Nate Silver gives Trump 66% chance of
winning election
Posted By: Dreadnought, 6/26/2024 4:54:57 PM
Pollster Nate Silver projected that former President Donald Trump has a 65.7% chance of winning the presidency in November. He gives President Joe Biden a 33.7% chance with a narrow 0.5% chance of either candidate failing to reach 270 electoral votes. Silver also gives Biden a 51% chance to win the popular vote with third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. slated to take 4.3% of the popular vote. The mode’s returns are based on 40,000 simulations of the election.The projection differs from FiveThirtyEight’s, an organization he created, which believes Biden is a 51% favorite over Trump. “The candidate who I honest-to-God think has a better chance (Trump)
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President Donald Trump slammed President Joe Biden’s migration for pushing many black Americans out of jobs.
“The fact is that his big kill on the black people is that millions of [migrant] people that he’s allowed to come in through the border, they’re taking black jobs now,” Trump said, adding:
[It] could be 18, it could be 19, and even 20 million people, they’re taking black jobs, and they’re taking Hispanic jobs. And you haven’t seen it yet, but you’re going to see something that’s going to be the worst in our history.
In contrast, Biden seemed to claim that his migration of more than 10 million
In the lead-up to Thursday night's debate, the conventional wisdom was that Biden had to convince everyone - party bosses and influential pundits especially - that he wasn't too old and addled to be the Democrat nominee again.
Biden more than bombed, and there are essentially unanimous calls among Democrats for the party to replace him as the nominee. The undeniable star of the CNN spin room has been California Gov. Gavin Newsom, who's in Atlanta as a Biden surrogate and who's now looking mighty attractive to Democrats as a replacement. He's young (ish), handsome (ish), has better poll numbers than Kamala Harris,
Bombshell: Listen to What CNN's Erin Burnett
Just Admitted About Biden Knowing the
Debate Questions 8 replies
Just Admitted About Biden Knowing the
Debate Questions 8 replies
Joe Biden was just an utter train wreck in the debate.
He started out like he was on speed, and it sounded like he had memorized the answers he was trying to give, although they all came out in a jumble.
But if he was memorizing answers, that would suggest that he might know what the questions were. And at times, particularly in the beginning, it sounded like he did know what was coming.
Now that's going to get even more questions after what CNN's Erin Burnett admitted during a discussion afterward about how badly Biden did.
Put a Fork in Him
4 replies
Sometimes you just have to give into the temptation and say it. From the beginning of 2023 until now, my fellow COMMENTARY podcasters and I have spent an inordinate amount of time on a daily basis discussing the topic that will now dominate all political discussion in America: Joe Biden’s unfitness for office due to his advanced age and his cognitive decline.
We told you so.
On February 8 of this year, I wrote these words: “We may well look back on February 8, 2024 as the specific moment in time Joe Biden’s bid for reelection was lost. The report of the special prosecutor issued this afternoon effectively said Biden was guilty
The liberal media was finally forced to admit that the senile president wasn’t wearing clothes following Thursday’s presidential debate hosted by CNN. As a member of a predominantly liberal/pro-Biden panel, Republican commentator Scott Jennings took them all to tack for trying to prop up President Biden’s campaign and lying to the American people about how cogent he obviously wasn’t.
“When we came on before this debate, I said, I thought this candidacy was teetering. And everybody jumped on me,” he took aim at the panel. “Yes, we did. Yes, we did,” liberal activist Van Jones admitted.
Declaring “the candidacy has fallen,”
For Whom the Split Screen Tolls
4 replies
It was clear within the first few minutes that the presidential debate was not going to go well for President Joe Biden. His breath was heavy, his voice was raspy and faint, his physical bearing poor. When he wasn't speaking, his mouth was agape. His answers rambled, and he was sometimes incoherent. Every so often, he coughed noticeably. He did not look well.
This wasn't the hyped-up, partisan Biden who appeared at the State of the Union in March. This was the Biden who mumbled argle-bargle at the White House's Juneteenth celebration.
The contrast with former president Donald Trump was apparent. Trump was confident, direct, and forceful.
I have to say, I'm still trying to process the train wreck we just saw at the debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.
Joe Biden had one job tonight. Just one. He had to prove he was capable of handling the presidency, and I challenge anyone to say with a straight face that he accomplished that Thursday night. Many of us were expecting that the Joe Biden we were going to see at the debate would look like the Joe Biden we saw at the State of the Union. Well, that guy didn't show up. The Joe Biden we've been seeing every day before the State of the Union,
Vice President Kamala Harris dodged questioning about President Joe Biden‘s poor debate performance against former President Donald Trump Thursday evening, instead trying to pivot to contrasting the two candidate’s policy stances.
