Can Trump Really Win in 2024?
Posted By: Garnet, 12/18/2023 12:41:57 AM
It has long been obvious that the Democrats badly want Donald Trump to be the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. This may seem counterintuitive in light of a recent spate of polls showing the former president leading Joe Biden, but this is primarily an artifact of the latter’s weakness. The most reliable polls show Trump bumping up against a ceiling of about 47 percent of the popular vote, which is consistent with his performance in the last two elections. Moreover, in order to win in the Electoral College, he must recapture several swing states Biden narrowly won in 2020.
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Garnet"
Tim Scott Is Trump’s Ideal Running Mate 23 replies
The conventional wisdom concerning vice-presidential picks is that they don’t really matter because voters focus on the top of the ticket in presidential elections. This is ordinarily true, but 2024 is no ordinary election. This time the winner will be the oldest president ever inaugurated, so it’s eminently possible that his vice-president will be called on to finish his term. We know what that means if Biden wins, so Trump’s running mate will receive more than the usual amount of voter scrutiny. Thus, he must not choose another irascible white male or any Florida resident. This eliminates all but one
Biden: Slip Slidin' Away 13 replies
President Biden "shows signs of slipping," the Wall Street Journal reported this week. Journalists Annie Linskey and Siobhan Hughes—no conservatives—spoke to 45 people who have met with the president and noticed his mental and physical decline. They recount, in detail, several meetings over the past year where Biden has been forgetful, confused, and out of it. The president, Linskey and Hughes report, "appears slower now, someone who has both good moments and bad ones."
No kidding.
You don't need the Journal to tell you that Biden is diminished. You need only to open your eyes. Go over Special Counsel Robert Hur's report into Biden's unauthorized removal of classified documents.
The conviction of former President Trump in the so-called hush-money trial has inevitably led to a lot of speculation concerning whether he will be sentenced to prison. A number of legal experts have suggested that it is unlikely. Normally this would be a reasonable prediction. Unfortunately, there was nothing normal about this trial. The “felonies” for which Trump was convicted were concocted by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg based on a legal theory that had never been used in any court. As to presiding judge Juan Merchan, he is a political partisan bristling with conflicts of interest.
Young voters overwhelmingly believe that almost all politicians are corrupt and that the country will end up worse off than when they were born, according to new polling from Democratic firm Blueprint obtained exclusively by Semafor.
The sour mood points to potential trouble for Joe Biden, who is struggling with Gen Z and younger Millennials in polls compared with 2020, and needs to convince them he can be relied on to improve their lives.
As part of the online poll of 943 18-30-year-old registered voters, Blueprint asked participants to respond to a series of questions about the American political system: 49% agreed to some extent that elections
It’s the Cost of Living, Stupid! 8 replies
President Biden and the corporate media are growing increasingly frustrated by the failure of Americans to accept their assurances that the economy is in good shape. They insist that there is an inexplicable disconnect between the public’s gloomy perception of the economy and the sunny state of affairs described by official government statistics. A vocal proponent of this view is New York Times columnist Paul Krugman. As recently as Friday, he declared himself unable to understand pervasive pessimism about the economy and dismissed the phenomenon as a “vibecession.” Sorry, no sale.
Any experienced negotiator knows that, if his opening offer is immediately accepted, he has given away too much. Consequently, it must have rattled President Biden’s handlers when former President Trump instantly agreed to their debate proposal, despite its extravagant demands concerning format and rules. The Biden team very likely expected Trump to balk at some of those preconditions, which would have enabled them to portray his frequently repeated offer to debate “anytime, anywhere” as an empty bluff. Instead, he gleefully exclaimed, “Let’s get ready to rumble.” Moreover, he proposed additional encounters beyond those offered by the Biden campaign.
Westchester County prosecutors are giving anti-Israel protesters who were busted during a campus demonstration at SUNY Purchase a choice: Enroll in a crime prevention course or face jail time.
Westchester District Attorney Mimi Rocah said nearly all of the 68 protesters arrested at the state university on May 2 will have the option to take a three-hour “Fresh Start” course to avoid prosecution and potentially keep them out of the county lockup, the office said Wednesday.
“After evaluating the facts and circumstances, the WCDAO is offering our pre-arraignment diversionary program to eligible individuals, as we routinely do when first-time defendants face trespass violations,” a spokesperson for Rocah said in a statement.
