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An Unpredictable End to a Very Predictable Election
Rasmussen Reports, by Scott Rasmussen
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Original Article
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Posted By:brianod1, 11/4/2012 11:21:04 AM
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| Election 2012 has had few surprises. So it's somewhat surprising that heading into the final weekend of the election season, we are unable to confidently project who is likely to win the White House. All year long, the economy has been the number one issue of the campaign. That hasn't changed. While Mitt Romney has a slight advantage when it comes to handling the economy, neither candidate has really convinced voters that they know what the nation needs. From the beginning of the year to today, the fundamentals suggested the presidential election would be close.
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Comments: I wonder sometimes if I know my country any longer. The fact that this election is close at all baffles me. President Obama is so inept in virtually every important area that he should lose in landslide.
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
Starlifter Nav, 11/4/2012 11:28:57 AM (No. 8987090)
That presupposes that the statement "it is very close" is true. A large number of people (far more knowledgeable than me) not only disagree but believe it is a flat out lie designed only to dis-spirt people like yourself and get them to sew doubt amongst the other (our) side.
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Reply 2 - Posted by:
Bubbasuncle, 11/4/2012 11:30:09 AM (No. 8987093)
My guess is that Scott hasn't figured out a way to gauge the amount of cheating that will be involved.
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Reply 3 - Posted by:
WestCoastCowboy, 11/4/2012 11:31:25 AM (No. 8987094)
Ras is also polling more dems, 2%. Sad that nobody will poll the way it should be.
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Reply 4 - Posted by:
shalimar, 11/4/2012 11:32:01 AM (No. 8987095)
I don't pick fights with Michael Barone. He's called it for Romney and I suspect Scott R thinks the same.
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Reply 5 - Posted by:
EatDonuts, 11/4/2012 11:33:35 AM (No. 8987097)
There was a family gathering here last night with several libs in attendance. The most vocal among them (Electric Prius driving, vegan, life-long Dem) apologized to the rest of the group saying 'we screwed up' voting for Barry. The rest of the libs agreed and said Romney was their guy this time. Hugs all around. Encouraging to say the least.
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Reply 6 - Posted by:
WAN2, 11/4/2012 11:34:44 AM (No. 8987100)
Consider who educates and entertains our kids. Consider how blind most parents are to the virtues of free market capitalism. Generation after generation living better and better results in unwariness. 'Twas ever thus. Should Willard win he will face an electorate increasing socialistic in deed if not in word. The tree of freedom needs fertilizing.
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Reply 7 - Posted by:
Straitpath, 11/4/2012 11:40:45 AM (No. 8987105)
Fasting and praying today for our country and Romney. Praying truth will be revealed so we can vote informed.
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Reply 8 - Posted by:
Blue-Z-Anna, 11/4/2012 11:45:48 AM (No. 8987113)
I'm going with the doh-nut eater.
There many reasonable people who are simply more soft-hearted than they are disciplined thinkers.
They may become Dems out of good intentions but they still know a liar and a jerk when they see one.
I hope.
Pray.
Keep all the long irons clean and lubed.
.....and yer powder dry.
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Reply 9 - Posted by:
maggie2u, 11/4/2012 11:46:03 AM (No. 8987114)
You're lucky poster #5. a couple of months ago, my lib brother asked me if 'I had come out of the dark yet'. We were at his house, our mother, a conservative, gets upset if we talk politics so I just smiled and didn't answer him.
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Reply 10 - Posted by:
Mr. Hanky, 11/4/2012 11:47:29 AM (No. 8987120)
What garbage. They've tried so hard to prop up the incompetent incumbent and they still failing.
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Reply 11 - Posted by:
strike3, 11/4/2012 11:47:37 AM (No. 8987121)
2008 was predictable. Most of us just knew that America was too smart to put an inexperienced wiseass punk kid into office who had never done anything meaningful in his life.
Obama can no longer hide the fact that he is angry, frustrated and, for all practical purposes, insane. The damage he has done has affected 95% of all businesses in the country and SURELY people have learned this time around.
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Reply 12 - Posted by:
Sfacheem, 11/4/2012 11:53:57 AM (No. 8987127)
Headline should read:
"Here's several paragraphs of absolutely nothing."
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Reply 13 - Posted by:
WimeTarmerFable, 11/4/2012 11:54:50 AM (No. 8987129)
It is an election between Liberty and Tyrrany, period.
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Reply 14 - Posted by:
brianod1, 11/4/2012 11:56:55 AM (No. 8987133)
Rasmussen is perhaps the best pollng firm out there, just as an fyi. I still think it will be a Romney landslide, and that Romney will win Illinois. Perhaps I am thinking with my heart, I cannot say for certain. There are many Roman Catholics in Chicago metro area who love the country and the Constitution, and who have no tolerance for the US Government dictating policy to any religious institution.
