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Rasmussen Explains
Politico, by Charlie Mahtesian

Original Article

Posted By:congaree53, 11/12/2012 1:56:55 PM

Rasmussen Reports, the prolific automated pollster whose projections fell far from the mark Tuesday, explains what went wrong: "Our final daily presidential tracking poll showed Romney at 49% and Obama at 48%. Instead, the president got 50% of the vote and Romney 48%. We were disappointed that our final results were not as close to the final result as they had been in preceding elections. There was a similar pattern in the state polls. For example, in Ohio we projected a tie at 49% but the president reached 50% of the vote and the challenger got just 48%.

His failure to sample households with no landline was amateurish.


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: lazlototh, 11/12/2012 2:00:10 PM     (No. 9009252)

Romney´s internal polls were at least as flawed. It´s deeply unfortunate for a zillion reasons that the other side´s polls were more accurate.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: Passion, 11/12/2012 2:00:55 PM     (No. 9009256)

Hard to factor in all the cheating with early voting.

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Reply 3 - Posted by: killerbee, 11/12/2012 2:03:51 PM     (No. 9009263)

#2: bingo. How do factor in the amount of vote fraud the Democrats committed. This election showed a machine that´s even more formidable than we thought previously. And the refusal of the Obama media sycophants to cover all the proven fraud only entrenches it more.

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Reply 4 - Posted by: Topic Thunder, 11/12/2012 2:04:40 PM     (No. 9009264)

Rasmussen´s polling results guided the Obama campaign on where to focus all their vote fraud and cheating efforts in those key precincts that made a difference.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: US Veteran, 11/12/2012 2:06:10 PM     (No. 9009271)


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Reply 6 - Posted by: NorthernDog, 11/12/2012 2:06:23 PM     (No. 9009272)

Why would the senior vote be lower? Perhaps the botched Get out the vote operation played a role, since most seniors vote on election day - not early.

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Reply 7 - Posted by: pickle1, 11/12/2012 2:18:39 PM     (No. 9009306)

Oh please, it was fraud pure and simple.

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Reply 8 - Posted by: michellewsc2, 11/12/2012 2:20:44 PM     (No. 9009313)

Maybe we should be petitioning Romney/Ryan campaign instead and asking why they aren´t interested in the obvious fraud in certain precincts? If they don´t think there was any fraud then we can all just stop at that point.

Personally, I´m very, very curious why Romney/Ryan hasn´t even made the slightest hint of problems with the vote. Even here in SC they are talking about having county elections again because of the complete mess we had here.

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Reply 9 - Posted by: Evocatus, 11/12/2012 2:22:53 PM     (No. 9009316)

Use the polls to back-calculate the percentage of fraud.

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Reply 10 - Posted by: Ribicon, 11/12/2012 2:36:37 PM     (No. 9009347)

#8, the GOP was fine with Al Franken stealing the senatorial seat in Minnesota, and with Christine Gregoire stealing the governorship in Washington state. Dry runs leading up to The Big One just rolled out in broad daylight, scarcely a whimper of protest. Curious to say the least.

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Reply 11 - Posted by: Momma Walton, 11/12/2012 2:39:43 PM     (No. 9009356)

I have another explanation.

Almighty God is in control!

Both sides had faults, for we are only human beings.

God, in His Love/Grace/Mercy took over. He will bring about whatsoever is necessary for US to come together, know in Whom we believe. He alone is able to deliver US from evil, here and abroad, with no one getting the credit, but Him alone!

Pray for God´s intervention. He awaits your voice to rise to His Throne of Grace!

America has abandoned God´s will/way, denying His Word, His laws, His voice, that once resounded throughout this country.

When we come to the end of ourselves we will see clearly God´s way of righteousness will fill our minds/hearts/souls/spirits as we repent, allow Him alone to arise as our Leader/President, the only One who knows US, loves US enough to have delivered US from Satan´s control.

Continue to pray for God´s will to be done on earth just as it is in heaven. In Him we are justified and sanctified, to go forth again spreading His Love/Grace to the world.

I think we needed to experience what we are suffering today to know that in and of ourselves we are not able to do what is right. It is only In His Name that we are made perfect.

As you take a coin or bill from your pocket, read the words: In God we trust!

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Reply 12 - Posted by: FunOne, 11/12/2012 2:45:20 PM     (No. 9009364)

When a considerable number of polling places in Philadelphia and Cleveland report 99-100% Ob

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Reply 13 - Posted by: FunOne, 11/12/2012 2:49:10 PM     (No. 9009377)

Sorry: When a considerable number of polling places in Philadelphia and Cleveland report 99-100% Obama vote, the problem is not in the method of polling design.

