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The Republican Party’s uphill path
to 270 electoral votes in 2016

Washington Post, by Dan Balz

Original Article

Posted By:congaree53, 1/19/2014 9:56:11 AM

A recent conversation with a veteran of GOP presidential campaigns raised this question: Which, if any, of the recent battleground states are likely to become more Republican by 2016? The consensus: very few. That reality highlights one problem Republicans face as they seek to regain the White House after six years under President Obama. Lots of factors affect elections: the quality of the candidates, the state of the economy, the effectiveness of the campaigns. But in a country whose demographics continue to change, Republicans will begin this campaign with one significant disadvantage. Over the past three decades, the political leanings of


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Reply 1 - Posted by: mnwxyz, 1/19/2014 10:01:53 AM     (No. 9697749)

There´s an element of wishful liberal thinking here, of course. But it´s largely right-- behold the wonders of open borders!

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Reply 2 - Posted by: chicken thief, 1/19/2014 10:47:42 AM     (No. 9697776)

If by some miracle they nominate a conservative I will vote. Another McCain, or Bush and I will sit it out. Voted for Trey Gowdy (SC #4) in 2012 and his voting record is starting to look conservative lite. What is it about Washington that turns people into leftists?

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Reply 3 - Posted by: RancherJack, 1/19/2014 10:50:59 AM     (No. 9697788)

Uphill only because of an obstructionist Press + the amazing stupidity of the Republican hierarchy ...

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Reply 4 - Posted by: MissMolly, 1/19/2014 10:53:42 AM     (No. 9697791)

The problem, #2, is that no two voters have the same criteria for what is a "conservative". Anyone who vows to sit out an election as important as 2016 is not concerned about how the country is headed. Most of us have voted for people we weren´t in love with, but there is no Democrat who would get my vote by a sit-at-home default.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: mnwxyz, 1/19/2014 10:56:48 AM     (No. 9697793)

If I can hold my nose & vote for McPain, and I did, you can do the right thing if you have to.

That said, the GOP treats social conservatives the same way the DEMS treat inner-city AAs.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: CleanhouseinDC, 1/19/2014 10:57:43 AM     (No. 9697795)

The Republicans are their own biggest obstacle to the path to 270 electoral votes.

Standing for nothing, caving after grandstanding, and speaking without actions that deliver what their constituents are telling them to do is what is going to cost them.

Until they start to cater to the people they are supposed to represent, they will find the path steeper and steeper.

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Reply 7 - Posted by: fhancock, 1/19/2014 10:58:18 AM     (No. 9697797)

2016...9 percent unemployment; 100 million have lost their insurance...the middle east in flames...Keystone pipeline still not started...gas over $3.50 for the 8th straight year...hmmmm might not be as uphill as you think Dan

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Reply 8 - Posted by: ColoWapiti, 1/19/2014 11:04:46 AM     (No. 9697804)

How about this as a criteria for what is a "conservative", a spine. Can we agree on that?

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Reply 9 - Posted by: MissMolly, 1/19/2014 11:07:41 AM     (No. 9697808)

That might not work, #8. I would say a dedicated, long-time liberal such as Steny Hoyer has a spine, it´s just the wrong kind of rigid.

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Reply 10 - Posted by: eljay, 1/19/2014 11:08:05 AM     (No. 9697810)

it amazes me that newsrag columnists are experts on everything . . .

wonder if dan anatomy can write about motorcycles or guns . . .

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Reply 11 - Posted by: Susannah, 1/19/2014 11:15:37 AM     (No. 9697816)

I think it´s called "confronting reality," #2. They make extravagant promises during the campaign and then they get to Washington and realize the promises can´t be fulfilled.

So do we put Gowdy on the long and growing list of RINO traitors now?

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Reply 12 - Posted by: jar, 1/19/2014 11:25:54 AM     (No. 9697823)

Since the Dems have such an abominable record, many lo-fo´s may not vote, and independents may vote for the Republican candidate out of disgust for what 8 years of Obama have wrought. But Pubs need to make a good case and have a good candidate.

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Reply 13 - Posted by: killerbee, 1/19/2014 11:26:13 AM     (No. 9697824)

The Republicans won´t win. I have no faith in the party, they seem not to want to win.

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Reply 14 - Posted by: mnwxyz, 1/19/2014 11:27:59 AM     (No. 9697827)

They don´t all do that, #11, as I´m sure you7 know. ButI think it takes a really strong sense of self, see ag., Sen. Coburn, to resist the desire to be loved by those all around you 24/7.

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Reply 15 - Posted by: zephyrgirl, 1/19/2014 11:35:08 AM     (No. 9697836)

As long as the Republican party is the "me too" party, it will continue to lose elections.

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Reply 16 - Posted by: ColoWapiti, 1/19/2014 11:36:51 AM     (No. 9697839)

You made my point #9. The Dems have plenty of people with a spine, many of whom I despise (e.g., Schumer).

The GOP, they can´t even put together a decent opposition. The ones with spines, like Cruz (no matter what you think of his politics), are few and far between. They are non-existent in the GOP leadership.

But, "voting for a spineless GOP candidate is better than a Dem with a spine" ...yada, yada, yada...

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Reply 17 - Posted by: stablemoney, 1/19/2014 11:40:45 AM     (No. 9697844)

The WaPo should instead focus on its uphill battle to honesty and profits in 2016.