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Reply 15 - Posted by:
bluefindad, 11/4/2012 11:58:56 AM (No. 8987137)
I have been plagued by a nagging, unsubstantiated opinion that the truth is that the nation is lined up to support Romney in a landslide. However, it is impossible to predict the degree of fraud that will be employed to steal the election. So, the corrupt pollsters keep it close or predict Obama because they know fraud is in the works, while the honest pollsters keep it close because they don't want egg on their faces.
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Reply 16 - Posted by:
brianod1, 11/4/2012 12:03:22 PM (No. 8987138)
Re polling, I don't know if anyone saw a Gallup honcho interviewed on Fox News Sunday, I believe it was last week. He was asked about polls which seemed skewed to Ds. He stated that party affiliation was one of the final questions asked when polling. So it may seem to us that the polls are biased, it could be something entirely different at play, such as who can be more easily reached, or is more likely to talk to a pollster.
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Reply 17 - Posted by:
The Slammer, 11/4/2012 12:04:21 PM (No. 8987140)
#14
I'm sorry, but there is absolutely ZERO chance Romney wins Illinois. None. Zilch. Nada.
It's one thing to be optimistic, but you have to be realistic.
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Reply 18 - Posted by:
brianod1, 11/4/2012 12:12:12 PM (No. 8987156)
I know it seems unlikely, #17, but you have to look at last Governor's race in Illinois (2010); know that collar county voters who went for President Obama in 2008 will be far less likely to do so in 2012; and know that there is almost zero effort, at least in my Chicago ward, to re-elect President Obama - which means Chicago turnout will be significantly lowe than in 2008. The rest of Illinois is solid red, so if downstate voters are energized and Chicagoland voters go Obama, but by significantly lower margins than in 2008, Romney can will win. It depresses me greatly that I reached out to Romney campaign as a volunteer via their Illinois website and their NEVER was a response.
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Reply 19 - Posted by:
steph_gray, 11/4/2012 12:14:04 PM (No. 8987160)
Jay Severin who has been friends with Scott R a long time said Friday that while he is the best pollster and Jay respects him completely, Jay put his 30 years of campaign insider experience on the line predicting a big win for R/R.
My uneducated gut says 4 points. Onward to Tuesday.
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Reply 20 - Posted by:
lakerman1, 11/4/2012 12:14:14 PM (No. 8987161)
I have posted elsewhere that Richard Nixon's silent majority has become Romney's whispering majority. I have friends who voted for missie barack in 2008, mainly because he is black, and now say, but in whispers, after looking around to see if anyone might overhear them, that they will support romney, and while they don't love romney, they cannot afford to support missie barack. I continue to believe the popular vote will be 52-47 for romney, and I also respect Michael Barone's call of 315 electoral votes for Romney, 223 for missie barack. Finally, I find the Michigan polling results showing a tie, to be really fascinating. Detroit is a mostly black city. And they constitute a good part of the electorate in michigan. Could it be that they have come to realize that Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton, back in 2007, were correct? That missie barack is not black enough? And that when Jesse Jackson said that he wanted to cut off missie barack's testicles, he was on to something?
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Reply 21 - Posted by:
The Slammer, 11/4/2012 12:14:38 PM (No. 8987163)
Romney has put zero resources in Illinois because he knows it's a lost cause. Believe me, there is no way Illinois goes into Romney's column.
It's been a "Safe Obama" state since Lincoln wore diapers.
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Reply 22 - Posted by:
Daisymay, 11/4/2012 12:49:19 PM (No. 8987227)
I disagree with #14 on Illinois going for Romney. I agree that there are lots of Roman Catholics in the Metro area, but those are the SAME Roman Catholics that voted for the Daley Machine since the "Boss" was in charge. Nothing is going to change that area to Red IMHO.
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Reply 23 - Posted by:
kennedylaw, 11/4/2012 12:58:33 PM (No. 8987248)
Only a few days until the election and polls show that 4% of all voters are still undecided.In a close election, these undecided voters will determine who becomes our next President.
Here is a list of the top 10 questions that are uppermost in the minds of the remaining undecided voters:
1. Who is this Obama guy? 2. Who is he running against? 3. Can I vote for Justin Bieber? 4. I voted in 2008, why do I have to vote again? 5. Who did I vote for in 2008? 6. I voted for the black guy in 2008. Is he running again? 7. Isn't Honey Boo Boo the cutest thing? 8. Some guy named Gallup called me last week and asked who I supported. Does that mean I have already voted? 9. Will Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson get back together? 10. What is an election?
