Democrats worried about polls undercounting
Donald Trump’s support
Posted By: Dreadnought, 9/23/2024 8:52:37 PM
Democrats are increasingly worried that pollsters are undercounting Donald Trump’s voter support, rating his prospects of winning November’s presidential election as much higher than headline opinion polling figures suggest. While most national surveys show consistent, though moderate, leads for Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, some supporters are unnerved by the small margin of her advantage in three northern battlegrounds – Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin – which are deemed must-wins in her quest for the White House. Although some polls have shown the vice-president with leads of between four and six points in Pennsylvania – generally judged the most important swing state – others show Trump trailing by smaller deficits.
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Democrats are increasingly worried that pollsters are undercounting Donald Trump’s voter support, rating his prospects of winning November’s presidential election as much higher than headline opinion polling figures suggest.
While most national surveys show consistent, though moderate, leads for Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, some supporters are unnerved by the small margin of her advantage in three northern battlegrounds – Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin – which are deemed must-wins in her quest for the White House.
Although some polls have shown the vice-president with leads of between four and six points in Pennsylvania – generally judged the most important swing state – others show Trump trailing by smaller deficits.
Former President Donald Trump surged ahead by five points in Arizona, maintained a four point lead in Georgia, and held steady in North Carolina, according to New York Times/Siena College presidential election polling on Monday.
Seven states — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina — will decide the presidential election, political experts believe. If Trump wins one or more of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia, Kamala Harris’s path to obtain 270 electoral votes becomes almost impossible. Arizona
Trump’s surged ten points in the Copper State since August to take a five point lead (50-45 percent) over Vice President Kamala Harris
The second presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris failed to give the Democrat hopeful a “boost,” Politico’s polling experts acknowledged Monday.
Politico’s analysis runs counter to the establishment media claims Harris received a significant increase in support following the debate.
Politico’s Steven Shepard reported:
But surveys point to just a slight Harris bump, with national polls showing the Democrat’s lead has grown by about 1 percentage point since the day of the debate — even including national polls from NBC News and CBS News on Sunday giving Harris a mid-single-digit lead.
Former President Donald Trump told Breitbart News that he plans to aggressively ramp up his campaign activity in the final 40 or so days until the election, with events set across the battleground states, but also in red states and blue states.
“We’re going to be doing a lot of campaigning and going to a lot of places, not just the swing states because I feel that states that are sort of automatically with us I don’t think should be excluded,” Trump said in a nearly hour-long phone interview on Sunday. “We should reward them for loyalty.
Kamala Harris is out campaigning at long last, but her schedule this week doesn't seem to include the swing states of the South.
Instead of campaigning in North Carolina (16 electoral college votes) and Georgia (16 votes), she's focused on Arizona (11 votes), Nevada (6 votes) and Pennsylvania (19 votes) this week.
Pennsylvania, I can understand. It's hotly contested. But her lunge for the Western states over the Southern states suggests maybe her chances aren't quite as good as she'd like. Or perhaps just as likely, she's alarmed at the inroads made by the Trump side of the contest in those Western redoubts, particularly Arizona, where Trump reportedly leads, polls show.
On Monday, the Department of Justice released a handwritten letter from Ryan Wesley Routh, the suspect in the attempted assassination of Donald Trump. The letter, written months before the attempt, was turned over to authorities by a witness who received it along with other items in a box several months prior.
And the son of Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., is blasting the Department of Justice for releasing the letter. "This was an assassination attempt on Donald Trump,” the letter began, "but I am so sorry I failed you. I tried my best and gave it all the gumption I could muster."
Volodymyr Zelensky has joined the growing list of foreigners campaigning for Kamala Harris.
No doubt the media mavens of the transnational elite will call for immediate impeachment of Harris for her collusion with Zelensky to interfere in our election.
Yeah, right. Sure, it's true that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have been funneling uncounted billions into Ukraine and that much of that money has been sucked up by corrupt politicians and their buddies, But this is the right sort of corruption, so nobody in the Establishment is bothered by it at all.
One of the more confusing things about this election cycle is the total disconnect between what the polls are showing--a race with Kamala Harris slightly but consistently ahead--and all the other data we see with our own eyes.
Pollsters find lots of people who have swung heavily toward Kamala Harris despite the same people thinking she was an ineffective and vapid Vice President two months ago.
But then you see reporters in search of Harris voters, and they are pretty scarce on the ground. There are even accounts on Twitter tracking the cell phones of attendees at Harris rallies, which show that many of the people attending aren't
LONDON -- The Israeli military expanded its Lebanon campaign with hundreds of airstrikes on Monday, as the long-simmering border conflict with Hezbollah threatened to explode into a larger war.
Dozens of Israeli warplanes struck more than 800 targets in southern Lebanon on Monday morning, according to the Israel Defense Forces.
