Why Russia is highly unlikely to use nuclear weapons
Washington Examiner [DC],
by
Tom Rogan
Original Article
Posted By: Dreadnought,
2/28/2022 9:05:34 PM
As Russia struggles to conquer Ukraine, Vladimir Putin has moved his strategic nuclear forces to a heightened alert posture.
Satellite imagery also indicates that the Russian Northern Fleet has moved more ballistic missile submarines into Arctic and Barents sea patrol sectors. While U.S. nuclear forces remain at standard readiness levels, the U.S. military has a greater baseline readiness and redundant nuclear strike capability than does Russia.
I suspect the ultimate intent of Putin's public nuclear threat is to dangle the risk of escalation so as to deter Western unity on further sanctions.
Reply 1 - Posted by:
HisHandmaiden 3/1/2022 4:53:02 AM (No. 1086308)
Could it be also because President Trump saw to it that our US Military readiness exceeded all previous preparedness?
TBIYTC
25 people like this.
Because the generals donât want to die.
Thatâs for conscripts.
18 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
Clinger 3/1/2022 8:30:21 AM (No. 1086506)
Isn't that a nice way yo look at things. Never underestimate a cornered animal. Putin has been an egomaniac from day 1. All his posing and Mr. Tough Guy crap. And the effer is 69 years old. The prospects of living with a humiliating defeat for his remaining years opposed to going out in a blaze of glory favor the blaze of glory more with every passing day.
13 people like this.
It's called self-preservation.
6 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
TCloud 3/1/2022 8:43:05 AM (No. 1086523)
MAD. Mutual Assured Destruction helps take the thumb off the launch key! Debate all they want will not change that fact!
10 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
OZZCAR 3/1/2022 8:54:59 AM (No. 1086552)
Today's nuclear weapons make those dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki look like firecrackers. Light just one of these things up now and it will have global consequences. The Russians have tactical nukes that can surgically take out a city block. A handful of those could turn Kyiv into Chernobyl with a net effect of radiation that could reach all of western Europe. We've had these things for over seventy years and have avoided a world war. If we ever use these things WWIII would be over in a day and there would never be a WWIV, Earth would become a graveyard. Putin is not stupid. What is stupid is all of this hand wringing. Putin is in over his head and will eventually seek a political solution. This action was concocted by the globalists to take our eye off the ball. I'm much more wary of them than Putin.
16 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
Zigrid 3/1/2022 9:35:08 AM (No. 1086619)
The Oligarchs in Russia and Ukraine have voiced their opinions on a stand down for Putin...he is beholden to them for "cash"...so I'm thinking they are not ready to be fried and Putin must listen to them...his posturing with the nuke threat was meant to frighten Europe as a bluff...and with the ruble dropping in value he's in a corner....that doesn't mean the poor people of Ukraine aren't suffering...God bless them and keep them...it means Zelinsky has called putin's bluff and he's losing his position in the world....which must make him crazy...but not crazy enough to unleash nukes...
8 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
Toodles3956 3/1/2022 9:52:13 AM (No. 1086646)
Why can't we throw some paint on some of our planes, mimicking the Russian planes and clean out the place. Blame it on the Russian Air Force.
7 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
little guy 3/1/2022 10:17:29 AM (No. 1086678)
The real reason is what Russia learned the hard way from Chernobyl.
A nuclear bomb would make that disaster look like a child popped a party balloon. The prevailing winds blow to the east in that area and the highly radioactive fallout would all blow back on to Mother Russia --- for years.
10 people like this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
Strike3 3/1/2022 10:39:31 AM (No. 1086699)
For the US, the state of readiness is just a formality. Our land-based missiles and our nuclear submarines are always ready. Raising the alert number only puts more bombers in the air at any given time. Either way, we are all toast if it happens.
8 people like this.
Reply 11 - Posted by:
Strike3 3/1/2022 10:45:52 AM (No. 1086703)
#8, IFF electronics would give us away. Each plane broadcasts an identiy of itself - unless we have advanced the technology and can broadcast what the ruskies broadcast.
4 people like this.
Reply 12 - Posted by:
janjan 3/1/2022 10:56:48 AM (No. 1086716)
#11 We absolutely have that technology.
5 people like this.
Reply 13 - Posted by:
MDConservative 3/1/2022 11:31:04 AM (No. 1086775)
Nukes are a weapon of desperation, not useful for any other purpose - even those at the "tactical" level.
4 people like this.
Reply 14 - Posted by:
PhySciTech 3/1/2022 1:34:28 PM (No. 1086878)
Guess where and when the first Russian missile will strike!
0 people like this.
Reply 15 - Posted by:
PhySciTech 3/1/2022 1:40:28 PM (No. 1086884)
Not to try to scare anybody but the Russians are supposed to have hypersonic missiles that can't be stopped. Tonight Putin might try to cut the head off of the snake (USA) with a first strike. Once the head is cut, how can it strike back. Hope to hell I'm wrong.
1 person likes this.
Reply 16 - Posted by:
lftrn97 3/1/2022 3:30:28 PM (No. 1086983)
Why not announce that we have put our arsenal on high alert also? Maybe conduct a test.
0 people like this.
Reply 17 - Posted by:
A.I. 3/1/2022 4:48:14 PM (No. 1087038)
The opinion espoused in this article may be right, until it isnât. If your opponent is pushed far enough and has nothing to lose, things can happen in any direction.
2 people like this.
Reply 18 - Posted by:
GoodDeal 3/1/2022 5:45:59 PM (No. 1087062)
Putin itâs like a gorilla in the jungle pounding his chest and howling. Heâs not going to use a nuke offensively. Not gonna happen. Heâs having a big weenie contest with Biden and winning since Joe doesnât even have one.
0 people like this.
Reply 19 - Posted by:
Omen55 3/1/2022 6:44:49 PM (No. 1087101)
Can't spend all that stolen $$$ if you're dead.
If the choice is between Vlad & the $$$ he's dead.
0 people like this.
Reply 20 - Posted by:
NYbob 3/1/2022 8:23:08 PM (No. 1087174)
I'm guessing that the average poster here is older and more experienced than commenters on Facebook and twitter. Which is why I'm surprised no one has mentioned Cuba. Maybe at least one element the same, missiles too close to Russia, as far as Russians concerned.
If you recall, we would have had a very nasty exchange and possibly an intercontinental exchange IF one sub commander had not stopped a launch of a Soviet nuke weapon. That one man saved a lot of lives, maybe yours. Then there was a Russian ICBM launch officer who had a full on USA Nuclear attack warning on his radar screen. He happened to be very familiar with that warning system and defied his orders by waiting a few critical seconds until the system reset. Those seconds would have been a disaster for Russia, if the attack had been real. A good chance any other Russian would have launched.
People can sit around all day and explain what reasonable, sane scenarios will be, but reality can be much crazier. Hollywod showed a good example of SNAFU in The Bedford Incident. When Widmark as Captain says, ' If he fires one, I'll fire one.' James MacArthur as Ensign Ralston: [launching the rocket] Fire One! The horrified crew try and stop the anti sub missile, but it is too late. The Soviet sub launches all of it nuke torpedoes in a final retaliation.
1 person likes this.
Below, you will find ...
Most Recent Articles posted by "Dreadnought"
and
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)