Here’s why Trump will win – it’s
pretty simple
Posted By: Big Bopper, 11/4/2024 4:22:16 PM
Political pundits have too much data, and they overanalyze it. There’s a lot of data available, a lot of pundits to analyze it, and a lot of clicks to corral. But the disengaged American middle doesn’t pay attention to nuances like last month’s job figures or the latest inflation report. They couldn’t find South America on a map even if you showed them where North America is. To the American middle, abortions are something other people get – and they’re usually a different kind of people. Less than a quarter of Americans are biologically eligible for an abortion
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Big Bopper"
Political pundits have too much data, and they overanalyze it. There’s a lot of data available, a lot of pundits to analyze it, and a lot of clicks to corral.
But the disengaged American middle doesn’t pay attention to nuances like last month’s job figures or the latest inflation report. They couldn’t find South America on a map even if you showed them where North America is.
To the American middle, abortions are something other people get – and they’re usually a different kind of people. Less than a quarter of Americans are biologically eligible for an abortion
Staffers quit and 200,000 subscribers
cancel after WaPo says its role is to
report the news 24 replies
cancel after WaPo says its role is to
report the news 24 replies
The venerable Washington Post may or may not have been a force for good, but it certainly was great.
They brought down Richard Nixon for crimes that were only modest by today’s inflated standards but serious at the time. They helped lose the Vietnam War – a war that was criminal, or just, depending on your view of history, but the losing of which was certainly a tragedy for the conquered South Vietnamese and most of the rest of the world.
They won the Pulitzer Prize 76 times, and many of those times were back when the Prize rewarded true excellence.
Democrat headlines suggest panic
2 replies
As Kamala continues her fall free-fall, the Democrats fear the worst. They fear that Kamala, like her predecessor and boss, has been found out. And the American people don’t like what they found out.
The people have found out that Kamala has always advocated an open border, is apparently ambivalent (at best) about Israel defending itself, wants taxpayer-funded “gender correction” surgery for male convicts so that women in female prisons can “enjoy” their company, and wants to double the capital gains tax.
In a nutshell, the Democrats fear that Kamala has been found out to be a hard-left socialist. Indeed, she has a voting record to the left of Bernie Sanders.
Ordinary people who don’t closely follow the game of politics never knew that Kamala Harris runs only to the left. As a Senator, she ran further to the left than Bernie Sanders, according to non-partisan statistics.
She wanted an unprotected border. She proposed taxpayer-funded “gender affirmation” surgery for male convicts so that they could play in women’s prisons. She favored abortions performed anytime, anywhere, and by anyone, up to at least birth. She rooted for the Philadelphia Eagles to win the World Series (OK, I make up that last one.)
There’s more, much more, but you get the drift. Until recently, most Americans knew none of Kamala’s playbook.
The left has hounded artistic Colorado baker Jack Phillips for over a decade. It started back in 2012 when a gay couple demanded that he create a “gay wedding cake” with two figurine husbands on top.
Of course, the gay couple could have gotten their gay cake created by many other bakers. They seem to have chosen Phillips not despite, but because, creating such a object was contrary to his religious beliefs.
Phillips politely said he would happily bake a cake for them, but not a gay cake. That’s an important point. Phillips did not simply refuse to serve the couple on the grounds that they were gay.
I predicted Trump would win the 2016 election. On the day of the election, the betting odds on that were 12%. Had I been a betting man, I’d have made YUGE money.
In 2020, I again predicted Trump would win. On the day of that election, the odds of that happening were 35%.
Trump lost that time, but, given the odds, I would not have lost nearly as much as I would have made four years earlier in 2016. I’d still be way ahead.
My point is that even though I missed the call in 2020, nailing the near-impossible call back in 2016 makes me a frigging prophet.
So, listen to me.
The Western Wall
2 replies
Muslims have the Taj Mahal and Mecca. Catholics have St. Peter’s Basilica and the Vatican. Jews have a wall.
The Western Wall is a stack of massive stone blocks a few dozen feet high and a couple of hundred feet long. It’s all that’s left of Jerusalem’s second Jewish temple, a structure that astonished even the Romans. The Romans destroyed it to punish the Jews for their Great Revolt in 70 A.D.
That wasn’t the first time. It’s called the “second” temple because it replaced Solomon’s temple, which had been destroyed by the Babylonians six centuries earlier.
Here’s how the First Amendment debate over governmental prohibitions on free speech has been framed:
The Democrats want the government to prohibit people from spreading “disinformation” that they don’t like.