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Reply 18 - Posted by: sanchin, 1/19/2014 11:43:23 AM     (No. 9697848)

We know the policy, direction, and beliefs of democrats, liberals, and progressives. More importantly, their supporters know this. I (and I suspect most) have not a clue the policy of the Republicans today. Yes, we say there are RINOs and that the leadership is out of touch and hates conservatives. But what is the overall aim of the Republicans today? Think about it, you have Ted Cruz, Rand Paul in the same party as John McCain and Lindsey Graham. This is not a Team nor a Party with any unity or agreed upon goals and objectives. Getting mired down in single issues is not leadership nor worth much.

Uphill Battle? We are not a unified army with competent leaders nor defined vision and goals. We are a patchwork of different interest groups pining for the "good ole days"

I will never be nor support a democrat, liberal or progressive (unless you wish to play the tired silly argument that not voting is voting. But I am also finished with hanging around losers (the republican party) because like they say- you show me your friends I will show you your future.

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Reply 19 - Posted by: MissMolly, 1/19/2014 12:30:09 PM     (No. 9697885)

´"But, "voting for a spineless GOP candidate is better than a Dem with a spine" .´

You are quoting whom? I have never seen that statement anywhere at any time. You made it up and put it in quotes.

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Reply 20 - Posted by: nigella, 1/19/2014 12:47:23 PM     (No. 9697910)

#2 that kind of "purest" thinking got us a second term of Obama.... Are you willing to go a Third "term" with Obama lite ,Hillary, or worse?

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Reply 21 - Posted by: chumley, 1/19/2014 1:02:32 PM     (No. 9697931)

Forget all the demographics and other foolishness. You just use it as an excuse when you lose.
Here is a better plan. First, give me a reason to vote FOR you, not just against the democrats. They have provided me with plenty of those as it is. Nominate someone with a record I can check on, because I don´t believe a word any politician says.
Second, talk to Karl Rove. Find out what he would do. Then do something else.

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Reply 22 - Posted by: brownshoepogue, 1/19/2014 1:33:48 PM     (No. 9697957)

I view RINOs as progressives and/or corrupt. There are many republicans on this sight who support this types. That is their choice. They must like how progressives/corruptlicans do what they do. I use to hold my nose and vote the R. No more.
WRT what it means to be conservative, I think most folks on this site know what it means. Along with that, most folks here know what it means to be a RINO, a progressive and a sellout.
I vote for only those candidates that are conservative.

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Reply 23 - Posted by: eoddad, 1/19/2014 1:52:39 PM     (No. 9697978)

I remember when Bush Sr. was elected leading to 12 years of Republican Presidents the left was beginning to cry about the Republicans having a permanent lock on the W.H.

Once Perot split the Conservative vote we got Clinton.

The real change is the racial divide, CA, ILL, NJ NY no longer in play (Reagan GOV CA) due to Hispanics, about to be worsened when my Party sells me out with 20 Million illegals, who will lock the socialist into the permanent majority.

I´ll never understand why a group struggled to get here only to elect politicians who make this country as corrupt and poor as the one they escaped.

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Reply 24 - Posted by: mc squared, 1/19/2014 1:53:32 PM     (No. 9697980)

Poster 2: Boehner, Rove and most Pubbies have personally impugned my family and me because we believe in Constitutional government and living within our means.

That anyone could suggest that we should vote for another McCain, Romney or Bush is astonishing. I´ll be 67 in the next national election and will no longer be treated as a ´sure-thing´ voter. ´12 was my last ´hold my nose´ vote.
I don´t think I´m alone.

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Reply 25 - Posted by: velirotta, 1/19/2014 1:58:47 PM     (No. 9697982)

All very interesting, but it won´t make much difference either way. Republicans will never win the presidency again because of widespread voter fraud, which will only get worse as liberals multiply their dirty tricks.

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Reply 26 - Posted by: oh-heck, 1/19/2014 3:06:18 PM     (No. 9698028)

The media has been controlled by ´fellow travelers´ for at least 4 decades. We have Democrat leaders who are talking openly about redistributing wealth and people sharing a sense of community being part of government. We have the Senate majority leader editing bills before the formal vote and filling the amendment tree so that version passed by the House does not get a vote. Changing Senate majority leaders has to be the prime goal between now and Nov.

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Reply 27 - Posted by: mamafrog, 1/19/2014 9:39:29 PM     (No. 9698213)

Two articles posted. One explaining how the Republicans have a lock on the electoral college, one explaining how the Democrats have a lock on the electoral college. I see far more Republicans than Democrats saying I will stay home if a person is nominated that I have any disagreements with.

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People Magazine, by Gilliam Telling    Original Article
Posted By: Hazymac- 4/17/2014 6:58:48 PM     Post Reply
Glen Campbell has been suffering from Alzheimer´s for over three years, but the Grammy-winning singer, 78, has recently moved into a facility, PEOPLE has confirmed. "He was moved to an Alzhemier´s facility last week," says a family friend. "I´m not sure what the permanent plan is for him yet. We´ll know more next week." The "Rhinestone Cowboy" crooner first opened up about having Alzheimer´s to PEOPLE in an exclusive 2011 interview. Campbell and his fourth wife, Kim Woolen, decided to go public with the news because Campbell hoped to embark on a final farewell live tour. The couple wanted his

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