CNN Data Guru Brings Sad News for Kamala:
If Trump Outperforms Polls by a Mere 1
Point—It's Game Over
Posted By: Dreadnought, 9/7/2024 10:31:24 AM
CNN’s enthusiastic Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten said Friday that the presidential contest is historically tight and that the slightest shift in momentum could alter the outcome. Moreover, he added, if Donald Trump outperforms current polling by a mere point—which is certainly possible, if not likely, given recent presidential elections—he’ll be strolling into the Oval Office in January 2025. Polls in 2016 and 2020 consistently—and famously—underestimated Trump’s support. Enten pointed out that no race has been this tight in decades, a fact which has to be giving cause for the former president to smile while drawing mournful frowns from Team Kamala.
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The view numbers for the first presidential debate were released on Wednesday, showing a significant rise from the June debate between Trump and Biden.
The Nielsen figures show that 58 million people tuned in for the debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris on Tuesday, roughly 6.5 million more than who watched the debate between Biden and Trump, which likely led to the former’s decision to drop from the race. According to Axios, the viewership numbers for Tuesday may rise about 60 million “once Nielsen finishes a more comprehensive tally.”
Harris campaign avoids specifics, gambling
that good vibes will propel her to White House 10 replies
that good vibes will propel her to White House 10 replies
Vice President Kamala Harris came out of her debate with former President Donald Trump armed with confidence she could win the White House with an aspirational message light on specifics.
In the weeks since she has become the Democratic Party’s nominee, Ms. Harris has talked about joy, vision, and values, but has been bereft of policy ideas. Instead, she has called for a broad range of standard proposals embraced by mainstream Democrats.
She only added policies to her website this week, more than 50 days since President Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed her. Ms. Harris’ policy page is vague and dedicates nearly as much space
Very few debates have as crystal-clear a loser as the Trump–Biden debate in June. This wasn’t one of them. The moderators were bad and biased in Harris’s favor, and I suppose you could deploy the old saw that the side complaining about the moderators is who lost, but that’s just standard by now.
Given my metric from this morning — that the winner is whichever candidate the debate isn’t about — this was probably a narrow win for Kamala Harris. She escaped a detailed examination of her record or a detailed elaboration of her plans. She didn’t pratfall trying to explain herself.
But then,
Kamala Harris was widely seen as dominating Tuesday's presidential debate against Republican former president Donald Trump, but a group of undecided voters remained unconvinced that the Democratic vice president was the better candidate.
Reuters interviewed 10 people who were still unsure how they were going to vote in the Nov. 5 election before they watched the debate. Six said afterward they would now either vote for Trump or were leaning toward backing him. Three said they would now back Harris and one was still unsure how he would vote.
Harris and Trump are in a tight race and the election will likely be decided by just
Leading politicians on both sides of the aisle stood together in New York City on Wednesday to commemorate the 23rd anniversary of the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.
President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris were joined by former President Donald Trump and his running mate Sen. JD Vance (R-OH). Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg were also in attendance.
Video of the ceremony shows Bloomberg getting Harris’ attention and appearing to tell her that Trump had arrived before the two opponents shook hands for the second time in the past 12 hours.
A CNN poll taken after the presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris found that the percentage of voters who trust Trump more on the economy rose from +16% to +20%.
CNN’s Jake Tapper introduced the poll by saying to CNN political director David Chalian, “The first results of our instant poll of debate-watchers have just come in and David Chalian is going to join us now to break it all down. David, tell us more.”
“Yeah, Jake, and as you noted, this is a poll of debate watchers,” Chalian pointed out. “This is not a poll that represents the overall population,
A CNN flash poll conducted on Tuesday showed that Vice President Kamala Harris beat former President Donald Trump in the first presidential debate, 63 to 37 percent.
Going into the debate on Tuesday night, the 605 registered U.S. voters polled by CNN said they were split 50/50 on who would perform well. Following the debate, 63 percent said Harris won while the former president stood at 37 percent. Per CNN:
The poll’s results reflect opinions of the debate only among those voters who tuned in, and aren’t representative of the views of the full voting public.
The media is all in this morning declaring Kamala Harris the winner of Tuesday night's presidential debate, as we predicted they would.
Former President Donald Trump had to deal not only with Harris but bad moderators with questions that seemed designed to help her while not fact-checking her on any of the lies that she told throughout the night. There were areas he could have hit more, but he also was having to deal with all the hoaxes, and the moderators didn't call her out for anything. That's disgraceful. Megyn Kelly and many others on the right called out the bias. Even Democratic strategist Doug Schoen criticized the bias.
