This week, The Frontier Lab published the results of months of research into why some Republicans are refusing to go by the label “Republican,” choosing to identify as anything but. I was the Research Director for this study, which applied a research approach called “Behavioral Event Modeling,” which essentially reverse engineers and maps all events that precede an individual’s disaffiliation. (Snip)The results were fascinating; after combining the flowcharts from individuals who share conservative or moderate views and no longer will use the label “Republican” to describe themselves, we ascertained four core patterns that they had in common:
Comments: We have a lot of discussion about this. Here is some interesting data.
Yup, the GOP isn´t going to win the presidency ever again. Probably won´t do very well in the 2014 election either, most likely will lose the house, and will NOT win the senate. Unless of course the Tea Party starts backing candidates.
This is why we need a new party. The GOP is dead. A victim of suicide.
The article doesn´t mention--but one of the commenters does--that one very good reason for Republicans who work in arts, entertainment, publishing, academe, journalism, or high tech not to mention their affiliation is that it´s professional suicide to do so. A lot of the so-called disaffiliated aren´t disaffiliated; they´re protecting their livelihoods.
#2 is partially correct. However, the real genius behind the destruction of the word "Republican" was the most brilliant party chairman of all time, Howard Dean. He took the material Republicans gave him and never ceased bashing, hating, and destroying the enemy, BY NAME- Republicans. The enemy may have come in all stripes, but he never stopped deriding and demonizing, BY NAME, Republicans. When has any Republican, or conservative, ever been so single minded and focused like a lazer on the enemy- Democrats. Never. Howard Dean made it toxic to self-identify as a Republican.
Ronald Reagan said he did not leave the democrat party, the democrat party left him. That is the way I feel about the gop. I have not heard them address a single concern I have in years. Now, apparently, the leadership is running for the presidency of Mexico.
Remember, people are dying every day, baby boomers faster than just about anybody in fact.
That means both major parties are losing millions and millions of their best voters.
The Democrats began taking action after the 2004 election when their electrifying far leftwingtard idiot, Lurch whose daughter wears see through blouses, lost to "W".
As a practical matter, Democrats had thought it sufficient to merely keep up with population growth in terms of getting new registrations. Somebody figured out that was going to leave them isolated in urban centers ~ not a really good idea for a party with pretentions to nationwide greatness and power.
They went out and got 13 million new voters by 2008 ~ they used every trick.
Republicans sat on their keisters through 2008 and lost by 10 million votes!
Finally, something clicked in the minds of the folks at the state party levels and they registered 5 million new Republican voters. They won the 2010 election in historic numbers. They quit falling behind by the 2012 election, and with a comparable effort, should pull ahead of the Democrats by 2014 and swamp them in 2016, provided they run a Conservative candidate. If they run another loser, that´ll simply reinvigorate the Democrats.
The doctor told me that the reason my nose was all bent out of shape was that for the last couple of decades everytime I walked into a polling place I had to hold my nose with one hand while I voted. He told me to cut it out.
It wasn´t just the Dems who demonized my candidates, it was also the Pubs. No more. I am through with the Pubs...
After decades of being proud to stand with Republicans I can no longer do so. The people I know that have been Republicans are still today great people. The problem is the Party, The Party Leadership, and the Elected Members of the Party.
The Republican Party has been completely emasculated by the Media, the Democrats, Special Interest Groups, and I even believe the Muslim Brotherhood has them now cowering in fear. The only people they are willing to stand up to are those in the Republican Base because they believe (rightly up till now) that they were the option available to us.
I am now done with the Republican Party!!! I refuse to comprise my values and beliefs to support those who have none. I suspect many share my view and resolve and I suspect the Republican Party will continue to decline.
I was going to disagree with you, #2, and say that it was George W. Bush. He wouldn´t defend himself. He couldn´t speak without screwing up. He couldn´t articulate why our kids were dying in Iraq. Way to go, Brownie. Pootie-poot. But you´re right, McCain was still fuming about South Carolina and making sure he was loved by the left by stabbing Dubya in the back every chance he got. He could have smoked the Kenyan but refused to fight. Now he wants to legalize 20 million illegals. I´m not angry with Dubya (although he did let us down), I´m angry at McCain and his Senate life-partner from South Carolina. They are traitors and I can not support the Republicans until they are gone. Isn´t it funny that in a discussion of what is wrong with the Republicans, I didn´t even mention the true leaders in the House and Senate. McConnell and Boehner are worthless. What good is the Republican Party?