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Below, you will find ...
Most Recent Articles posted by "brianod1"
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Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
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Most Recent Articles posted by "brianod1"
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CPS denies it banned book
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Chicago Sun-Times, by Lauren Fitzpatrick
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 3/17/2013 12:36:13 PM
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Chicago Public Schools’ removal of the graphic novel Persepolis from classrooms sparked protests Friday and outcry from the autobiographical novel’s Iranian-born author. The district denied Friday it had banned the book outright from CPS schools, saying instead it only removed them from 7th grade classrooms for being “inappropriate.” CEO Barbara Byrd-Bennett also ordered up training for any high school teachers who wish to continue using the illustrated story of Marjane Satrapi growing up in revolutionary Iran.
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Big names litter road to pension disaster
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Chicago Sun-Tmes, by Dave McKinney
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Posted By: brianod1- 3/17/2013 12:32:29 PM
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Federal securities regulators implicitly blamed former Gov. Rod Blagojevich and his budget office for the fraudulent manner in which state bond investors were misled about Illinois’ sickly pension ledgers. But in making a nearly unprecedented case of securities fraud against the state, the Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday laid bare a trail of responsibility for Illinois’ nearly $100 billion pension crisis that extends far beyond the impeached ex-governor’s scandalous time in office.
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How I am a Roman Catholic
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Chicago Sun-Times, by Roger Ebert
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 3/3/2013 11:42:17 AM
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In the dark hours of Thursday morning, Feb. 28, I awoke to find CNN featuring a continuous shot of a helicopter. The network cut between a close-up and a distant dot. It was Benedict, flying from the Vatican City. This was extraordinary attention for an ordinary cardinal, because as Benedict told the throng awaiting him, “I am no longer pope.” I am not a scholar of Catholic history, but I believe we were witnessing the first time the papal throne was vacant. It may have been occupied by rogues, scoundrels, impostors or even a woman, but always there was someone sitting there.
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As Obamacare takes effect, doctors, others worry about what’s to come
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Chicago Sun-Times, by David Roeder and Monifa Thomas
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 3/3/2013 11:33:45 AM
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American health care is being transformed, for better or worse. “Better,” in this case, means parts of the Affordable Care Act that have polled well and been enacted, taking their place comfortably in the medical system. These include letting dependent children stay on their parents’ health insurance until age 26 and a ban on insurance companies dropping children for pre-existing conditions
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Top cop critic Ald. Brookins Jr. reps gang banger
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Chicago SunTimes, by Michael Sneed
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 3/3/2013 11:11:44 AM
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It’s takedown time. Ald. Howard Brookins Jr., who has been blasting Police Supt. Garry McCarthy for the city’s gang violence, seems to be talking out of both sides of his mouth. Critics claim Brookins, who is demanding police grapple harder with guns and gangs, is undermining police action by representing gang members with gun convictions.
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Pending Jesse Jackson Jr. plea deal includes ‘significant jail time,’ source says
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Chicago Sun-Times, by Michael Sneed
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 2/6/2013 11:11:17 PM
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Sneed has learned a plea deal is now on the table between former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. and federal authorities probing allegations of campaign fund misuse. Sneed is told the plea deal includes Jackson serving time in federal prison. “Significant jail time is now definitely a part of the deal,” said a top Sneed source close to the probe. “But I think [Jackson’s wife] Sandi, feels like she was thrown under the bus by her husband, ” now that a separate probe has begun on her, a second source added. Sandi Jackson claims she was stunned by campaign finance abuse disclosures against her husband,
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It´s finally Gutierrez´s time
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Crain´s Chicago Business, by Greg Hinz
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 11/18/2012 12:05:20 PM
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Rep. Luis Gutierrez had just returned from taping a segment on “The O´Reilly Factor,” forming half of an ideological odd couple with Bill O´Reilly if there ever was one. He was preparing a House floor speech declaring, “The Republican Party really met Latinos on Election Day.” And he was telling me on the phone that, when it´s all over, “Chicago is going to see a lot more of Luis Gutierrez.” It´s that kind of moment for the Chicago Democrat. For nearly two decades, the onetime Northwest Side alderman has been an oft-lonely voice in the Washington wilderness on immigration reform.
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Memo to the election´s victors: It´s time for action
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Crain´s Chicago Business, by Greg Hinz
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 11/11/2012 12:03:23 PM
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With due respect to all of you hardworking political consultants and TV station owners, there´s only one reason to hold an election. That´s to determine who will shoulder the oft-onerous task of governing. Now that the election is over, President Barack Obama holds that honor. So do Springfield Democrats, particularly House Speaker Michael Madigan and Senate President John Cullerton. They wanted the job. They got the job. Now they have to produce. On the national level, one clear need is immigration reform.
