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Obama´s popularity slide has made his
coalition dangerously shallower

Washington Examiner, by David Freddeso

Original Article

Posted By:garnet, 12/12/2013 8:27:02 AM

“[T]he entire concept of realignments/permanent alignments, which underlay much of the misbegotten analysis of the 2008 elections, is bankrupt and should be abandoned.” So wrote RealClearPolitics´ Sean Trende in his 2012 book, The Lost Majority. One of the book´s main theses was that “the permanent majority” -- that great white whale hunted and claimed by both parties over the last decade (and long before that) -- is an unsustainable illusion in the long run. Few pundits heeded Trende´s warning after the 2012 election. The editors of The Week made an argument typical of the moment when they wrote that Obama´s coalition of

      


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Reply 1 - Posted by: Boston Federalist, 12/12/2013 9:07:05 AM     (No. 9650745)

Get ready, everyone. The MSM is already organizing Obama´s counterattack. Look at Chrissy Matthews- he´s not even pretending to be a grown-up anymore, much less a professional with a minimum level of standards.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: Scottyboy, 12/12/2013 9:13:32 AM     (No. 9650760)

The democrat pattern used successfully, unfortunately, by both Clinton and 0bama is to smear their opponent and/ or republican predecessor (Bush I & Bush II) with outrageous lies and promise a bunch of garbage that only morons would believe. The morons come out and vote, but eventually become disillusioned when they find they have been snookered and return to their couches and play stations. The democrats then just wait for the next crop of dullards to reach voting age and sucker them the same way.
That´s basically the way I see it.
That old saying : "Keep ´em dumb, keep ´em democrat" didn´t get to be an old saying for no reason.


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Reply 3 - Posted by: MattMusson, 12/12/2013 9:22:26 AM     (No. 9650776)

The REDS took over Russia with only 10% to 15% of the population. The Nazis did it with about 1/3rd.

In some ways - being down makes Obama even more dangerous.

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Reply 4 - Posted by: EnsignOToole, 12/12/2013 9:36:35 AM     (No. 9650806)

FTA:"Obama obtained his decisive yet modest four-point victory margin in 2012 by"....

Me: cheating, rigged voting machines, not showing voter ID, and other ways Dems seem to know about that Republicans don´t.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: 4poster, 12/12/2013 11:01:36 AM     (No. 9650936)

Yes, I find those in his coalition shallow, too.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: Bohallx, 12/12/2013 12:21:58 PM     (No. 9651058)

In America we do the coalition politics BEFORE the election.

The objective of the election is to get 50%+ 1 more vote than the other guy. The mathematics of a single member district system then puts you into office.

To get those votes you need voters and candidates. The voters must be compatible with the candidates, and the candidates must be compatible with the voters. Compatibility gets out the vote. Incompatibility will necessarily result in the loss of interest of some of your voters ~ usually those from some one or two of your factions in the grand coalition.

Shifting coalition matchups takes place over decades. Candidate/voter compatibility happens every time you run. It´s easy to destroy a perfectly good electoral record in any given district by offending the wrong coalition.

That does not result in those folks moving to the other side.

We have several tens of millions of Republican voters and Democrat voters. We also have 90 million or more non-voters! They serve as a voter sink into which we dip from time to time to win. Once we reach the number it takes to win we stop dipping.

This article is pretty close to the way it really is. But he credits Obama with too much attractiveness. Fact is, if he´s acceptable, even if not likeable, Democrats will show up and vote for him. If some see him as likeable, even if not acceptable, they´ll still vote for him.

When a candidate is seen as unlikeable and not acceptable, they don´t show up. We have to work on that part a lot ~ both for our candidates, and on the Democrats!

ObamaKKKare can make all Democrats unlikeable. For a convinced Leftwingtard it may not make him unacceptable.

We need more Republican voters (´the dip part")

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Reply 7 - Posted by: mickturn, 12/12/2013 3:15:23 PM     (No. 9651293)

I hope the shallow water will be filled by ravenous Pirahnas...

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