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Reply 14 - Posted by: bpl40, 11/12/2012 2:56:01 PM     (No. 9009393)

Cannot say if fraud was the ultimate decider. But it seems undeniable that it played a role.

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Reply 15 - Posted by: St. Pitbull, 11/12/2012 3:47:58 PM     (No. 9009464)

EVERYTHING says that the polls underestimated Romney´s support. That is because cheating is not factored in. The rats are hurrying to throw all evidence away. I hope Allen West kicks some serious butt.

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Reply 16 - Posted by: Conservativegirl, 11/12/2012 4:25:00 PM     (No. 9009516)

Rasmussen will need to sit down with his statisticians and work out a way to factor Dim voter fraud into their calculations!

Girl´s Hubby

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Reply 17 - Posted by: hammondb3, 11/12/2012 4:27:30 PM     (No. 9009520)

I think we should examine the paper ballots to make sure they were not tampered with...

Oh... that´s right. There is no evidence anymore since it is all digital. Silly me.

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Reply 18 - Posted by: msjena, 11/12/2012 4:32:32 PM     (No. 9009526)

The decline in senior voting, in my opinion, is because the WWII generation is dying off or too infirm to vote. They were the first baby boom generation and they propelled Republicans from Eisenhower to Bush Jr. to the Presidency. They are being replaced by the baby boomers, who are much more liberal.

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Reply 19 - Posted by: Avogadra, 11/12/2012 5:09:27 PM     (No. 9009591)

If memory serves, polling indicated that Harry Reid was supposed to lose to Sharron Angle by 7% in the Senate race in Nevada. And miracle of miracles, he actually won. How do you suppose that happened? Right. Fraud.

Now that we have the results from last Tuesday to add to the data set, it seems that we have entered an era in which the only elections conservatives win are the ones they allow us to win.

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Reply 20 - Posted by: Bubbasuncle, 11/12/2012 5:24:11 PM     (No. 9009625)

This is the gospel truth. After checking my ballot selections on the voting machine here in DE on election day and hitting the big green button that said "Vote" my first thought was, did it really go in Romney´s column. It is very said to say, but indeed true.

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Reply 21 - Posted by: mollybob, 11/12/2012 5:53:11 PM     (No. 9009672)

It was certainly fraud, but as #11 posits, God allowed it to happen; He did it because we haven´t been watchful. By "we," I mean that bunch of wet noodles who claim to represent our interests in the GOP leadership but haven´t got the moral authority to stand up to corruption. I also mean the churches that have allowed the secular culture to infiltrate and corrupt the mission of the Church.

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Reply 22 - Posted by: jorgecito, 11/12/2012 7:13:24 PM     (No. 9009816)

Rasmussen is honest, and I think his polls were conducted honestly and accurately.

But polls have their limitations. As many have noted, they aren´t designed to factor in fraud.

And more importantly, polls could not predict the massive manipulation of the early voting process, as conducted by the paid Obama GOTV teams.

These paid teams bused in thousands of people --most of whom were neither particularly well-informed, nor particularly eager to vote; but they were eager for the small bribes (pizza, cigarettes etc) they received in exchange for their votes for Obama.

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Reply 23 - Posted by: nonsense, 11/12/2012 7:16:06 PM     (No. 9009821)

I worry about the technology of the future and it´s ability to track everything you do, but...how about Iris id or fingerprint touch? Then you can only vote once.

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Reply 24 - Posted by: Folsomguy, 11/12/2012 7:22:19 PM     (No. 9009834)

These stupid polls should be illegal. It´s just the lamestream news making it instead of reporting it!

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Reply 25 - Posted by: ocjim, 11/12/2012 9:45:23 PM     (No. 9010074)

#2 nails it. Wake up, Scott, something else was afoot and it was unpollable.

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Reply 26 - Posted by: PageTurner, 11/12/2012 10:01:45 PM     (No. 9010101)

The very conservative IBD/TIPP poll is the one that came out as most accurate of all, according to Nate Silver. The problem wasn´t leftwing polls being better. It´s that we believed what we wanted to believe.

Drudge banished IBD/TIPP from his pages when it didn´t report what he wanted and Breitbart.com made the absurd claim that IBD/TIPP was trying to get Obama elected.

It didn´t stop the hard, hard reality of the facts. Let´s learn from this and win next time.

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