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Fair Warning: Another Rough
Hurricane Season Is on the Way

Yahoo! Finance, by Althea Chang

Original Article

Posted By:NorthernDog, 4/8/2013 4:18:35 PM

Forecasts for this hurricane season are already being released, and according to weather experts, this year could be almost as stormy as last year and that could have implications for homeowners and insurers.Meteorologists expect to see 16 tropical storms and hurricanes in 2013, according to Weather Services International. That´s fewer than last year, but still higher than the historical average of 11 per year, noted Paul Walsh, vice president of weather analytics at The Weather Channel. And those storms are more likely to make landfall, according to weather experts in a recent Ceres report entitled "Stormy Future

Comments:
No explanation for why this years´ storms are more likely to make landfall. Wishful thinking by the media?
Last year 2 ´canes hit the US. Not terribly unusual - but they hit populated area.

      


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: Attila DiMedici, 4/8/2013 4:27:06 PM     (No. 9265709)

This story has the same problem I have with these stories every year. They tell us that "meteorologists" (note they don´t give specific names, or even specific groups) are predicting some number of hurricanes (usually higher than the average). But they never tell us what these particular people predicted for last year, or the year before, nor do they tell us how accurate their past predictions have been. We are to believe that their predictions are better than pure guesswork purely on the basis of them being "meteorologists". The last time I checked the predictions from previous seasons for some specific predictor of hurricanes, they turned out to be little better than random chance.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: Delilah, 4/8/2013 4:28:48 PM     (No. 9265713)

I´ll believe it when I see it. They´re notoriously wrong on their forecasts.

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Reply 3 - Posted by: whyyeseyec, 4/8/2013 4:32:33 PM     (No. 9265719)

The Weather Mavens have absolutely no idea what this coming hurricane season will bring. Nobody can predict the weather more than 3 days out and that`s only with the aid of satellite`s. Anything else is just pure B.S.

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Reply 4 - Posted by: M2, 4/8/2013 4:34:16 PM     (No. 9265723)

The last 3 mild hurricane seasons were preceded by dire warnings of "rough" seasons of hurricanes. Most turned out to be duds.

I really believe these "meteorologists" are just guessing. They can´t even predicts the next day´s weather accurately much of the time and they now they´re crying wolf again.

Probably the AGW crowd.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: gobushcheneygo, 4/8/2013 4:46:51 PM     (No. 9265737)

Well, they have a 50/50 chance of being right. Flip a coin.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: QRP, 4/8/2013 5:21:12 PM     (No. 9265799)

I don´t remember last year being all that stormy. They did start naming an tropical depression or any wind gust if the guy in the weather service was depressed. Sandy was a fluke but wasn´t that the only one that did any damage.

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Reply 7 - Posted by: dman, 4/8/2013 6:18:11 PM     (No. 9265905)

They´ve cried ´wolf´ too often and are losing credibility. That´s good v-v their ability to sell the global warming/climate change hoax. It´s bad if folks get complacent when actual storm warnings are issued, and don´t take necessary precautions.

There is still no free lunch. Common sense is still required.

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Reply 8 - Posted by: paulfromTexas, 4/8/2013 6:43:41 PM     (No. 9265939)

The US as not had a "bad hurricane season" in many years.

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Reply 9 - Posted by: Nevadadad46, 4/8/2013 7:13:44 PM     (No. 9265972)

Hiricaqnes are solar divien atmospheric heat engines. Solar output has been on the wane over the last 15 years, according to NASA. The Global Bologna idiots have been giving some really strange reasons why their Global Warming "sky is falling" alarms have not been coming true and every year this same bunch keeps predicting unprecedented storms, huricanes, tornadoes, dogs and cats living together, etc. and it never comes true- nothing out of the ordinary. No way am I going to believe them now. They never name names, or even cite a professional report to back up their alarmists wolf calling. Hooey on them!

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Reply 10 - Posted by: kahunavol, 4/8/2013 10:34:02 PM     (No. 9266171)

Preparation seems not to include purchasing insurance, perhaps all it means is congress people prepping their relief bills now for immediate submission if a strong wind blows off the coast.

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Reply 11 - Posted by: Trigger2, 4/9/2013 7:06:23 AM     (No. 9266414)

Forecaster guesses are wrong every year.

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