Here’s why Trump will win – it’s
pretty simple
Posted By: Big Bopper, 11/4/2024 4:22:16 PM
Political pundits have too much data, and they overanalyze it. There’s a lot of data available, a lot of pundits to analyze it, and a lot of clicks to corral. But the disengaged American middle doesn’t pay attention to nuances like last month’s job figures or the latest inflation report. They couldn’t find South America on a map even if you showed them where North America is. To the American middle, abortions are something other people get – and they’re usually a different kind of people. Less than a quarter of Americans are biologically eligible for an abortion
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Big Bopper"
Political pundits have too much data, and they overanalyze it. There’s a lot of data available, a lot of pundits to analyze it, and a lot of clicks to corral.
But the disengaged American middle doesn’t pay attention to nuances like last month’s job figures or the latest inflation report. They couldn’t find South America on a map even if you showed them where North America is.
To the American middle, abortions are something other people get – and they’re usually a different kind of people. Less than a quarter of Americans are biologically eligible for an abortion
Staffers quit and 200,000 subscribers
cancel after WaPo says its role is to
report the news 24 replies
cancel after WaPo says its role is to
report the news 24 replies
The venerable Washington Post may or may not have been a force for good, but it certainly was great.
They brought down Richard Nixon for crimes that were only modest by today’s inflated standards but serious at the time. They helped lose the Vietnam War – a war that was criminal, or just, depending on your view of history, but the losing of which was certainly a tragedy for the conquered South Vietnamese and most of the rest of the world.
They won the Pulitzer Prize 76 times, and many of those times were back when the Prize rewarded true excellence.
Democrat headlines suggest panic
2 replies
As Kamala continues her fall free-fall, the Democrats fear the worst. They fear that Kamala, like her predecessor and boss, has been found out. And the American people don’t like what they found out.
The people have found out that Kamala has always advocated an open border, is apparently ambivalent (at best) about Israel defending itself, wants taxpayer-funded “gender correction” surgery for male convicts so that women in female prisons can “enjoy” their company, and wants to double the capital gains tax.
In a nutshell, the Democrats fear that Kamala has been found out to be a hard-left socialist. Indeed, she has a voting record to the left of Bernie Sanders.
Ordinary people who don’t closely follow the game of politics never knew that Kamala Harris runs only to the left. As a Senator, she ran further to the left than Bernie Sanders, according to non-partisan statistics.
She wanted an unprotected border. She proposed taxpayer-funded “gender affirmation” surgery for male convicts so that they could play in women’s prisons. She favored abortions performed anytime, anywhere, and by anyone, up to at least birth. She rooted for the Philadelphia Eagles to win the World Series (OK, I make up that last one.)
There’s more, much more, but you get the drift. Until recently, most Americans knew none of Kamala’s playbook.
The left has hounded artistic Colorado baker Jack Phillips for over a decade. It started back in 2012 when a gay couple demanded that he create a “gay wedding cake” with two figurine husbands on top.
Of course, the gay couple could have gotten their gay cake created by many other bakers. They seem to have chosen Phillips not despite, but because, creating such a object was contrary to his religious beliefs.
Phillips politely said he would happily bake a cake for them, but not a gay cake. That’s an important point. Phillips did not simply refuse to serve the couple on the grounds that they were gay.
I predicted Trump would win the 2016 election. On the day of the election, the betting odds on that were 12%. Had I been a betting man, I’d have made YUGE money.
In 2020, I again predicted Trump would win. On the day of that election, the odds of that happening were 35%.
Trump lost that time, but, given the odds, I would not have lost nearly as much as I would have made four years earlier in 2016. I’d still be way ahead.
My point is that even though I missed the call in 2020, nailing the near-impossible call back in 2016 makes me a frigging prophet.
So, listen to me.
The Western Wall
2 replies
Muslims have the Taj Mahal and Mecca. Catholics have St. Peter’s Basilica and the Vatican. Jews have a wall.
The Western Wall is a stack of massive stone blocks a few dozen feet high and a couple of hundred feet long. It’s all that’s left of Jerusalem’s second Jewish temple, a structure that astonished even the Romans. The Romans destroyed it to punish the Jews for their Great Revolt in 70 A.D.
That wasn’t the first time. It’s called the “second” temple because it replaced Solomon’s temple, which had been destroyed by the Babylonians six centuries earlier.
Here’s how the First Amendment debate over governmental prohibitions on free speech has been framed:
The Democrats want the government to prohibit people from spreading “disinformation” that they don’t like.
The Republicans correctly point out that the First Amendment, in general, prohibits such a prohibition.