The Republicans correctly point out that the First Amendment, in general, prohibits such a prohibition.
The Democrats then respond that the First Amendment does not apply because disinformation is like falsely shouting FIRE in a crowded theater – people’s safety is at risk.
Republicans then point out that the analogy between political speech and falsely “shouting FIRE in a crowded theater” is rooted in a Supreme Court case dating back to WWI. In that case,
One of the treatments for cancer is often hormone therapy. Men with prostate cancer sometimes get what might be called anti-hormone therapy.
Prostate cancer cells need testosterone. Take away the testosterone, and they mostly stop growing and stop multiplying. This is accomplished with drugs that eliminate testosterone. It’s usually not permanent.
This treatment is not without side effects. Testosterone aids in numerous male functions, especially muscular strength and emotional aggressiveness. It’s the main reason that “women” who are really modified men who have gone through male puberty have a big advantage in women’s sports.
The choices in this election are evidently Donald Trump and Not-Donald Trump. Nobody is voting for Trump’s chimeric, charlatanic opponent, but many are voting against Trump.
Those Against-Trump voters fall into three camps.
Camp 1 comprises people who genuinely disagree with Trump on the issues. I think these voters are mostly wrong, but I grudgingly respect them. At least they’re analyzing the issues, even though they’re coming to the wrong conclusion.
So, OK . . .
Two countries share the Caribbean island that is called Hispaniola. The west side is Haiti. The east side is Dominican Republic (which shares practically nothing with Haiti except that island, but it’s racist to point that out).
“Failed state” is an understatement to describe Haiti. It’s one of the poorest, most dangerous places on earth. You can scarcely call it a nation. Gangs run the government. It’s been eight years since the last election in Haiti. But no matter; the elections are all rigged anyway..The State Department has honored Haiti with a “Level 4 Do Not Travel” advisory.
Are the Democrats trying to assassinate
President Trump, or are they just rooting
for it? 14 replies
President Trump, or are they just rooting
for it? 14 replies
Shortly after Donald Trump was inaugurated after the 2016 election, a so-called comedienne posted a picture of herself holding Trump’s severed, bloodied head. That apparently passes for comedy among Democrats.
In a presentation of Julius Caesar in the venerable Shakespeare in the Park production in New York City a few months later, a likeness of Trump was cast in the role of Caesar. I don’t need to remind you what happens to Caesar in the end.
The violent rhetoric from Democrats just keeps on coming, through Trump’s first term, into this year’s re-election campaign, and right up to weeks before the election.
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Rep. Jamie Raskin says there will be a
peaceful transfer only if the election
is 'free and fair' 17 replies
peaceful transfer only if the election
is 'free and fair' 17 replies
Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., said Friday that the Democrats will support the peaceful transfer of power in January, but only “If it’s a free and fair election.”
Raskin was on "Real Time with Bill Maher" on Friday, where he said, "When I say we will support a free and fair election, no we we're not going to allow them to steal it in the states, steal it with the Department of Justice or steal it with any other election official in the country. If it's a free and fair election, we will do what we've always done: Honor it."
Maher responded, "That is the Democrats' history: They honor it.
A Second Amendment and free speech advocate, Lily Tang Williams is the GOP candidate running for United States Congress in New Hampshire District 2. Williams' opponent is part of the D.C. machine: Maggie Goodlander worked as a Senate staffer, a White House aid, and as a deputy assistant attorney general under Attorney General Merrick Garland before resigning to run for the District 2 seat as a Democrat. The seat was held for 12 years by Ann McLane Kuster (D-NH), who announced her retirement from Congress at the end of March.
In case you have not been paying attention – leftist groups around the country have been caught corrupting our elections by dumping tens of thousands of bogus ballot registrations into our voter rolls. This is taking place in state after state.
PENNSYLVANIA
Lancaster County, Pennsylvania city officials announced eight days ago that they were investigating a massive fraudulent voter registration operation investigation involving thousands of fraudulent voter registrations. At least 2,500 ballot registrations were in question.
On Saturday, Lehigh County, Pennsylvania announced that they were also investigating hundreds of fake ballot registrations that were turned in recently by a questionable voter registration group.
The Pentagon is shirking its duty when it comes to providing active military members with the fundamental resources necessary to vote, according to three Republican congressmen. Reps. Brian Mast (R-FL), Mike Waltz (R-FL), and Bill Huizenga (R-MI) all signed a letter directed to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin demanding more resources for servicemembers.