Comedian Jerry Seinfeld delivered the commencement address at Duke University on Sunday. The media made a big deal out of the fact that a few students got up and walked out when Seinfeld came to the podium.
Seinfeld received an honorary degree.
It was maybe 25-30 students who left, from what I can tell. There was a little of the "Free Palestine" propaganda slogan shouted. While the media was running with that part of Seinfeld's role in the graduation ceremony, the real story was Seinfeld's speech.
The sight of the students walking out on a Jewish speaker was antisemitism on display. What did they hope to accomplish?
NY Judge May Get Trump Elected 6 replies
Recently, when former President Trump openly accused the New York judge presiding over his “hush money” trial of plotting to put him in jail and declared himself willing to emulate Nelson Mandela, it had the desired effect on the commentariat and the savants of social media. They provided Trump with plenty of earned coverage and precious little substance concerning how the voters will react if he is jailed for committing a misdemeanor. It’s obvious that the Biden reelection campaign is relying on lawfare to drive down Trump’s support.
According to a Washington Post-Ipsos poll, black voters’ desire to vote in the 2024 general election has fallen off since 2020, which could be worrisome for President Joe Biden.
The poll found that 62% of black voters said they were “absolutely certain to vote,” which is down from 74% who said they were certain to vote in June 2020. The Biden campaign recently announced it would spend $25 million trying to reach key demographics of voters in battleground states in what some have called “the largest and earliest investment in Black media for a reelection campaign in history.”
Are Trump’s Polls Understating His Lead? 4 replies
During the two months since President Biden delivered his State of the Union address, a wide variety of legacy news outlets have been at pains to portray an infinitesimal improvement in his polling as a shift of momentum in the presidential race. Last week, for example, USA Today breathlessly reported that “Trump and Biden are ‘darn near even’ in the 2024 election.” If this was meant to provide moral sustenance for worried Democrats it was thin gruel indeed. Biden is an incumbent president struggling to keep up with a challenger most of whose time and money has been devoted to fighting off a ruthless lawfare campaign.
Hala Rharrit, a career diplomat, handed in her resignation over the Biden administration's policy in the Israel-Hamas war.
Rharrit has an 18-year career as a U.S. diplomat. She is an Arabic language spokesperson described as one of the most recognized faces of American diplomacy for Arab media. She is opposed to what she called Biden's unwavering support for Israel. She said others in the State Department are afraid to speak out with their views publicly.
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Walmart has issued a public response to a growing nationwide boycott that began Monday, as some Americans pledge to avoid the retail giant for a week in protest over a range of economic and political grievances. "Serving communities is at the heart of Walmart's purpose to help people save money and live better," the company said in a statement shared with Newsweek. (Snip) The protest is the latest in a string of consumer-led boycotts targeting major corporations over their political influence, labor practices, or perceived social stances. The consumer strike is being run by a group called People's Union USA
Cutting emissions: hairdressers and barbers
will be trained to talk about climate
with customers 23 replies
will be trained to talk about climate
with customers 23 replies
Can I get a cut, blow-dry and a crash course in climate please?
That could be the request in salons across the country under a scheme that aims to train hairdressers and barbers to get conversations going about one of the most hair-raising issues facing humanity.
‘A Brush With Climate’ is inspired by a movement that started in Sydney, Australia when a salon owner looked to see how to use their renowned conversational skills to get chats going about solutions to the climate crisis.
Four towns are to be chosen under the pilot scheme with local hairdressers and barbers invited to become involved.
University College Cork is overseeing the project
Monday on MSNBC’s “Deadline,” Princeton University professor and network contributor Eddie Glaude, Jr. said he believed people voted for President Donald Trump because they did not want to elect a black woman.
Glaude said, “I don’t know what it’s going to take for the American people, for 78 million Americans to deal with what motivated them to make the choice to elect this man again, to make the choice will allow these people to undermine every fundamental assumption we have.”
He continued, “The choice that they’ve made, we have to just be honest, is to literally throw the republican to the trash bin.”
Glaude added, “We chose a felon
Barack Obama has lost his mojo and ruined his brand.
It used to be said that President Joe Biden was serving former President Obama’s third term, that his former boss was controlling him from the home he had bought in DC’s ritzy Kalorama neighborhood, two miles from the White House.
The feeling was that Obama was the real leader of the Democratic Party and his wife, Michelle, was the secret weapon they would whip out in 2024 to replace Biden and trounce Donald Trump.