The problem is serious because, for instance, if the GOP loses the House and fails to take the Senate in 2014, the country is a goner. It isn´t just punishing the party to withhold support, it is punishing the country and your children.
There are those that say the country is already gone, but we still don´t have single payer health care (and you can pay cash) and we still have gun rights and other freedoms. What is left of freedom will be in jeopardy if the Democrats once again gain complete control.
Punish the establishment in primaries. Work as hard as you can to change the party to the conservative party. But in November, you have no real choice. Vote to keep the country or allow the Democrats to destroy it.
Don´t become part of the destruction, become part of the solution.
Ya ya ya, if we don´t elect Dole, the Country is a goner. If we don´t elect McCain, the Country is a goner. If we don´t elect Romney, the Country is a goner. If Obama wins, the Country is a goner. If Obama wins a second time, the Country is a goner. Neither scare tactics from the Left or the Moderate GOP will force me to go against my principles and morals. If you want a quick death, vote Dem. If you want a slow death, vote GOP. If you really want to save your Country, vote Conservative.
With due respect to previous posters, neither W nor McCain are the root cause. Some still like to recall the Reagan days. Yet he won the nomination after a long and bitter fight against the same sort of RNC lukewarms we still see running the GOP. And as part of that, was saddled with "read my lips: no new taxes" Bush ´41, a member in good standing of the lukewarm crowd. Which in turn set stage for Dole, McCain, W, et al. Nice folks probably, but we held our noses to vote for any of them. And I won´t do it again. The lesser of two evils is still evil.
I respectfully disagree with you # 13. Your argument is based on fear. I admit I have embraced your argument many times as I pulled the lever for several Republicans. This includes voting for McCain and Romney. No and no more!!! The Party is rotten to the core. Its primary focus is on raising money for campaigns and appeasing Special Interest Groups. The major donors for the Republican Party put the bottom line of their bank account above Principles and what is best for America as a Country. Do you honestly believe the Major Republican Donors Do NOT support this Immigration Bill? They support it because it makes economic sense to them and the country be damned. So supporting the current Republican Party, because preferred candidates lose the primaries, in order to save the country is proving to be a fool’s errand.
I challenge you and others to stop living in fear. If our liberty and freedoms are so tenuous that we have to support those we fundamentally disagree with under the false hope they will support the Constitution (How did Judge Roberts work out for you on Obamacare?) then our lives and our children’s lives are not that much better off than that of a slave’s. Yes it is scary and there is the possibility the country may change beyond our worst nightmares. But it is changing now towards our worst nightmare and the Republican Party with it leadership is complicit. I have chosen to no longer be a part of a Party that is equally guilty in the destruction of the America that you and I love.
As many of my friends know I held on to the bitter end with the belief that we could win with a Conservative, and gave Romney every chance to just back out ~ but he didn´t
Today we discover he felt it was hopeless in 2011 when he announced because he had the Romneycare albatross around his neck.
GUY SHOULD HAVE LISTED TO HIS CONSCIENCE FOR ONCE.
A lesson to all politicians ~ and guys who built their own fortunes ~ when you abandon your conscience so you aren´t bothered by the decisions you feel you have to make, that doesn´t mean it´s gone stupid and silent.
It´s there ~ when it speaks, listen up. Then quit whatever political nonsense your are getting ready to inflict on other people.
Romney will carry the regret with him to his dying day ~ but it probably won´t really bother him ~ at least not like it bothers us!
Politics is not an honest business. Candidates lie, office holders lie, it´s all bullstuff designed by consultants to attract your vote. Bottom line is there is not one politician who will ever tell you the unvarnished truth. The Republican Party and its wizards are turning aside the "bitter clinger" wing of its supporters in order to attract "moderates" being shucked off by the radical Democrats. They´re betting the bitter clingers will show up because they are afraid of the greater evil. It´s not just McCain and Graham, it´s Rubio and Ryan "reaching out." Boehner will get an immigration reform bill through the House with Dem votes and sleep walk through conference...to clear the table of the issue. The consultants and party leaders are also betting moderates will be attracted to the "new" Republican Party that has purged itself of the wing nuts. I´m a "bitter clinger" who can see the obvious. I´ve had enough of the "new" unprincipled Republicans, and they´ve had enough of me.
There are some really terrific comments following the original article. Very thought-provoking. Wish some of them would consider running for office. The country is at a boiling point; let us pray that things WILL change.
