Election 2012 has had few surprises. So it's somewhat surprising that heading into the final weekend of the election season, we are unable to confidently project who is likely to win the White House. All year long, the economy has been the number one issue of the campaign. That hasn't changed. While Mitt Romney has a slight advantage when it comes to handling the economy, neither candidate has really convinced voters that they know what the nation needs. From the beginning of the year to today, the fundamentals suggested the presidential election would be close.
Comments: I wonder sometimes if I know my country any longer. The fact that this election is close at all baffles me. President Obama is so inept in virtually every important area that he should lose in landslide.
That presupposes that the statement "it is very close" is true. A large number of people (far more knowledgeable than me) not only disagree but believe it is a flat out lie designed only to dis-spirt people like yourself and get them to sew doubt amongst the other (our) side.
There was a family gathering here last night with several libs in attendance. The most vocal among them (Electric Prius driving, vegan, life-long Dem) apologized to the rest of the group saying 'we screwed up' voting for Barry. The rest of the libs agreed and said Romney was their guy this time. Hugs all around. Encouraging to say the least.
Consider who educates and entertains our kids. Consider how blind most parents are to the virtues of free market capitalism. Generation after generation living better and better results in unwariness. 'Twas ever thus. Should Willard win he will face an electorate increasing socialistic in deed if not in word. The tree of freedom needs fertilizing.
You're lucky poster #5. a couple of months ago, my lib brother asked me if 'I had come out of the dark yet'. We were at his house, our mother, a conservative, gets upset if we talk politics so I just smiled and didn't answer him.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
Mr. Hanky, 11/4/2012 11:47:29 AM (No. 8987120)
What garbage. They've tried so hard to prop up the incompetent incumbent and they still failing.
2008 was predictable. Most of us just knew that America was too smart to put an inexperienced wiseass punk kid into office who had never done anything meaningful in his life.
Obama can no longer hide the fact that he is angry, frustrated and, for all practical purposes, insane. The damage he has done has affected 95% of all businesses in the country and SURELY people have learned this time around.
Rasmussen is perhaps the best pollng firm out there, just as an fyi. I still think it will be a Romney landslide, and that Romney will win Illinois. Perhaps I am thinking with my heart, I cannot say for certain. There are many Roman Catholics in Chicago metro area who love the country and the Constitution, and who have no tolerance for the US Government dictating policy to any religious institution.
I have been plagued by a nagging, unsubstantiated opinion that the truth is that the nation is lined up to support Romney in a landslide. However, it is impossible to predict the degree of fraud that will be employed to steal the election. So, the corrupt pollsters keep it close or predict Obama because they know fraud is in the works, while the honest pollsters keep it close because they don't want egg on their faces.
Re polling, I don't know if anyone saw a Gallup honcho interviewed on Fox News Sunday, I believe it was last week. He was asked about polls which seemed skewed to Ds. He stated that party affiliation was one of the final questions asked when polling. So it may seem to us that the polls are biased, it could be something entirely different at play, such as who can be more easily reached, or is more likely to talk to a pollster.
I know it seems unlikely, #17, but you have to look at last Governor's race in Illinois (2010); know that collar county voters who went for President Obama in 2008 will be far less likely to do so in 2012; and know that there is almost zero effort, at least in my Chicago ward, to re-elect President Obama - which means Chicago turnout will be significantly lowe than in 2008. The rest of Illinois is solid red, so if downstate voters are energized and Chicagoland voters go Obama, but by significantly lower margins than in 2008, Romney can will win. It depresses me greatly that I reached out to Romney campaign as a volunteer via their Illinois website and their NEVER was a response.
Jay Severin who has been friends with Scott R a long time said Friday that while he is the best pollster and Jay respects him completely, Jay put his 30 years of campaign insider experience on the line predicting a big win for R/R.
My uneducated gut says 4 points. Onward to Tuesday.