Caroline Kennedy’s 32-year-old son Jack Schlossberg is ensuring the Kennedy reputation for being pigs doesn’t skip his generation.
The grandson of former President John F. Kennedy is using social media to openly fantasize about having a baby with Vice President JD Vance’s wife, Usha.
“I’m having a son !! So excited about this. Cannot wait for the birth of my next child because today was the best day of my life,” Schlossberg wrote on his Instagram account.
“Out of wedlock, yes. But we might get married,” he added.
Attached to the birth announcement was a photo of the lovely Usha Vance holding a baby with Jack Schlossberg’s smug face.
The last thing the Palestinians need are more calls from Qatar-based extremist for terrorism and jihad. If these Muslim "scholars" really want to help their Palestinian brothers, they should be calling on Hamas to release all the Israeli hostages they kidnapped, then to disarm, and then to stop pursuing the disastrous path of terrorism and jihad.
The "scholars" leading the IUMS live safely in Qatar, not in the Gaza Strip, and they are therefore not directly affected by the war that Hamas launched.
That such a call by an influential Islamic group comes from an organization based in Doha illustrates why Qatar c
Chinese woman detained for expired visa
dies by suicide at Border Patrol station
in Arizona 18 replies
dies by suicide at Border Patrol station
in Arizona 18 replies
A Chinese woman detained by border patrol officers for overstaying her visa died by suicide at the US Border Patrol station in Arizona after officers reportedly failed to perform required welfare checks on her, US Representative Pramila Jayapal alleged.
The woman, a 52-year-old Chinese national, was picked up in California after authorities determined she overstayed her B1/B2 visitor visa, Jayapal said in a statement last week. She was sent to the Yuma station in Arizona and was detained there until her sudden death on March 29.
Michelle Obama’s New Podcast is a Total
Flop – Here’s Where It Ranks on the
Streaming Charts 15 replies
Flop – Here’s Where It Ranks on the
Streaming Charts 15 replies
Michelle Obama’s new podcast with her brother, Craig Robinson, and is a total flop.
The new venture, the “IMO” podcast, was launched by Higher Ground, the Obamas’ media company.
The latest episode titled, “Pursue What You Love Before You Pursue Love” has only garnered 11,000 views in 11 hours.
The IMO podcast is not climbing the charts like Michelle Obama thought it would.
Doral, Fla. — Wilmer Escaray left Venezuela in 2007 and enrolled at Miami Dade College, opening his first restaurant six years later.
Today he has a dozen businesses that hire Venezuelan migrants like he once was, workers who are now terrified by what could be the end of their legal shield from deportation.
Since the start of February the Trump administration has ended two federal programs that together allowed more 700,000 Venezuelans to live and work legally in the U.S. along with hundreds of thousands of Cubans, Haitians and Nicaraguans.
In the largest Venezuelan community in the United States,
President Trump stood by his wide-scale tariffs, calling them a “beautiful thing to behold” that will eventually be largely supported even as the stock futures dropped Sunday evening.
“They are already in effect, and a beautiful thing to behold. The Surplus with these Countries has grown during the ‘Presidency’ of Sleepy Joe Biden,” Trump blasted out on Truth Social Sunday night as he attempted to justify the action he took against around 90 nations last week.
“We are going to reverse it, and reverse it QUICKLY. Some day people will realize that Tariffs, for the United States of America, are a very beautiful thing!”
Representative Andy Biggs (R-AZ) has filed a resolution to remove U.S. District Court Judge James E. Boasberg for failing to uphold the Constitution’s “good behavior” clause—without requiring the traditional two-thirds Senate vote.
The resolution, submitted in the House of Representatives, alleges Judge Boasberg—currently Chief Judge of the powerful United States District Court for the District of Columbia—knowingly abused his position to interfere with the constitutional authority of President Donald Trump.
The resolution declares Judge Boasberg’s conduct a breach of constitutional order, particularly his unlawful meddling in President Trump’s lawful directive
The Trump administration will be allowed to resume deporting suspected Venezuelan gangbangers under the 1798 Alien Enemies Act after the Supreme Court on Monday lifted a lower court order that blocked the deportations.
DC District Court Chief Judge James Boasberg had blocked President Trump from invoking the rarely used wartime law last month, and later extended his temporary restraining order until at least April 12.
The Trump administration filed an emergency request with the Supreme Court to review Boasberg’s pause on March 28, after a divided three-judge panel on the DC Circuit Court of Appeals rejected a request to lift the stay as litigation plays out.