I agree #13. But one of the BIGGEST problems is that WE, the people need to take control of the party & stop letting the professional pols make all our decisions for us. We don´t get involved enough. We leave it to others.
We must work at the local levels first to get new, good conservatives in place. Then, we need to work our way up to shape the party the way WE want it. But we have to work at it. We´re too complacent.
The leftists commit to building the Dem Party. They´re NOT complacent nor expect others to do the work.
We forgot that the party is NOT the elected politicians. The party is the regular citizens. The party is the principles of the citizenry--but it´s only as good as the involvement & commitment of the people. We´ve become a lazy & cowardly party cuz we won´t fight hard enuf 4 what we believe. We let the same old bosses pick 4 us & vote in the same old names over & over. We don´t hold our elected accountable. We don´t even hold ourselves accountable 4 our party´s failure!
The truth is that we, the general public, are responsible for letting the party deteriorate... just as we are responsible for letting our society go down the toilet. Oh, the good thing is that more of us are starting to fight back finally--a good start are the TEA parties. But we all must do much, much more if we ever hope to save our country and our party (our fundamental principles based on our Constitution).
I am not reassured by these comments, but I am glad I am not alone. Being a republican has been one betrayal after another. It finally dawned on me that this is not really my party anymore, and Karl Rove sees conservatives like me as part of the problem.
Frankly, ashamed to call myself a republican. They no longer support my values nor do they protect my interests in any way. Just as obomba is ashamed of America, the republicans weigh me with the same amount of anguish and shame. Count me Conservative or Tea Party/Freedom Party before counting republican party. When the rats win in upcoming elections, this will be a sad day indeed. However, That we´ve so many citizens who frequently sell out for so little will not be carried on these shoulders. No more, no longer.
MOSCOW--Russian investigators said on Wednesday they found drugs aboard a Greenpeace ship that was used in a protest against offshore Arctic drilling and would press new charges against some of the 30 people being held for alleged piracy. In addition to drugs, the Investigative Committee said searches of the Arctic Sunrise, which was boarded by Russian coast guards after the September 18 protest at the Prirazlomnaya oil rig, had revealed equipment with potential military uses. It also said investigators were trying to establish which of those being held were responsible for what it called attempts to ram coast guard boats,
BANDAR SERI BEGAWAN, BRUNEI -- Secretary of State John F. Kerry apologized Wednesday for President Obama´s absence at a gathering that has become a testing ground for U.S. outreach to Southeast Asian nations rattled by China’s growing assertiveness. Obama was supposed to lead a special U.S. session with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, many of whose members are nervous about China’s intentions but also reluctant to appear to side against a powerful neighbor and trading partner. “I bring you both President Obama’s sincerest greetings and his apologies for not being able to be here,”Kerry said at the beginning of
An NYPD undercover detective has now been arrested in connection with an attack on a family in an SUV by a group of motorcyclists, reports CBS News´ John Miller. The officer is expected to be charged with criminal mischief for allegedly banging on and breaking the rear window of the SUV. The detective waited four days before coming forward to the NYPD and he allegedly made false statements about his involvement, reports Miller. The AP identified the officer as Wojciech Braszczok, and said he turned himself in to face riot and criminal mischief charges. He was expected to make a court appearance
The revamped $100 bill costs 12.5 cents to produce — a 60% increase over the 7.8 cents it cost to print the older version of the bill. The government has printed 3.5 billion of the new $100 bills, which it began delivering to financial institutions Tuesday. How soon customers will see the new bills depends on their distance from a regional Fed office, demand, and a few other factors. Among the reasons it’s more expensive than the older currency: Its new security features, which help prevent counterfeiting. For one, there’s a blue 3-D ribbon running through the center of the
An NYPD officer who was on a deep undercover assignment when a violent fight erupted between a group of motorcyclists and a man driving a Range Rover in Manhattan is seen on new video punching the SUV, shattering its rear window, NBC 4 New York confirms.(Snip)The video that just recently surfaced shows the undercover smashing the window, but not participating in the assault. He rides off when the driver is pulled from the SUV, according to a person familiar with the investigation. The video has not been made public. Sources say the undercover was not truthful with investigators about his role.