“First of all, what we saw tonight is the president making a very clear contrast with Donald Trump on all of the issues that matter to the American people,” Harris told CNN host Anderson Cooper in a video interview. “Yes, there was a slow start but it was a strong finish.” The CNN debate in Atlanta, Georgia saw Biden struggle to tamp down concerns about his mental acuity after he stumbled in his response to Trump, appeared confused
Whoopi Goldberg told her co-hosts Thursday on ABC’s “The View” that “every Republican” needs to stop referring to former President Donald Trump as “the president.”
“Can I say something that’s been bothering me? It’s been bothering me and bothering me!” Whoopi Goldberg said. “I would like every Republican out there to stop referring to this man as the president. He is not the president. He is the former president. And nobody can see the future, and same with the donors. You cannot buy the presidency. You can put in as much money as you want to but it’s not for sale so stop
ATLANTA — President Joe Biden was supposed to put the nation’s mind at ease over his physical and mental capacity with his debate showing Thursday night.
But from the onset of the debate, the 81-year-old seemingly struggled even to talk, mostly summoning a weak, raspy voice. In the opening minutes, the president repeatedly tripped over his words, misspoke and lost his train of thought.
In one of the most notable moments, Biden ended a rambling statement that lacked focus by saying, “We finally beat Medicare,” before moderators cut him off and transitioned back to Trump.
Watch: Troubling Post-Debate Moment With
Joe and Jill Biden and Another Handler
Has People Talking 1 reply
Joe and Jill Biden and Another Handler
Has People Talking 1 reply
Well, the first presidential debate of the 2024 campaign season is officially over, and pretty much all anyone can talk about in the aftermath of it is how President Joe Biden looked and sounded, which - incredibly - was even worse than he normally looks and sounds on any given day.
On Friday, we wrote about the warning NBC News/MSNBC political analyst Elise Jordan gave about how Biden "absolutely cannot have a senior moment at this debate" because focus group Democrats she'd talked to in states like Michigan and Wisconsin had stressed that they had serious concerns about Biden's age and fitness to lead.
It was, she correctly pointed out, "an albatross
Moments after concluding their presidential debate Thursday night, CNN journalists were in a full-blown panic over President Biden’s performance. They were disturbed by Biden’s “problematic” and “dismal” performance and admitted they were hearing from very senior Democrats that they were seriously thinking about removing Biden from the top of the ticket.
“Anderson this was a game-changing debate in the sense that right now as we speak, there is a deep, a wide, and a very aggressive panic in the Democratic Party,” chief national correspondent John King announced.
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Pope Francis has denounced the arrogance of those who seek dominion over nature, which leads to the degradation of the environment. (snip) To claim the right to possess and dominate nature “represents a form of idolatry,” Francis declares, “a Promethean version of man who, intoxicated by his technocratic power, arrogantly places the earth in a ‘dis-graced’ condition, deprived of God’s grace.” (snip) This past April, Pope Francis told CBS News that climate change deniers are “stupid” to refute compelling evidence of a climate emergency.
“Some people are stupid (necios), and stupid even if you show them research, they don’t believe it,” the pontiff told CBS Evening News anchor Norah O’Donnell
Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists — all unabashed liberals — have unleashed a partisan attack against Donald Trump on the eve of the first presidential debate.
In a letter released Wednesday, the economists claim that former President Donald Trump could stoke inflation if he wins the presidency in November and implements his economic plans. It’s highly likely that President Joe Biden or even the debate moderators will “Many Americans are concerned about inflation, which has come down remarkably fastcite the letter during Thursday night’s debate.
13 Nobel Economists Promised Biden Would
Cut Inflation, Now They’re Saying Trump
Will Ignite It 22 replies
Cut Inflation, Now They’re Saying Trump
Will Ignite It 22 replies
We have our hand on the Bible swearing we are not making this story up.
A gang of 16 Nobel prize-winning economists signed a letter yesterday endorsing Joe Biden for president because: “There is rightly a worry that Donald Trump will reignite inflation with his fiscally irresponsible budgets.”
But then our colleague, Scott Bessent, noticed something strange and ironic about the signatories: 13 of these economists signed a highly-publicized open letter three years ago assuring Americans that Biden’s “Build Back Better” spending spree would “ease longer-term inflationary pressures.”