At least 274 people were killed and more than 1,000 wounded in the ongoing strikes, among them women, children and medical personnel, the Lebanon Ministry of Public Health said. Of those killed, 21 were children and 39 were women, the ministry said.
The IDF is pre-empting security threats rather than waiting to respond to attacks, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said as the IDF said it had struck around 800 Hezbollah targets and called on Lebanese civilians to evacuate homes near the terror group’s missile sites.
"I would like to clarify Israel's policy to whoever does not yet understand,” Netanyahu stated as he held security consultations with Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and IDF Chief-of-Staff Herzi Halevi.
“We are not waiting for the threat, we are pre-empting it – everywhere, in every sector, constantly. We are eliminating senior figures, terrorists, and missiles – and our arm is still extended,” he stressed.
Multiple reports on Sunday and Monday indicated, citing unnamed sources, that attempts by the administration of President Joe Biden to end Israel’s self-defense operations against the jihadist terrorist organization Hamas in Gaza have not yielded any significant progress.
Both Israel and Hamas reportedly rejected the latest attempts at a ceasefire deal from the White House, the Times of Israel reported on Sunday, suggesting that the Israeli government politely raised “reservations” with the proposed agreement, while Hamas terror leaders “flatly rejected” the deal. The proposed deal appears to be the result of a visit to Egypt, a core mediator, by Secretary of State Antony Blinken
If there is a Third World War, historians will note that — like the First — it began with weak and unimaginative leadership and in the unlikeliest of places. No one could have known that an assassin's bullets in Sarajevo on June 28, 1914, would begin a monthslong march to a global war from which Europe has not (and never will) culturally recover. If we're sliding into another global war, historians will write that the years-long march began in Kabul, Afghanistan on Aug. 15, 2021.
How did we get here?
It all started with cold, hard cash.
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
Joe Biden’s Department of Justice released a ten page pre-trial memorandum in support of a pre-trial detention of would-be Trump assassin Ryan Wesley Routh.[Snip]the Department of Justice posted Routh’s reward letter to anyone who will finish the job and murder President Trump.[Snip] The letter reads in part:
Dear World,This was an assassination attempt on Donald Trump but I am so sorry I failed you. I tried my best and gave all the gumption I could muster. It is up to you now to finish the job. And I will offer $150,00 to whomever can complete the job.
Philadelphia continues its spiral into chaos under Democratic leadership, with violent mobs once again taking to the streets, this time attacking police officers and patrol cars in a brazen display of lawlessness.
According to reports from 6 ABC, hundreds of cars and massive crowds participated in illegal car meetups, causing widespread chaos that lasted from 9:30 p.m. Saturday until 4:30 a.m. Sunday.
At least 11 meetups took place, six of which turned into violent confrontations with police. The mayhem resulted in the hospitalization of one officer, while five police cars were heavily damaged.
US sending more troops to Middle East
as latest Israel-Hezbollah fighting sparks
fear of all-out war 20 replies
as latest Israel-Hezbollah fighting sparks
fear of all-out war 20 replies
The U.S. is sending additional troops to the Middle East in response to a sharp spike in violence between Israel and Hezbollah forces in Lebanon that has raised the risk of a greater regional war, the Pentagon said Monday.
Pentagon press secretary Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder would provide no details on how many additional forces or what they would be tasked to do. The U.S. currently has about 40,000 troops in the region.
“In light of increased tension in the Middle East and out of an abundance of caution, we are sending a small number of additional U.S. military personnel forward to augment our forces that are already in the region.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy flew into a key U.S. swing state this week on a taxpayer-funded aircraft after publicly criticizing former President Donald Trump and Republican Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance.
Zelenskyy touched down in Scranton, Pennsylvania, on Sunday in a U.S. Air Force C-17A aircraft and toured a local munitions factory that has been producing armaments for Ukraine amid the country’s ongoing war against Russia. During his visit, Zelenskyy met with high-level Democratic Pennsylvania officials such as Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bob Casey and Rep. Matt Cartwright and expressed his gratitude “for their support.”
Multiple reports on Sunday and Monday indicated, citing unnamed sources, that attempts by the administration of President Joe Biden to end Israel’s self-defense operations against the jihadist terrorist organization Hamas in Gaza have not yielded any significant progress.
Both Israel and Hamas reportedly rejected the latest attempts at a ceasefire deal from the White House, the Times of Israel reported on Sunday, suggesting that the Israeli government politely raised “reservations” with the proposed agreement, while Hamas terror leaders “flatly rejected” the deal. The proposed deal appears to be the result of a visit to Egypt, a core mediator, by Secretary of State Antony Blinken
Leftist Senator Raphael Warnock Claims
Georgia’s Hand-Counted Ballot Rules
Subvert Democracy (VIDEO) 16 replies
Georgia’s Hand-Counted Ballot Rules
Subvert Democracy (VIDEO) 16 replies
The far-left Georgia Senator Raphael Warnock has claimed that rules in Georgia forcing the hand counting of ballots is a subversion of democracy.