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Data the Romney Campaign is Looking At
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National Review Online, by Rich Lowry
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 11/6/2012 5:25:53 PM
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This is what the Romney folks say is encouraging them. Passed along for what it’s worth: CO: Adams County (lean D county) – strong R turnout based on morning data – on track to win since first time in 1984. AB/EV margins will be hard for them to overcome today. Right now – it’s a virtual tie. Arapahoe (Swing County) – 4860 D, 5271 R – Election Day so far Over 83% of the vote was AB/EV – Dem: 75653 Rep: 75812
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Election prediction: Electoral votes will add up to Barack Obama victory
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Chicago Sun-Times, by Richard Roeper
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 11/5/2012 8:38:13 AM
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Somewhere around the time President Barack Obama and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie were standing in unison, while members of Team Romney reportedly were purchasing items to be given away at a fund-raiser for storm victims, it hit me. Somewhere around the time Donald Trump was bleating about the president missing the deadline and saying charities would suffer because of it — as if the money wasn’t Trump’s to do with what he pleases — it hit me.
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Economy slowing crawling back four years after 2008 election
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Chicago Sun-Times, by Francine Knowles
Original Article
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Posted By: brianod1- 11/5/2012 8:35:05 AM
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Flashback 2008: job losses in free fall, a housing market boom gone bust and credit markets in crisis amid the Great Recession. Four years later, the U.S. economy continues to climb out of the hole that engulfed it at a still sluggish pace, and economists say it will take many months to regain all the millions of jobs lost. Since the darkest days of the recession, which began in December 2007 and ended June 2009, the job market has gone from losing a high of 818,000 jobs in January 2009 to adding jobs for 25 straight months
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Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
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We Are Living in a Dying Country
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Rushlimbaugh.com, by Rush Limbaugh
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Posted By: Desert Fox- 4/5/2013 4:53:10 PM
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RUSH: Folks, I don´t know how else to categorize this. We are living in a dying country. I don´t know how else to categorize what´s happening -- 88,000 new jobs. The unemployment rate, because of a terrible statistic, is down to 7.6%. The number of people in this country who are not working is shameful. Ninety million Americans are no longer in the workforce. Ninety million. People not in the labor force grew by 663,000, and now 90 million. That´s the labor force participation rate. This is 1979 levels.
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Why Obama´s ´Best-Looking Attorney General´ Comment Was a Gaffe
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The Atlantic, by Garance Franke-Ruta
Original Article
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Posted By: Oblio- 4/6/2013 6:51:15 AM
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President Obama´s biggest gaffe yesterday when speaking of California Attorney General Kamala Harris was not in flirtatiously complimenting her as "the best-looking attorney general," but in introducing an observation from the system of beauty into a forum that was about the system of power.What´s that, you say? Irin Carmon does a great job in Salon in laying out the bounds of propriety for when it´s appropriate to talk about a woman´s looks as a general matter. But I´ve long felt we lack a solid theoretical underpinning for easily discussing these issues, and why precisely it is that
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Hillary Clinton Would Not ´Clear the Field´ for 2016
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New Republic, by Tod Lindberg
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/6/2013 5:22:36 AM
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No one is more preoccupied these days with Hillary Clinton´s 2016 plans than the Beltway political class—not even the former presidential candidate herself. To hear some tell it, her decision will be dispositive for all other Democrats thinking of entering the race. And pundits and reporters aren´t the only ones positing the "The Hillary Factor": No less than the House Democratic whip, Steny Hoyer, told BuzzFeed, “I don´t know that anybody would run against Hillary…. If she runs, she clears the field.” It´s an understandable conclusion, given Clinton´s stature in the Democratic Party and her 70 percent
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Obama critic apologizes for his ´poorly chosen words´ on gay marriage
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The Hill [Washington DC], by Alexandra Jaffe
Original Article
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Posted By: JoniTx- 4/6/2013 12:18:19 PM
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Neurosurgeon Ben Carson, considered by some to be a potential Republican contender for president, apologized to Johns Hopkins University for the "poorly chosen words" he used in expressing his opposition to gay marriage last month.“I am sorry for any embarrassment this has caused,” Carson said in the letter, reported in New York Magazine.(Snip) "Although I do believe marriage is between a man and a woman, there are much less offensive ways to make that point. I hope all will look at a lifetime of service over some poorly chosen words.” Carson will remain as commencement speaker at Johns Hopkins,
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´My bangs are getting a little irritating´: Michelle Obama admits she already regrets her high-maintenance hairdo
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Daily Mail (UK), by Margot Peppers
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Posted By: pineledger- 4/7/2013 7:43:42 AM
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Michelle Obama has admitted that she is already tired of the bangs she first sported in January. The First Lady said in an interview with Entertainment Tonight: ´Bangs are a day-by-day proposition. They´re starting to grow out, get a little irritating.´ Still, she hasn´t let her hairdo woes get her down. ´It´s okay,´ she said after her initial complaint. ´We´ll be good.´ The first indication that her hairstyle was becoming a burden came about last weekend, when Malia, 14, was spotted adjusting her mother´s hair during the White House Easter Egg Roll.