The Democrats then respond that the First Amendment does not apply because disinformation is like falsely shouting FIRE in a crowded theater – people’s safety is at risk.
Republicans then point out that the analogy between political speech and falsely “shouting FIRE in a crowded theater” is rooted in a Supreme Court case dating back to WWI. In that case,
One of the treatments for cancer is often hormone therapy. Men with prostate cancer sometimes get what might be called anti-hormone therapy.
Prostate cancer cells need testosterone. Take away the testosterone, and they mostly stop growing and stop multiplying. This is accomplished with drugs that eliminate testosterone. It’s usually not permanent.
This treatment is not without side effects. Testosterone aids in numerous male functions, especially muscular strength and emotional aggressiveness. It’s the main reason that “women” who are really modified men who have gone through male puberty have a big advantage in women’s sports.
The choices in this election are evidently Donald Trump and Not-Donald Trump. Nobody is voting for Trump’s chimeric, charlatanic opponent, but many are voting against Trump.
Those Against-Trump voters fall into three camps.
Camp 1 comprises people who genuinely disagree with Trump on the issues. I think these voters are mostly wrong, but I grudgingly respect them. At least they’re analyzing the issues, even though they’re coming to the wrong conclusion.
So, OK . . .
Two countries share the Caribbean island that is called Hispaniola. The west side is Haiti. The east side is Dominican Republic (which shares practically nothing with Haiti except that island, but it’s racist to point that out).
“Failed state” is an understatement to describe Haiti. It’s one of the poorest, most dangerous places on earth. You can scarcely call it a nation. Gangs run the government. It’s been eight years since the last election in Haiti. But no matter; the elections are all rigged anyway..The State Department has honored Haiti with a “Level 4 Do Not Travel” advisory.
Are the Democrats trying to assassinate
President Trump, or are they just rooting
for it? 14 replies
President Trump, or are they just rooting
for it? 14 replies
Shortly after Donald Trump was inaugurated after the 2016 election, a so-called comedienne posted a picture of herself holding Trump’s severed, bloodied head. That apparently passes for comedy among Democrats.
In a presentation of Julius Caesar in the venerable Shakespeare in the Park production in New York City a few months later, a likeness of Trump was cast in the role of Caesar. I don’t need to remind you what happens to Caesar in the end.
The violent rhetoric from Democrats just keeps on coming, through Trump’s first term, into this year’s re-election campaign, and right up to weeks before the election.
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
Disney’s Hocus Pocus 2 star Bette Midler appears to be coping poorly on Election Day, suggesting drinking Drano in the event that former President Donald Trump wins.
Bette Midler posted a photo to X showing a bottle of Drano clog remover with a Post-It sticker reading “Trump Wins.” Next to it is a bottle of what looks to be Korbel champagne, with a sticker reading “Kamala Wins.” (X) Bette Midler has spent a great deal of 2024 lashing out against Trump and his supporters on social media.
If Vice President Kamala Harris loses the election, several Democrat officials believe that President Joe Biden will be to blame, a new Politico Playbook report revealed.
After speaking with Democrat insiders, the outlet stated, “If Harris loses, it’ll be because… she took the reins too late.”
“Already, most Democratic officials we’ve spoken to agree: If anyone should get the blame for a Trump win, it’s Biden,” Washington, DC, correspondents Rachel Bade and Eugene Daniels wrote Monday.
According to the Democrats they spoke to, Biden’s long-held commitment to running at 81 years old despite his obviously faltering mental health and low approval rating cost Harris
Rep. Jamie Raskin says there will be a
peaceful transfer only if the election
is 'free and fair' 31 replies
peaceful transfer only if the election
is 'free and fair' 31 replies
Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., said Friday that the Democrats will support the peaceful transfer of power in January, but only “If it’s a free and fair election.”
Raskin was on "Real Time with Bill Maher" on Friday, where he said, "When I say we will support a free and fair election, no we we're not going to allow them to steal it in the states, steal it with the Department of Justice or steal it with any other election official in the country. If it's a free and fair election, we will do what we've always done: Honor it."
Maher responded, "That is the Democrats' history: They honor it.
I'm serious. MSNBC's bitter, über-racist, TDS-riddled host Joy Reid went so off the rails during her opening editorial on the Monday night episode of "The ReidOut" that she was truly hilarious. Venomous as can be, Reid spewed delusional bile about former President Donald Trump that no sane and rational person believes, beginning with the same old references to "fascism" and "Hitler," and ending with cataclysmic predictions of what will happen if Trump wins. Again, truly hilarious.
Refusing to allow facts, data, logic, or history to get in her way, Reid began (emphasis, mine)
Hunter Biden has apparently found some popularity as a Hollywood party guest ahead of his sentencing next month in two cases.
