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The Democratic Party’s uphill
path to 270 electoral votes in 2016

Washington Post, by John Sides

Original Article

Posted By:MissMolly, 1/19/2014 4:48:23 PM

My Post colleague Dan Balz has some very interesting reporting from Democratic and Republican strategists. Both groups seem somewhat pessimistic about the GOP’s chances in 2016:(Snip) If economic and political conditions in 2016 were the same as they are today, what would happen? So assume that Obama’s approval rating is about 41 percent. Assume that GDP has grown 1.6 percent in the first two quarters of 2016. And, of course, no incumbent will be running. Based on those assumptions, the model predicts that the Republican Party has a 64 percent chance of winning the presidency.

      


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: Pros7767, 1/19/2014 5:06:45 PM     (No. 9698080)

What the author fails to recognize is the impact that voter fraud will have on upcoming elections.

They have 2014 as a dry run to see how much more they can get away with than they did in 2012, and 2 more years to perfect their methodology. In the meantime, the States that are trying to deal with voter ID laws are having them struck down by the judiciary, or they´re not dealing with the issue at all.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: Northcross, 1/19/2014 5:16:42 PM     (No. 9698087)

The imagined Republican advantage will evaporate when the national media converts the nominee into the reincarnation of Simon Legree.

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Reply 3 - Posted by: RUReadyY3K, 1/19/2014 5:32:39 PM     (No. 9698101)

I have seen Republicans snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory, by saying and doing stupid things. I am not optimistic about 2014 or 2016.

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Reply 4 - Posted by: Country Boy, 1/19/2014 5:51:58 PM     (No. 9698107)

This link says it is illegal for Rep to challenge Dems over voter fraud.
http://fellowshipoftheminds.com/2012/11/15/why-the-gop-will-not-do-anything-about-vote-fraud/

If this is true, either

pack your bags,
or
pack your venison.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: Ken M., 1/19/2014 6:34:59 PM     (No. 9698123)

... had to look up when the 22nd amendment was written into Our Constitution:

proposed 1947, ratified 1951.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: mnwxyz, 1/19/2014 7:08:07 PM     (No. 9698133)

The MSM WILL DO this again, no matter who the GOP nominee is in ´16:

As soon as Romney was nominated, the MSM started The Great MSM Debate: Is Romney actually an indictable felon, or is Mitt just an evil jerk who sells out the American worker via vulture capitalism?

He was defined before he could say, "I´m Mitt Romney."

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Reply 7 - Posted by: Bpl40, 1/19/2014 8:03:01 PM     (No. 9698167)

Beltway RINOs will once again nominate a ´moderate´ candidate far removed from the gras roots and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The ´Rats don´t realize how lucky they are.

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Reply 8 - Posted by: Muncsdad, 1/19/2014 8:33:06 PM     (No. 9698179)

GOP governors should ignore--or defy--illegal Eric Holder actions to continue the Democrat stealing of elections.

Multiple state legislatures have legally passed Voter ID laws, only to have some leftist judge or DOJ thug tell the sovereign states how to conduct their elections.

GOP better man up and stand up for the Constituion against the Obama/Holder coup or it is all over.

But do I think Republican elected officials have the ba**s to do what is right?

Nah. It is over.

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