I have posted elsewhere that Richard Nixon's silent majority has become Romney's whispering majority. I have friends who voted for missie barack in 2008, mainly because he is black, and now say, but in whispers, after looking around to see if anyone might overhear them, that they will support romney, and while they don't love romney, they cannot afford to support missie barack. I continue to believe the popular vote will be 52-47 for romney, and I also respect Michael Barone's call of 315 electoral votes for Romney, 223 for missie barack. Finally, I find the Michigan polling results showing a tie, to be really fascinating. Detroit is a mostly black city. And they constitute a good part of the electorate in michigan. Could it be that they have come to realize that Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton, back in 2007, were correct? That missie barack is not black enough? And that when Jesse Jackson said that he wanted to cut off missie barack's testicles, he was on to something?
I disagree with #14 on Illinois going for Romney. I agree that there are lots of Roman Catholics in the Metro area, but those are the SAME Roman Catholics that voted for the Daley Machine since the "Boss" was in charge. Nothing is going to change that area to Red IMHO.
Only a few days until the election and polls show that 4% of all voters are still undecided.In a close election, these undecided voters will determine who becomes our next President.
Here is a list of the top 10 questions that are uppermost in the minds of the remaining undecided voters:
1. Who is this Obama guy? 2. Who is he running against? 3. Can I vote for Justin Bieber? 4. I voted in 2008, why do I have to vote again? 5. Who did I vote for in 2008? 6. I voted for the black guy in 2008. Is he running again? 7. Isn't Honey Boo Boo the cutest thing? 8. Some guy named Gallup called me last week and asked who I supported. Does that mean I have already voted? 9. Will Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson get back together? 10. What is an election?
As if the city doesn´t have enough problems with crime, budget deficits, and school cuts and closings, Mayor Emanuel has decided to barrel headfirst into the South Loop real estate market—with at least $55 million of your property tax funds. The key moment came at the July 24 City Council meeting, when he hammered through an ordinance giving the city eminent domain authority to buy property at Indiana and Cermak. He plans to have a hotel built there. A couple days later, the Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority—the city-state agency that oversees Navy Pier and McCormick Place
Amid a spate of incursions by China in Ladakh, its troops are also resorting to tactics like preventing Indian Army from patrolling posts in this sector along the border which was well within India´s territory. In what is being described as an aggressive approach by China, the tactics have come to the fore in the wake of yet another incident last week when Indian troops launched its patrol "Tiranga" from Trade Junction area in north of Ladakh for two posts located 14 km up in the higher reaches along the line of actual control (LAC).
Using anti-science exuberance, for the last few days, the media have pom-pommed someone´s ethereal projection that the economy had created 200,000 or so jobs in July. The fact that our media would consider 200,000 jobs (which hardly keeps up with population growth) worthy of pom-poms is grotesque enough. Even more appalling is spinning manufactured positive news-cycles for President Obama based on proven nonsense like the ADP´s jobs projections.
A 6-year-old boy riding in a car with his mom was shot in the West Garfield Park neighborhood on the West Side overnight, according to police, the boy among at least 13 people shot since Friday afternoon across the city. Police aren’t certain of the boy’s condition but said he was taken to Mount Sinai Hospital. He was in a car in the 4200 block of West Wilcox Street about 11:30 p.m. when someone started shooting.
Mayor Rahm Emanuel will not raise sales or property taxes to close a $338.7 million gap in next year’s budget but all bets are off in 2015, when the shortfall balloons to $1 billion without pension reform, a top mayoral aide said Wednesday. In 2015, the city is required by state law to make a $600 million contribution to stabilize police and fire pension funds that now have assets to cover just 30.5 and 25 percent of their respective liabilities.
Hundreds of gang members will be invited to a summit in Chicago in an attempt to broker peace in the bloodiest neighborhoods — 20 years after “gang summits” here and in other states drew national attention, organizers said Wednesday. The Rev. Gregory Tatum, a California pastor with Chicago roots, said he hopes the Rev. Jesse Jackson and the Rev. Al Sharpton will attend the Sept. 27-28 summit. Jackson spoke at a gang summit two decades ago in Chicago, delivering a message to gang members that they were the “new frontier of the civil rights struggle.”