The ABC debate went as I predicted it would — that whatever Kamala Harris did, the media would declare her the winner. And they're already on it this morning.
Yet, Harris lied her head off the entire night, didn't answer the questions, and the moderators didn't fact-check her on her lies, not even her "fine people" lie, which, at this point, everyone on earth knows that's a lie except Kamala Harris and Joe Biden. Well, they know, but they keep saying it.
The ABC moderators were awful, clearly providing her cover, fact-checking former President Donald Trump but not fact-checking Harris.
Let Trump Be Trump
3 replies
Will everyone please take a chill pill!
I’m currently sailing blissfully among the fjords of Norway, chilling with lots of Akvavit and looking for Michael Palin’s famed “Norwegian blue” parrot, and thus because the debate last night took place at 3 am local time, I didn’t take it in. I wasn’t surprised to see accounts that Trump performed poorly, that the moderators were biased, that Kamala was effective enough to meet diminished expectations. I don’t however
President Trump came out the clear winner in the presidential debate, presenting the case for his re-election, laying out the Harris-Biden failures, and confidently going on Fox News to comment on his performance afterwards, as the Kamala Harris camp threw out the possibility of a second debate, in October. Candidates who are losing are the ones who like do-overs.
The moderators -- ABC's David Muir, and Linsey whatshername stunk, with unusual bias seen in both, fact-checking Trump while giving Kamala a pass on obvious and tired whoppers, pushing the abortion-as-health-care narrative, they were vile, and shouldn't be allowed to ever moderate again.
Taylor Swift's Post-Debate Endorsement
of Kamala Is Telling About the Democrat's Confidence 15 replies
of Kamala Is Telling About the Democrat's Confidence 15 replies
After Tuesday's debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, news swiftly spread that international superstar Taylor Swift had posted her endorsement of Harris to Instagram.
Swift had largely stayed out of endorsing anyone, though it was no mystery that she is a Democrat loyalist. The question wasn't "why hadn't she endorsed Harris," it was "why hadn't she endorsed Harris yet." Now we have that answer, and it tells us a lot about where the Democrat Party's head is at.
As I posted to X, there are two things that need to be realized, and one of them isn't a good sign for Harris.
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Taylor Swift said Tuesday she is supporting Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for president, ending speculation about whether the superstar singer would share her political views ahead of November’s election.
“Like many of you, I watched the debate tonight. If you haven’t already, now is a great time to do your research on the issues at hand and the stances these candidates take on the topics that matter to you the most. As a voter, I make sure to watch and read everything I can about their proposed policies and plans for this country,” Swift wrote on Instagram, shortly after
Harris survived the debate (with a huge
assist from the moderators) but Trump
scored crucial points 31 replies
assist from the moderators) but Trump
scored crucial points 31 replies
Donald Trump got to Kamala Harris’ core problem in his debate close, waving off all her promises about what she’d do in office: “Why hasn’t she done it already?”
Hard to think of a better riposte to her “We won’t go back” slogan — which aims to appeal to Americans’ desperate desire for change from the Biden policies she shares.
Harris had a pretty smooth night: She did her homework for once, including prepping lines guaranteed to get under Trump’s skin — some of which plainly did put him off-balance.
And of course she had backup from the moderators, ABC’s David Muir and Linsey Davis —
Election officials warn that widespread
problems with the US mail system could
disrupt voting 29 replies
problems with the US mail system could
disrupt voting 29 replies
Topeka, Kan. (AP) — State and local election officials from across the country on Wednesday warned that problems with the nation’s mail delivery system threaten to disenfranchise voters in the upcoming presidential election, telling the head of the U.S. Postal Service that it hasn’t fixed persistent deficiencies.[Snip]mailed ballots that were postmarked on time were received by local election offices days after the deadline to be counted.[Snip] properly addressed election mail was being returned to them as undeliverable[Snip]could automatically send voters to inactive status through no fault of their own
2025 Counting and Certification of Electoral
Votes Designated a National Special Security Event 22 replies
Votes Designated a National Special Security Event 22 replies
Washington – The 2025 Counting and Certification of Electoral Votes in Washington, DC on Jan. 6, 2025, has been designated a National Special Security Event by the Secretary of Homeland Security.This marks the first time a National Special Security Event designation has been granted for a Certification of Electoral Votes and follows a request made by the DC Mayor to designate this event a National Special Security Event. Various reports including from the House Select January 6 Committee and the Government Accountability Office also called for the DHS Secretary to consider a National Special Security Event designation for future Certification of Electoral Votes.