Usually the Asia-Pacific leadership interactions are a muted affair, with a lot to do with photo shoots and endorsing the paperwork that their respective emissaries prepare. But this time around at the Indonesian resort of Bali, the United States president was badly missed. In an era where Russia has gained a major diplomatic victory over its archrival by brokering a thaw with Syria, the absence of Barack Obama owing to the financial mess at home underscored the power limitations of Washington in leading from the front. The APEC meet was, thus, a solo affair to be led by Chinese President Xi
A 10-year, billion pound neuroscience project which aims to revolutionise our understanding of the human brain has begun. Scientists from 135 institutions, mostly in Europe, are participating in the The Human Brain Project (HBP). Co-funded by the EU, it aims to develop the technology needed to create a computer simulation of the brain. It will also build a database of brain research from the tens of thousands of neuroscience papers published annually.(Snip)"We should begin to understand what makes the human brain unique, the basic mechanisms behind cognition and behaviour, how to objectively diagnose brain diseases, and to build new technologies
Secretary of State John Kerry said Sunday that a pair of raids conducted in Africa by American special forces signaled the ongoing determination of the United States to bring terrorists to justice and sent the message that "members of Al Qaeda and other terrorist organizations literally can run but they can´t hide." The Pentagon confirmed Saturday night that U.S. special forces had captured alive Abu Anas al Libi in Tripoli, Libya. Libi, also known as Nazih Abdul-Hamed al-Ruqai, was wanted in connection with the 1998 bombings of the American embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. The operation was carried out by
United States interrogators who specialize in so-called high value targets will question a suspected al Qaeda operative aboard an American warship without reading him his rights, U.S. officials told NBC News on Monday. The suspect, Abu Anas al-Libi, was whisked off the streets of the Libyan capital of Tripoli over the weekend. He will be taken to the United States to stand trial in the 1998 bombings of the American embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, the officials said. Al-Libi will be in U.S. military custody for several more days, perhaps a few weeks, a senior administration official told NBC News. The interrogation
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg reportedly will spend $1 million to help boost Cory Booker in next week´s special Senate election in New Jersey. Bloomberg, an independent, will start airing ads Monday to help the Democratic mayor of Newark, according to a New York Times report. Booker has been fighting off Republican Steve Lonegan, a conservative activist. The TV ad will seek to promote Booker as someone who has "put progress ahead of partisanship,"(Snip)Booker has a double-digit lead over Lonegan in statewide polls, but the gap isn´t as wide as it once was early in the race.
If Peter King’s brand of Republicanism seems to be on the wane these days, the Long Island congressman isn’t letting it go quietly. King, 69, has long been one of the Hill’s most quotable and irascible troublemakers, a frequent presence on cable television with an apparently boundless capacity for outrage. He has fumed over topics as serious as Hurricane Sandy relief and aid for Sept. 11 responders, and as comparatively trivial as the White House party crashers and the death of Michael Jackson (whom he called a “lowlife” and a “pervert.”) King broke with Newt Gingrich over the government shutdowns
The Obama administration said last week that the Obamacare website was down due to a surge in traffic. But now it says problems with the website are due to design and software flaws, the Wall Street Journal reports. The website is troubled by coding problems and flaws in the architecture of the system, according to insurance-industry advisers, technical experts and people close to the development of the marketplace. (Snip)Information technology experts told the Wall Street Journal that the website appeared to be built on a “sloppy software foundation,” possibly due to hasty construction.
Families of fallen military service members usually receive a "death gratuity" of $100,000 for interment and expenses within days, but not during government shutdown. They paid the ultimate price serving their country — but their government can’t spare a cent to cover their funerals. The stooges on Capitol Hill added insult to tragedy Tuesday when it was revealed that the families of four soldiers and a Marine who were killed in Afghanistan have not received a $100,000 “death gratuity” because of the government shutdown....