Four out of 5 U.S. adults struggle with joblessness, near poverty or reliance on welfare for at least parts of their lives, a sign of deteriorating economic security and an elusive American dream. Survey data exclusive to The Associated Press points to an increasingly globalized U.S. economy, the widening gap between rich and poor and loss of good-paying manufacturing jobs as reasons for the trend. The findings come as President Barack Obama tries to renew his administration´s emphasis on the economy,
Mayor Rahm Emanuel closed the books on 2012 with $33.4 million in unallocated cash on hand — down from $167 million the year before — while adding to the mountain of debt piled on Chicago taxpayers, year-end audits show. Last week, Moody’s Investors ordered an unprecedented triple-drop in the city’s bond rating, citing Chicago’s “very large and growing” pension liabilities, “significant” debt service payments, “unrelenting public safety demands” and historic reluctance to raise local taxes that has continued under Emanuel.
State Rep. Monique Davis (D-Chicago) is defending comments she made about her constituents mistrusting Chicago Police. Davis, who represents a part of the city’s South Side, told a Detroit radio station some people in her district believe police are committing some of the murders in Chicago and that’s why they go unsolved. "We were talking about the deaths in the community,” Davis told the Sun-Times Saturday, adding she told the radio station that “some of my community people say they think the police are doing it.”
About 280 miles separate Chicago from Detroit, too long for a quick drive but too short for one city’s financial calamity to go unnoticed in the other. Many investors who buy municipal bonds for tax-free income have similar images of the two cities: upper Midwest, industrial jobs in decline, crime rampant in too many places. Both also put off the day of reckoning for their enormous pension debts to their work force. In asking for bankruptcy protection Thursday, Detroit listed debts of $18 billion, with pension systems among its largest creditors.
Manila: At least seven Filipino marines and five militants were killed in a clash on Saturday as the military launched an offensive against al-Qaida-linked gunmen who have been blamed for recent kidnappings and of trying to sabotage a road project in the southern Philippines. Nine other marines and about 10 Abu Sayyaf militants were wounded in the gunbattle that raged for an hour in a sparsely populated village on the fringes of the coastal town of Patikul in Sulu province, military spokesman Brig. Gen. Domingo Tutaan said.
CHICAGO- A housing complex geared toward helping veterans at risk of becoming homeless will be built on Chicago´s South Side next year, officials announced Thursday. The Hope Manor II apartments, funded by federal, state and city grant money, will have 73 units, ranging from studio to four-bedroom apartments. Residents will have access to services such as job training, family counseling and mental health screening. The project expands on a concept started last summer, when the original Hope Manor opened on Chicago´s West Side.
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie holds a narrow lead among Republicans for the party’s 2016 presidential nomination, but even more GOP voters say he’s the candidate they least want to see nominated. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that Christie earns 21% support when Republican voters are asked whom they would vote for if the party’s primary in their state were held today. Florida Senator Marco Rubio runs a close second with 18% of the GOP vote, followed by former Florida Governor Jeb Bush at 16% and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul with 15% of the vote.
Barack Obama delivered one gaffe after another in his August 6 interview with Jay Leno, but the networks that usually mock every mistake or slip of the tongue made by Republicans ignored the President´s verbal mishaps. ABC´s Good Morning America, CBS´s This Morning and NBC´s Today show, on Wednesday morning, all bypassed the chance to criticize Obama for: downplaying the threat of terrorism; falsely claiming Vladimir Putin once ran the KGB; placing the Atlantic coast cities of Savannah, Charleston and Jacksonville on the Gulf of Mexico; confusing the Winter Olympics with the Summer Olympics. First up, on the
WASHINGTON — U.S. officials insisted Tuesday that extraordinary security measures for nearly two dozen diplomatic posts were to thwart an “immediate, specific threat,” a claim questioned by counterterrorism experts, who note that the alert covers an incongruous set of nations from the Middle East to an island off the southern coast of Africa. Analysts don’t dispute the Obama administration’s narrative that it’s gleaned intelligence on a plot involving al Qaida’s most active affiliate, the Yemen-based Arabian Peninsula branch. That would explain why most U.S. posts in the Persian Gulf are on lockdown, including the U.