“We urge you to mobilize all the necessary resources over the next seven days to give every American citizen wearing our nation’s uniform the opportunity to vote if they so desire, pursuant to all federal and state regulations governing elections,” the letter states.
One of the best ways to know what Democrats are up to is to simply check how they’re smearing their opponents. [Snip] Republican electeds better have an intelligent plan for post-election chaos...If any agitation occurs among any group that isn’t obviously allied with Democrats, it will certainly be pinned on Republicans and their voters and used to justify increasing the deployment of counterterrorism tools against half of Americans. [Snip] Leftist activists say that even Trump declaring victory on election night--a long-established American tradition only broken in 2020--constitutes an incitement to violence and could be “disinformation.”
Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has not appeared with former President Donald Trump on the campaign trail since she dropped her bid challenging him and offered her endorsement, but she is giving her former rival a last-minute push.
Writing in an essay for the Wall Street Journal, she encouraged voters to show up and support Trump on Election Day. The Sunday call was part of a final effort by Trump’s mash-up of supporters trying to put aside past differences and elect the Republican nominee. Haley used the opportunity to paint a future Trump administration as an improvement on what the country has experienced the last four years
The Biggest Loser and the Irony Behind it
14 replies
f things go according to the current outlook, the biggest loser this week will not be Kamala, it will be Barack Obama. In specific terms his legacy is on the line.Kamala Harris would not be in position without the moves Chicago Jesus made in 2020 together with James Clyburn. Obama/Clyburn picked Senator Harris.
Kamala would not be in 2024 position, were it not for the intervention of Chicago Jesus, Pelosi and the upper echelon of DNC control officers. Once again, Obama stepped in to support Kamala. Barack Obama, together with Eric Holder, then selected Tim Walz.
This week, it’s not just the insufferable Kamala on the ballot, it’s Obama,
The New York Times Tech Guild that represents hundreds of the giant newspaper's tech staffers went on strike on Monday, one day before Election Day. The guild said in a statement that members would begin protesting outside the Times headquarters on a daily basis, beginning at 9 a.m. on Monday, according to the New York Times.
The planned walkout came after a vote on Sept. 10 to go on strike at a critical juncture if a deal wasn't made: Election Week.
A buddy of mine grew up in the Soviet Union. Nice guy. He always insisted that the biggest fallacy Americans had about the Soviet people was that the Russians weren’t aware of the news. According to him, Americans knew that the Politburo censored Pravda (and all Russian-language media outlets), so we crazy capitalists assumed the Soviet citizens were living in a land without information. “Those poor, gullible Rooskies! They’ll believe anything their government tells ‘em!”
In fact, he actually argued the opposite was true: It was the Americans who were most manipulated by the media
How Could He Possibly Lose?
13 replies
You may wonder if it is at all possible that Donald Trump could lose the election after all the polls and positive reactions from his rallies and podcast appearances.
The contrast between his huge rallies and the pitifully attended Harris events that did not have celebrities in posh settings is considerable, but it was the same in 2020.
Joe Biden held his appearances from his basement and rarely appeared in person yet he won, didn’t he?
But in 2024, Trump has the richest and smartest man in the whole world in his camp and set to join him in the new administration to fix this broken, corrupt government.
Pittsburgh’s Jewish community is putting the Harris-Walz campaign on notice as they hurdle toward Election Day: stand with Israel and denounce anti-Israel activists or you’ll face Democratic defections at the ballot box.
The backlash has been brewing since the Harris campaign hosted speakers at Steel City rallies who had blamed Israel for the October 7 attacks that killed 1,200 people in southern Israel, despite explicit pleas from the Jewish community.
The campaign ignored those pleas, a person familiar with the conversation told The Post, and went on to give speaking roles to Pittsburgh Mayor Ed Gainey and Allegheny County Executive Sara Innamorato, opening for Barack Obama and Tim Walz, respectively.
The final national NBC News poll of the 2024 presidential campaign finds a neck and neck contest defined by clashing forces that have aided both Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump in their pursuit of the White House.
Taken together, the poll shows Harris getting support from 49% of registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Trump gets an identical 49%. Just 2% of voters say they’re unsure about the choice.
Boosting Harris: rising Democratic enthusiasm, a 20-point lead over Trump on the issue of abortion, and an advantage for Harris on which candidate better looks out for the middle class.