Over the first four days the new online health insurance exchanges were open last week, more than 8 million people visited them, according to the Obama administration. At the very least, this casts doubt on the Republican claim that Americans hate Obamacare and want it repealed. It seems millions of people desperately want the coverage the law will allow them to get, regardless of their medical histories. Alas, the administration managed to turn the experience for most of those visitors into a nightmare. Websites crashed, refused to load, or offered bizarre and incomprehensible choices. Even though the system was shut down
From its earliest days, the Obama Administration has operated from a “community organizer” worldview, characterized by an “us” against “them” perspective. The President has repeatedly and in a variety of circumstances said, “Elections have consequences, and I won” as an excuse for yet another executive order, non-Constitutional decision, or “in-your-face” arrogant action. The President goes through the motions of listening to others: he claims to be bipartisan; he hosts White House confabs and talks about the need for compromise, but he always ends up saying, “I won,” and ends any pretense of discussion or negotiation. He explains that, as President,
WASHINGTON — Starting in about a decade, Kingston, Jamaica, will probably be off-the-charts hot — permanently. Other places will soon follow. Singapore in 2028. Mexico City in 2031. Cairo in 2036. Phoenix and Honolulu in 2043. And eventually the whole world in 2047. A new study on global warming pinpoints the probable dates for when cities and ecosystems around the world will regularly experience hotter environments the likes of which they have never seen before. And for dozens of cities, mostly in the tropics, those dates are a generation or less away. "This paper is both innovative and sobering," said
I was at a dinner recently where I happened to be seated at a table with new acquaintances of the liberal political persuasion. We went around the table introducing ourselves. As I said that I work for a "conservative website," a man at the far end of the table made his displeasure known by booing. He wasn´t kidding. These were professional, accomplished, senior members of the community. They had never met a conservative before. Their first reaction was hostile. No one chided the man who booed, or apologized on his behalf for his rudeness, or laughed to break the tension.
I’m tempted to call it a clown show but that would be insulting to clowns:(Snip for graphic) It ran for one hour and six minutes, with 12 different reporters being called on — although, notably, not Ed Henry of Fox News — and between them they couldn’t muster one question about the catastrophe that is Healthcare.gov or the spectacle of National Park Rangers locking senior-citizen tourists out of war memorials and/or inside their hotels. I admit that, near the end of it, when Twitter was already starting to buzz about the oh-fer on this week’s two unhappy topics, I started
Former presidential candidate Mitt Romney intends to buy a $9million Park City, Utah ski chalet to complement his family homes in California, Boston, and New Hampshire. The 8,730 foot vacation mansion is in the ski destination´s Deer Valley resort and, while it doesn´t have a $55,000 car elevator like Romney´s La Jolla home, the chalet does rest right on the slope and may be skied into and out of. The six bedroom home´s most noticeable features is its prevalence of wood. The lodge-like home features wooden floors, walls, and furniture that brokers call Utah rustic. The home was once featured
Top political strategist turned CNN anchor, Stephanie Cutter is pregnant with her first child at the age of 44. The Washington Post notes that there is no early word on who the father is and the blonde is thought to be single. A source told the publication that Ms Cutter, due in March, is ´very excited´ about the prospect of motherhood and otherwise, ´not dishing about the details of the pregnancy at all.´ Ms Cutter apparently announced the news of her pregnancy to her CNN colleagues on Monday. She will take maternity leave and return to Crossfire next spring.
Tyranny, being as endemic to the human condition as other similar privations of the human good such as ignorance, vice, or sickness, is as old as mankind. What may be new, however, is the uniquely intractable form of tyranny that is currently metastasizing throughout the world, namely the rule of an authoritarian plurality of societal parasites. Our next thousand years of darkness, if such be our fate, will begin under the governance of a "parasitocracy." The modern West has defied ancient wisdom on so many fronts, introducing new modes of existence and coexistence, spreading prosperity and promise in hitherto inconceivable measures,
While the U.S. has always been a beacon of medical advancement for the world, American women today are expected to live shorter lives than their mothers. Two recent studies found that life expectancy for women have decreased the last two decades. ´Health care is far from the whole story,´ David Kindig, co-author of one of the studies, told the Atlantic. ´More and more people are beginning to realize that the non-health-care factors are at least as important.´ [Snip] Kindig said he was so shocked by it´s outcome, that he and his research partner went back and did the numbers again
I am just wondering if Miriam Carey, the mentally ill mother who drove her black Infiniti down Pennsylvania Avenue after she rammed a White House barricade, was read her Miranda rights before she was shot dead in a fusillade of gunfire by a gang of well-armed police who surrounded her car at the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue. The information has not been released, though as I write almost a week has passed since the lethal event. Why could not those crack shots have aimed at her car’s tires. Then they could have waited for her next move. It looks
Gov. Jerry Brown of California signed AB 154 on Wednesday, legalizing non-physician abortions in the state. The legislation, which had been pushed vigorously by Planned Parenthood, had been strongly opposed by pro-life groups and some physicians, arguing that it amounted to legalizing back-alley abortions for profit. In a statement, Gov. Brown boasted that AB 154 was one of seven bills signed Tuesday "to support the health and well-being of women in California."