Critics of the president are convinced that Barack Obama will do lasting damage to the U.S. I doubt it. Obama came to power in the third year of large Democratic congressional majorities. In his first referendum, he lost the House and he may soon lose the Senate; in other words, there followed a somewhat normal reaction against a majority party. Obama’s popularity rating is well below 50%, despite an obsequious media and a brilliantly negative billion-dollar campaign that long ago turned Mitt Romney into a veritable elevator-using, equestrian-marrying, canine-hating monster. In the second term, there is little
Former Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney jumped into the debate over the GOP’s future Tuesday night, warning congressional Republicans against forcing a government shutdown in their quest to stop President Barack Obama’s signature health care law. Romney addressed more than 200 donors on the shores of Lake Winnipesaukee at a fundraiser for the New Hampshire Republican Party, staged just four miles from the vacation home where he has spent much of the summer with his family. The event was closed to the media, but his office released his prepared remarks.
Last month we learned that Megyn Kelly was leaving her daytime anchor gig to take over a Fox News primetime slot. According to an “exclusive” Drudge Report flash this afternoon, that time slot will be 9 p.m. ET. “Superstar newswoman Megyn Kelly has landed the 9 PM slot, top sources reveal,” the Drudge Report wrote. “The shock announcement is set for later this month.” Fox’s 9 p.m. hour is currently helmed by Sean Hannity, leading to speculation over whether he could be out of a primetime gig. There are many possible outcomes from this lineup change,
The U.S. State Department issued a global alert about the terrorist threat allegedly posed by Al-Qaeda in Yemen. The USA announced the closure of its missions in the Middle East and Africa, and their example was followed by France, Britain, and Germany. However, this was only an attempt to justify the activities of the National Security Agency.Last Saturday, right after alerting of the terror threat civilians and BOLO complex ("be on the lookout") that includes law enforcement and federal officials, President Barack Obama went to play golf, and then celebrated his birthday at the presidential retreat at Camp David.
Ending a war is a good thing. Killing civilians a bad thing. Deliberately targeting civilians is murder, and is never morally licit, even in pursuit of a good thing such as ending a war. The tens of thousands of Japanese non-combatants we killed 68 years ago this week with two nuclear bombs were not “collateral damage” of military strikes. They were the intended targets. We hoped that mass murder would bring the Japanese emperor to surrender. It worked, and American and Japanese soldiers’ lives were probably saved by it —
Over the last week, there has been a lot of buzz about a supposed CIA angle to the Benghazi story. Specifically, it has been alleged that a substantial number of CIA employees were on the ground in Benghazi, carrying out a mission that involved rounding up Libyan weapons and transferring them to rebels in Syria. Further, it has been reported that the CIA has leaned on its employees not to cooperate with Congressional investigations or the media, and it has been suggested that the CIA’s role in Benghazi may be related to the al Qaeda
In a rare diplomatic snub, President Obama is canceling plans to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow next month. The decision reflects both U.S. anger over Russia´s harboring of National Security Agency leaker Edward Snowden and growing frustration within the Obama administration over what it sees as Moscow´s stubbornness on other key issues, including missile defense and human rights. Obama will still attend the Group of 20 economic summit in St. Petersburg, Russia, but a top White House official said the president had no plans to hold one-on-one talks with Putin while there.
In a move some claim is tantamount to social engineering, the Department of Housing and Urban Development is imposing a new rule that would allow the feds to track diversity in America’s neighborhoods and then push policies to change those it deems discriminatory. The policy is called, "Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing." It will require HUD to gather data on segregation and discrimination in every single neighborhood and try to remedy it. HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan unveiled the federal rule at the NAACP convention in July. "Unfortunately, in too many of our hardest hit communities, no matter how hard
President Obama is slated to deliver a speech later this month commemorating the 50th anniversary of the March on Washington in which Martin Luther King Jr. gave his famous “I Have a Dream” speech. Obama will deliver his speech from the steps of the Lincoln Memorial — the same place where King spoke 50 years ago. The Let Freedom Ring ceremony will be held Aug. 28. "It’s obviously a historic, seminal event in the country. It’s part of my generation’s formative memory and it’s a good time for us to do some reflection,"