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Mourdock Could Still Win
Weekly Standard, by Michael Warren

Original Article

Posted By:Maryland_Patriot, 11/5/2012 12:12:01 AM

The last several weeks have not been good for Republican Senate candidate Richard Mourdock of Indiana. The two-term state treasurer, who beat six-term incumbent Senator Dick Lugar in the GOP primary in May, has fallen back in the polls against his Democratic opponent, Congressman Joe Donnelly. A recent poll, from Brian Howey and Depauw University, showed an 11-point lead for Donnelly. (snip) But despite the media narrative and the Howey/DePauw poll, Mourdock still has a chance of winning the seat, for a few of reasons: 1. Joe Donnelly does not actually lead by 11 points.

  

Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: Grant Hodges, 11/5/2012 12:17:30 AM     (No. 8988445)

I don't believe an 11 point poll advantage for Donnelly over Mourdock. DePauw is as doctrinaire liberal institution as you can find in Indiana and hardly representative. Come election day I think Mourdock will have won solidly.


Reply 2 - Posted by: Deedo, 11/5/2012 12:45:19 AM     (No. 8988472)

This Depauw University poll is probably the shabbiest and most suspect that I've seen in years. Their tally of 47% to 36% only accounts for 83% of the electorate! They acknowledge 11% undecided, but still; 6% for some third party candidate is also ridiculously inflated.

I searched for a while but I could not find the sampling breakdown used in the poll. I wouldn't be surprised if they assumed a heavy Democrat turnout advantage in a state that is going to be quite red this election.

As they say in Indiana, "this poll is hogwash!".


   

 

  


 

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Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) on Wednesday questioned how the Republican Party lost the black vote after a century with the GOP - from the Civil War to the civil rights movement - during a speech at the historically black college of Howard University in Washington, D.C. “How did the party that elected the first black U.S. senator, the party that elected the first 20 African-American congressmen, how did that party become a party that now loses 95 percent of the black vote?” Paul asked.

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