Spies said that the convicted first son, 54, was at a party in Los Angeles last week grousing about his mounting legal bills and his infamous Ukraine scandal.
Said an insider of the A-list gathering: “Hunter Biden was trying to explain his history and problems to guests at a party in LA.”
The source said Hunter was telling guests that, “‘I have $18 million in legal bills, and… my cases hanging over my head.’ He also talked a lot about his Ukraine and Russia connections saying, ‘all these stories were set-ups.'”
On the eve of Election Day, the liberal ladies of ABC’s The View were so confident in Vice President Kamala Harris that they spent a good portion of it begging Republicans to vote Democratic. They even trotted out rejected former Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney to try to appeal to them. Moderator Whoopi Goldberg even floated their guest as the next attorney general of the United States, and possibly the director of the FBI or CIA.
Since facts don’t matter to ABC and they needed Harris to win the election, Sunny Hostin pushed the already debunked hoax the liberal media cooked up last week claiming former President Trump
Biden-Harris Administration Surreptitiously
Signs Up for UN World Governance, Internet Censorship 20 replies
Signs Up for UN World Governance, Internet Censorship 20 replies
On September 22, unnoticed by most Americans, the Biden-Harris administration adopted the United Nations Pact for the Future to transform global governance, which introduces the foundations of a world government. There was no debate, no media coverage, no press releases, and no interviews about the Biden-Harris administration's surrender of United States sovereignty to the UN.
Americans were apparently not supposed to find out. These agreements usher in a dystopian future, where the UN -- an active supporter of terrorism and arguably the world's most corrupt international entity... in partnership with the unelected and unaccountable World Economic Forum,
The Biggest Loser and the Irony Behind it
20 replies
f things go according to the current outlook, the biggest loser this week will not be Kamala, it will be Barack Obama. In specific terms his legacy is on the line.Kamala Harris would not be in position without the moves Chicago Jesus made in 2020 together with James Clyburn. Obama/Clyburn picked Senator Harris.
Kamala would not be in 2024 position, were it not for the intervention of Chicago Jesus, Pelosi and the upper echelon of DNC control officers. Once again, Obama stepped in to support Kamala. Barack Obama, together with Eric Holder, then selected Tim Walz.
This week, it’s not just the insufferable Kamala on the ballot, it’s Obama,
Why Veterans Really Hate Liz Cheney, Kamala
Harris, And The Architects Of The War
On Terror 17 replies
Harris, And The Architects Of The War
On Terror 17 replies
The recent controversy regarding Donald Trump’s criticism of Liz Cheney as a warhawk who has never faced the dangers of the wars she embraces has synthesized an issue that may be opaque to non-veterans: the extreme resentment many veterans of the Global War on Terrorism (GWOT) feel toward Kamala Harris and the Democrat Party.
Harris and the Democrats have created a perfect storm of veteran disdain in that they have succeeded in uniting three once-inapposite groups behind Harris: the neocons who started the GWOT, the media and Democrats who undermined the veterans’ GWOT missions, and the generals who failed again and again and again
The Pentagon is shirking its duty when it comes to providing active military members with the fundamental resources necessary to vote, according to three Republican congressmen. Reps. Brian Mast (R-FL), Mike Waltz (R-FL), and Bill Huizenga (R-MI) all signed a letter directed to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin demanding more resources for servicemembers.
“We urge you to mobilize all the necessary resources over the next seven days to give every American citizen wearing our nation’s uniform the opportunity to vote if they so desire, pursuant to all federal and state regulations governing elections,” the letter states.
A Second Amendment and free speech advocate, Lily Tang Williams is the GOP candidate running for United States Congress in New Hampshire District 2. Williams' opponent is part of the D.C. machine: Maggie Goodlander worked as a Senate staffer, a White House aid, and as a deputy assistant attorney general under Attorney General Merrick Garland before resigning to run for the District 2 seat as a Democrat. The seat was held for 12 years by Ann McLane Kuster (D-NH), who announced her retirement from Congress at the end of March.
First votes of Election Day cast in Dixville
Notch and result is NOT what people are expecting 16 replies
Notch and result is NOT what people are expecting 16 replies
Voting was officially underway on Election Day as six registered voters in the small town of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire cast their ballots just after midnight.
The results were too close to call, as the half dozen voters were split three-to-three between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
It's actually a sharp swing from 2020, when Joe Biden swept all five who voted against Trump. Voting was officially underway on Election Day as six registered voters in the small town of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire cast their ballots just after midnight.
The results were too close to call, as the half dozen voters were split three-to-three between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.