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Hillary Clinton: The clock is turning back for women in America
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Washington Examiner, by Charlie Spiering
Original Article
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Posted By: Desert Fox- 4/5/2013 3:25:20 PM
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Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton explained to the Women in the World summit in New York today that the clock is turning back for women in America. Clinton praised her own mother for helping empower her to success and marveled at the opportunities that her own daughter Chelsea has pursued. But Clinton warned that there is still so much to do to promote women´s rights in America. "As I look at all these young women that I am privileged to work with, or know through Chelsea, and its hard to imagine turning the clock on them," Clinton said.
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White House Blames Jobs Numbers on Sequester
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Breitbart´s Big Government, by Wynton Hall
Original Article
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Posted By: Dreadnought- 4/5/2013 8:02:58 PM
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The Obama White House is scrambling to blame Friday’s abysmal March jobs numbers on the sequester’s trimming of the rate of growth in federal budgets that have yet to fully commence. After the Labor Department announced that a mass exodus of 663,000 workers left the U.S. workforce last month and that job creation fell 112,000 jobs short of projections, Obama’s top economic adviser Alan B. Krueger, took to the White House blog to blame the sequester: It is important to bear in mind that the March household and payroll surveys are the first monthly surveys to look
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The Deafening Silence that Signals Our Demise
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Townhall, by Diana West
Original Article
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Posted By: Drive- 4/5/2013 11:56:32 AM
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Get ready for the last straw. First, though, I´d like to suggest that anyone reading this column in a local newspaper or news site pat the editor on the back for publishing what in our neo-medieval world of fear amounts to a forbidden column. Yup, I am about to say something about the Great Barack Obama Identity/Eligibility Scandal again. I know that this is one rich and urgent topic that doesn´t see the light of day in certain so-called news outlets -- and I say that from the experience of watching my own syndicated columns
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Trayvon Martin´s parents settle wrongful death claim
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Orlando Sentinel, by Rene Stutzman
Original Article
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Posted By: Desert Fox- 4/5/2013 3:15:25 PM
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SANFORD - Trayvon Martin´s parents have settled a wrongful death claim for an amount believed to be more than $1 million against the homeowners association of the Sanford subdivision where their teenage son was killed. Their attorney, Benjamin Crump, filed that paperwork at the Seminole County Courthouse, a portion of which was made public today. In the five pages of the settlement that were available for public review, the settlement amount had been marked out. Lower in the agreement, the parties specified that they would keep that amount confidential. When asked during an earlier interview whether the amount was
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Beyonce, Jay-Z celebrate 5th anniversary in Havana, Cuba
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Los Angeles Times, by Nardine Saad
Original Article
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Posted By: Fiesta del sol- 4/6/2013 8:20:04 AM
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Beyonce and Jay-Z celebrated their fifth wedding anniversary in Cuba this week. The couple, who married on April 4, 2008, took in the sights of Old Havana, visited a school, dined on a rooftop terrace and strolled the fan-filled streets in their island best.(snip).The power couple declined to answer journalists´ questions about their visit to the island nation, but some outlets are reporting that the moguls are there as tourists, though that would be illegal because of the half-century embargo the U.S. has on the Communist country. However, the Miami Herald said Washington has issued special licenses for
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Mother Of Slain Benghazi Officer To Sean Hannity: ‘They Want Me To Shut Up’
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Mediaite, by A.J. Delgado
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/7/2013 5:00:16 AM
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On Friday, Sean Hannity brought Pat Smith, mother of the late Sean Smith, on his radio program. The 34-year-old information management officer was one of four Americans murdered in the Benghazi embassy attack on September 11, 2012. In the chilling interview, a distraught Ms. Smith, in tears, pleaded for answers and spoke of the efforts to silence her. Ms. Smith first relayed how her son, prior to the attack, requested additional security in advance and warned the State Department: He did tell them, ahead of time, he typed it into his little typewriter over there,
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