama man entered a Florida hospital for a procedure to remove his spleen. On Aug. 21, medical records provided to USA Today by Zarzaur Law show that "Dr. Thomas Shaknovsky performed a hand-assisted laparoscopic splenectomy procedure on William “Bill” Bryan, 70, from Muscle Shoals, Alabama." Bryan's widow claims that Shaknovsky mistakenly removed his liver instead of his spleen. “Dr. Shaknovsky removed Mr. Bryan’s liver and, in so doing, transected the major vasculature supplying the liver, causing immediate and catastrophic blood loss resulting in death,” the statement from the law firm said. “The surgeon proceeded with labeling the removed liver specimen as a 'spleen,' and it wasn’t until following the death
Judge accepts Hunter Biden plea change,
staving off trial
18 replies
Posted by Imright 9/5/2024 8:09:02 PM Post Reply
Hunter Biden pleaded guilty Thursday to all nine federal tax charges he faced, staving off his second criminal trial this year just before it was set to begin, according to The Associated Press. In a stunning and last-minute twist, U.S. District Judge Mark Scarsi accepted the plea change on the same day jury selection was scheduled to get underway in Los Angeles federal court. Biden admitted to withholding at least $1.4 million in taxes over four years in the throes of his addiction to cocaine, spending it instead on a lavish lifestyle.
Top Manhattan US Attorney’s Office spox
blasts DA Bragg over Trump prosecution
in secret recording: ‘The case is nonsense’
18 replies
Posted by Beardo 9/5/2024 5:39:28 PM Post Reply
A top Department of Justice spokesman in New York was caught on a hidden camera ripping Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg for his recent prosecution of former President Donald Trump — accusing Bragg of conducting “lawfare” just to further his own political ambitions. Nicholas Biase, chief spokesman for the Manhattan US Attorney’s Office, was secretly recorded tearing into the progressive prosecutor during a recent conversation with a so-called undercover operative from conservative podcaster Steven Crowder’s “Mug Club.” “Honestly, I think the case is nonsense,” Biase was filmed saying to an unidentified woman on July 31 at what appears to be a bar.
Alarm grows over possible RFK Jr. role
at HHS if Trump wins
16 replies
Posted by FlyRight 9/6/2024 12:07:54 PM Post Reply
The possibility of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. becoming Health and Human Services (HHS) secretary if former President Trump wins has rankled Democrats and the public health community as he gains influence within the former president’s transition team. Speculation about Kennedy’s future role has grown after Nicole Shanahan, who was Kennedy’s running mate before he suspended his campaign last month, said recently that he would do “an incredible job” at HHS should Trump win in November.
Hunter Biden changes his plea to GUILTY
as his $1.4million tax evasion trial kicks
off in LA
16 replies
Posted by Beardo 9/5/2024 1:00:18 PM Post Reply
Hunter Biden is pleading guilty to at least some of the nine tax evasion charges against him, in a stunning last-minute reversal at his criminal trial in Los Angeles. The change was not due to a plea deal, with prosecutor Leo Wise telling Judge Mark Scarsi on Thursday: 'this is the first we're hearing of this'. The shock revelation was made by Hunter's attorney Abbe Lowell in front of the judge, while 120 potential jurors waited next door to be selected for his trial.
YIKES: Tim Walz's Remarks About Gaza Just
Revealed Why They Don't Want Him Answering Questions
15 replies
Posted by ladydawgfan 9/6/2024 8:53:18 AM Post Reply
I wrote earlier about Joe Biden's cluelessness when it comes to what's going on with Gaza, Hamas, and making deals with terrorists. Biden keeps leaning on Israel, and that keeps emboldening Hamas. Hamas is now demanding even more to make a deal and even threatening the hostages. That's what bending over and being weak like Biden gets you. But I guess the Harris-Walz team didn't want Biden to have a corner on stupid. They doubled down on the bad takes with what Tim Walz said to WCMU on Thursday. WCMU Public Radio covers Central and Northern Michigan. No wonder there's a reluctance to let him talk. It was awful.
Post New Article