In an interview with MSNBC’s Jen Psaki, Warnock made the case that common sense election integrity rules are a ploy by Republicans to steal the momentum from Kamala Harris.
“The news that Georgia voters [ought to be] paying attention to is this, the fact that they are doing this, means that they know we’re winning,” Warnock said.
“They know that the momentum is with Kamala Harris, and this effort to turn the democracy on its head, so that rather than the voters picking their representatives,
Over 700 Deep State Members Back Harris
— Including Some Who Signed the Hunter
Biden Laptop Letter 14 replies
— Including Some Who Signed the Hunter
Biden Laptop Letter 14 replies
More than 700 members of the Deep State — a mixture of high, medium, and low-ranking government officials and staffers — signed a letter endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris on Sunday, in a move reminiscent of the letter 51 former intelligence officials signed claiming the Hunter Biden laptop was Russian disinformation.
In fact, some of the signatories of the new letter also signed the Hunter Biden laptop letter, such as former Obama CIA Director John Brennan and Air Force Gen. (Ret.) Michael Hayden.Other signatories of the new letter include Trump-haters Alexander Vindman, the former Ukrainian-American National Security Council staffer and retired Army lieutenant colonel who sparked the second impeachment
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen issues
stark warning on the economy ahead of
the 2024 election 13 replies
stark warning on the economy ahead of
the 2024 election 13 replies
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen issued a stark warning about the economy and delivered what appeared to be a veiled endorsement with just over forty days to go before the presidential election.
In an op-ed written in the Wall Street Journal, the top economic official signaled the U.S. is on the right economic path and touted the policies implemented in the Biden administration over the last three and a half years. But she also warned the U.S. needs to stay on track.
'Risks remain, but the data suggest that we’re on the path to a soft landing,' Yellen wrote just days after the Federal Reserve announced its largest interest rate cut
Leon Panetta Calls the Hezbollah 'Pager'
Attack 'Terrorism' - My Advice to Panetta:
Shut Up 12 replies
Attack 'Terrorism' - My Advice to Panetta:
Shut Up 12 replies
"Zero Dark Thirty" was a pretty solid movie. I liked it because the producers and director didn’t sugarcoat the way that CIA operatives treated terrorists. Terrorists deserved their fate. The composite protagonist “Maya” was a CIA analyst who worked tirelessly to bring justice down on Osama Bin Laden — AKA a bullet to the brain.
After Maya had fingered where Bin Laden was, she met with Leon Panetta, the then-head of the CIA. Panetta was portrayed by James Gandolfini. I don’t object to artistic license when actors portray real people, but Gandolfini was a big man: 6’1” and intimidating. He looked intimidating just standing still. Panetta,
A federal judge has ruled that it would be unconstitutional for an Indiana prison to deny a transgender inmate sex reassignment surgery following the inmate's lawsuit against the facility. The American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) sued the Indiana Department of Corrections last year on behalf of a transgender inmate, Jonathan C. Richardson, also known as Autumn Cordellionè, who was convicted of strangling his 11-month-old stepdaughter to death in 2001.
Indiana law, however, prohibits the Department of Corrections from using taxpayer dollars to fund sex reassignment surgeries for inmates. However, the ACLU argues in the lawsuit, filed on Aug. 28, 2023, that the law is a violation of the Eighth Amendment’s prohibition
Volodymyr Zelensky has joined the growing list of foreigners campaigning for Kamala Harris.
No doubt the media mavens of the transnational elite will call for immediate impeachment of Harris for her collusion with Zelensky to interfere in our election.
Yeah, right. Sure, it's true that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have been funneling uncounted billions into Ukraine and that much of that money has been sucked up by corrupt politicians and their buddies, But this is the right sort of corruption, so nobody in the Establishment is bothered by it at all.
Nancy Pelosi Accused of ‘Straight Up
Lying’ When Confronted About How Kamala
Actually Came to Power 12 replies
Lying’ When Confronted About How Kamala
Actually Came to Power 12 replies
Former Speaker of the House and top Democratic figurehead Nancy Pelosi is under fire after some demonstrably false statements were made — to uproarious approval.
To wit, Pelosi spoke to Semafor on Wednesday, according to The National Desk.
As part of a bigger interview, Pelosi was eventually asked a relevant question: What happened to Pelosi’s prior calls for an open primary after incumbent President Joe Biden stepped down from seeking re-election?
As she was reminded of at the Semafor forum, Pelosi had previously advocated for having an actual primary contest post-Biden.