A CNN flash poll conducted on Tuesday showed that Vice President Kamala Harris beat former President Donald Trump in the first presidential debate, 63 to 37 percent.
Going into the debate on Tuesday night, the 605 registered U.S. voters polled by CNN said they were split 50/50 on who would perform well. Following the debate, 63 percent said Harris won while the former president stood at 37 percent. Per CNN:
The poll’s results reflect opinions of the debate only among those voters who tuned in, and aren’t representative of the views of the full voting public.
Ohio Gov Takes Action After Springfield
Residents Speak Out About 20,000 Haitian
Migrant Influx 18 replies
Residents Speak Out About 20,000 Haitian
Migrant Influx 18 replies
Ohio Governor Mike DeWine (R) is sending law enforcement and millions of dollars to Springfield, Ohio, after residents’ public grievances about the influx of 20,000 Haitian migrants to their community garnered national attention.
DeWine said Tuesday that state troopers will be sent to help address the growing reckless driving issue, largely sparked by the migrant influx. He’ll also be dedicating $2.5 million toward health care. Wait times for health care have significantly increased for residents due to the migrants.
“I want the people of Springfield and Clark County to know that as we move forward, we will continue to do everything we can to help the community deal
Springfield, Ohio, has been in the news because it’s emerged that some of the 20,000 Haitian immigrants dumped on that small town in the last three years have been dining on people’s pets. That scrutiny reminded people that a Haitian immigrant driving illegally killed an 11-year-old Springfield boy. Now, the boy’s father has lashed out—at Republicans.
On August 22, 2023, Hermanio Joseph, a 35-year-old Haitian immigrant with an Ohio identification card and a Mexican driver’s license that was invalid due to his immigration status, was driving a minivan that crossed into oncoming traffic, striking a school bus. The collision caused the bus to roll over, ejecting 11-year-old Aiden Clark,
Yes, conservatives, on Tuesday night, ABC moderators David Muir and Linsey Davis harassed The Donald, coddled Kamala, and broke their rule by opening her mic to interrupt.
But here’s the deal: Harris was ready and rarin’ with a better-designed strategy to make her case and get under that orange skin. From the opening handshake she initiated, she capitalized on the luck of the draw: not just the network, but also an opponent who stumbled, rambled, and ranted.
Kamala showed up flawlessly turned out – contrasting her CNN appearance – confident … and superbly prepped.
The Federalist obtained audio of a 911 call from a local resident reporting a group of Haitians carrying geese.
More than 20,000 Haitians are now living in Springfield, Ohio and the residents are fed up.
Springfield has a population of about 60,000 people and Haitians now make up 25% of the population.
The City of Springfield held a City Commission meeting last week and angry residents went off on them for doing nothing about the Haitians wreaking havoc on the community and draining resources.
Taylor Swift's Post-Debate Endorsement
of Kamala Is Telling About the Democrat's Confidence 15 replies
of Kamala Is Telling About the Democrat's Confidence 15 replies
After Tuesday's debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, news swiftly spread that international superstar Taylor Swift had posted her endorsement of Harris to Instagram.
Swift had largely stayed out of endorsing anyone, though it was no mystery that she is a Democrat loyalist. The question wasn't "why hadn't she endorsed Harris," it was "why hadn't she endorsed Harris yet." Now we have that answer, and it tells us a lot about where the Democrat Party's head is at.
As I posted to X, there are two things that need to be realized, and one of them isn't a good sign for Harris.
Less than an hour after the ABC News presidential debate ended Tuesday night, Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign called for another matchup, laying down a challenge to former president Donald Trump.
The campaign put out an email touting her performance at the debate and blasting Trump for his responses and demeanor.
The email ended with a direct question to the former president. "Under the bright lights, the American people got to see the choice they will face this fall at the ballot box: between moving forward with Kamala Harris, or going backwards with Trump. That's what they saw tonight and what they should see at a second debate in October.
Yes, they're getting eaten.
ABC News debate moderator David Muir made a big deal of "fact-checking" President Trump when he cited reports at last night's debate that pets were being eaten by Haitian migrants in Springfield, Ohio, whose flooding 20,000-strong presence was creating many problems for the city of 58,000. (X) My transcript:
TRUMP: "What they have done to our country by allowing these millions and millions of people to come into our country. And look at what's happening to the towns all over the United States. In Springfield, they're eating the dogs, the people that came in, they're eating the cats. They're eating, they're eating, the pets of the people