A judge ruled that a Montana law which defined "sex" in state law, when referring to a person as only male or female, was unconstitutional, saying that the law's description did not explicitly state its purpose. District Court Judge Shane Vannatta struck down the 2023 law on Tuesday after a group of plaintiffs who identify as transgender, nonbinary, intersex and other identities sued, arguing the law denies legal recognition and protection to people who identify as gender-nonconforming, according to The Associated Press.
Tone-deaf Department of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas on Wednesday shrugged off attempts to blame Biden’s border policy for the horrific slaughter of Americans at the hands of illegal migrants, saying, “The individual who is responsible for a heinous criminal act is the criminal.”
His comment during a press conference from a Border Patrol aircraft hangar in Tucson, Arizona — some 70 miles from the nearest border crossing — came in response to a question about 12-year-old Jocelyn Nungaray, who was brutalized and murdered in Houston, allegedly by two Venezuelan migrants who were released into the US earlier this year.
“We screen and vet individuals when we encounter them,” he said.
Former President Trump has claimed that President Biden will be “pumped up” on drugs to enhance his performance at Thursday’s debate, including getting a “big fat shot in the ass.”
His assertions have been dismissed by some segments of the media as campaign bluster — but private doctors to the rich and famous tell The Post that VIPs often use drug cocktails and other treatments to give themselves an edge before they take the spotlight for a big event.
These can include everything from peptides infusion for a boost in brain function, Botox to avoid a sweaty brow, Adderall for enhanced focus — and yes, sometimes even a shot
Governor Gavin Newsom (D., Calif.) attacked national Republicans and “delusional California bashers” in his pre-recorded State of the State address on Tuesday, claiming they’re an existential threat to California’s progressive values.
“Forces are threatening the very foundation of California’s success. Our pluralism, our innovative spirit, and our diversity,” Newsom said in the speech’s opening, adding that those values “are the antidote to the poisonous populism of the right.”
With his latest State of the State address, the Democratic governor definitively stepped into his role as a campaign surrogate for President Joe Biden ahead of his televised debate with former president Donald Trump on Thursday. During his 28-minute speech, Newsom leaned
According to Real Clear Investigations reporter Paul Sperry, the White House press corps is being forced to watch feed of the CNN presidential debate Thursday night from a building across the street because they believe there may be a “medical emergency” involving one of the presidential candidate (Joe Biden).
“White House press corps has petitioned CNN to open up the debate studio to reporters, who for now have to watch a feed from a building across the street, b/c they believe there may be a “medical emergency” involving one of the prez candidates requiring on-scene coverage,” Paul Sperry said.
Recall that Joe Biden had a medical emergency
Michelle Obama has steered clear of campaigning for Joe Biden over her private frustration with how the family treated friend Kathleen Buhle during her messy divorce from Hunter Biden, a new report claims.
The former first lady, one of the most popular figures in the Democratic party, hasn't posted about the 81-year-old president's re-election bid.
Buhle and Hunter split in 2017 and details of the divorce resurfaced when she testified at his recent federal gun trial.
Both of CNN’s moderators for Thursday’s presidential debate have deep ties to intelligence officials who peddled now-debunked conspiracy theories about former President Donald Trump. Jake Tapper and Dana Bash are both intimately connected to former deep-state officials who pushed the now-discredited Steele Dossier and the hoax that reporting on Hunter Biden’s laptop was a product of Russian election meddling. The duo will preside over the first presidential debate Thursday between Trump and President Joe Biden.[Snip]Tapper published a story based on a leak from James Clapper, former President Obama’s Director of National Intelligence,[Snip]Bash was married to Jeremy Bash, a former CIA chief of staff in the Obama administration
Joe Biden went into Thursday night’s debate with one advantage: He had lower expectations than any incumbent president—with the possible exception of his predecessor—in the 60-year history of American presidential debates. Voters already thought that he was too old, that he was ill equipped for the job of of the presidency, that he was incompetent. He had little to lose. He was already bottoming out in the polls. Voters, meanwhile, had clearly forgotten about the daily terrors, abuses, and embarrassments of the Trump era.
Thursday’s debate should have been a tap-in. All Biden had to do was appear mildly competent. All he had to do
Trump Needs to Hammer This During the Debate
14 replies
The first and perhaps only presidential debate between presumed nominees Donald Trump and Joe Biden takes place on June 27 in CNN’s Atlanta headquarters. Home court advantage goes to President Biden.
Is there anyone at CNN, aside from the janitors and cleaning crew, that support Trump? Doubtful. The debate will be moderated by the Trump hating undynamic duo of Jake Tapper and Dana Bash.
CNN will mute the microphones, to keep Trump from objecting to Biden’s fabrications, and likely to silence Biden’s gibberish, something occurring with increasing frequency.