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Anger Aside, Voters
Favor D.C. Status Quo

National Journal, by Ronald Brownstein

Original Article

Posted By:supersid, 10/31/2012 4:15:00 PM

Despite dissatisfaction with the nation’s direction and Washington’s performance, voters lean toward retaining the status quo in Washington, the latest United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll has found. This final Congressional Connection Poll before the Nov. 6 election found that among likely voters, President Obama has reopened a slim advantage over Mitt Romney, (Snip) Overall, the survey found Obama leading Romney among likely voters by 50 percent to 45 percent, after the two tied at 47 percent each in a late-September Congressional

Comments:
In the penultimate paragraph, they note that they expect the democrat turnout advantage to increase this year to 8%, compared to 7% in 2008. That assumption is, should we say, questionable?

      


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Reply 1 - Posted by: oriton, 10/31/2012 4:20:01 PM     (No. 8977502)

This sounds like crazy talk to me. We can't afford status quo.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: FenwayFrank, 10/31/2012 4:27:44 PM     (No. 8977519)

UTX better stick to its knitting. This poll is ridiculous, but if it keeps obama voters from voting, I can deal with it.

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Reply 3 - Posted by: Spidey, 10/31/2012 4:33:12 PM     (No. 8977538)

Why re all the polls suddenly showing Obama closing in? Every other metric shows Romney should be ahead.

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Reply 4 - Posted by: horacer, 10/31/2012 4:35:11 PM     (No. 8977543)

These guys are buying into Axelfraud's turnout model. Not only D+8 but a big drop in white voters. In '08 white voters were over 76%, Axelfraud is trying to convince pollsters this year it will be 72% or less. 75% seems to be the consensus.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: KTWO, 10/31/2012 4:43:00 PM     (No. 8977568)

IMO the matter is settled and not many votes will change in seven days.

The headline for a poll story is almost always biased. So is the text. Avoid "what it means" sentences. With determination you can often find out how the poll was conducted to produce a desired result.

Don't bother. Life is too short.

Rasmussen seems the most disciplined, objective, and accurate of the major polls. But that is only my impression.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: GraniteBayTom, 10/31/2012 4:47:15 PM     (No. 8977582)

In one week, the NJ and Brownstein will be proven to the idiots we already know they are. I'm saving this article for a good laugh after the election.

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Reply 7 - Posted by: whyyeseyec, 10/31/2012 4:47:17 PM     (No. 8977583)

99% have already made up their minds. Polls mean nothing at this point.

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Reply 8 - Posted by: Caljeepgirl, 10/31/2012 5:19:01 PM     (No. 8977685)

I dunno' I actually find this somewhat believable. Unfortunately, most voters are somewhat fickle. As a microcosm of the population in general, they also often lack plain common sense.

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Reply 9 - Posted by: eoddad, 10/31/2012 5:37:59 PM     (No. 8977732)

Brownstein - effeminate fool

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Reply 10 - Posted by: kanphil, 10/31/2012 5:44:08 PM     (No. 8977757)

Inside the Beltway, maybe, where Dems and Republicans are happy as clams as long as the liquor holds out. Out in the country, people are boiling over mad about the Status Quo.

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Reply 11 - Posted by: preciosodrogas, 10/31/2012 5:48:32 PM     (No. 8977774)

No, this is true. Why just look at how the voters favored the status quo in 2010./s

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Reply 12 - Posted by: faldo, 10/31/2012 5:59:02 PM     (No. 8977805)

Like the old lady in Michael Moore's ad-- Ronald, we will burn this mf'er down...!

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