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The Statistical Significance of Sandy Could Alter Electoral, Popular-Vote Math
National Journal, by Major Garrett
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Original Article
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Posted By:StormCnter, 10/31/2012 12:04:16 PM
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| One of more absurd notions to crop up in the latter stages of the presidential campaign is that GOP challenger Mitt Romney could win the popular vote and lose the Electoral College vote. Until Hurricane Sandy, this was a cable TV notion in search of historical and mathematical mooring. That it bobbed aimlessly through the occasionally mindless waters of talking heads made it no different from any other might-this-happen adventure in televised banality. But think about it for just two seconds. The concept is built on the theory that Romney could run up the vote in Southern
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Comments: Garrett gives us a lot of stats and opinion before arriving at the theory that Obama could win the popular vote, but Romney take the election with the electoral victory. Of course, I don't believe there is any way that Obama wins the popular vote.
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
curious1, 10/31/2012 12:07:46 PM (No. 8976917)
Capt. Zippy isn't popular - no way he wins the popular vote without blatant cheating orders of magnitude greater than any done before by the libtards.
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Reply 2 - Posted by:
Attila DiMedici, 10/31/2012 12:20:04 PM (No. 8976946)
OP, I received the opposite impression from the article. That is, my impression of the article was that the author thought the theory that Romney might win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College was complete hogwash before Hurricane Sandy, but that in a post-Sandy election it was a remote, but plausible scenario.
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Reply 3 - Posted by:
bpl40, 10/31/2012 12:22:30 PM (No. 8976951)
He's done. These speculative articles will proliferate like roaches all the way to the end. 54/45/1 Romney.
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Reply 4 - Posted by:
StormCnter, 10/31/2012 12:23:23 PM (No. 8976956)
#2, don't you think the closing paragraph indicates what I inferred from the article? If I'm wrong, it wouldn't be the first time.
"The chance of a Romney popular-vote victory and Obama Electoral College victory were always statistically and mathematically remote. The chances of the opposite occurring were always easier for me to see. And Sandy may alter that terrain in ways that prove more harmful to Obama than Romney."
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Reply 5 - Posted by:
mickturn, 10/31/2012 12:52:09 PM (No. 8977024)
Well Libs are basically lazy...it's too much trouble to vote, Zippy has it in the bag...
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Reply 6 - Posted by:
nimby, 10/31/2012 1:27:08 PM (No. 8977119)
Garrett!! Let me tell you something about Texas---Zippy and gang may offer free "choom or cell phones" to the liberals here. But both the electoral and popular vote will go to Romney. Drive down the streets and see the R/R yard signs (except for Austin ofcourse)!!
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Reply 7 - Posted by:
KTWO, 10/31/2012 1:30:53 PM (No. 8977131)
I suspect math will survive unaltered.
And the "statistical significance" of a storm means what?
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Reply 8 - Posted by:
zoidberg, 10/31/2012 3:35:17 PM (No. 8977389)
Statistical significance? Show me a p-value! What test did you use?
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Below, you will find ...
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Most Recent Articles posted by "StormCnter"
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Reports conflict on North Korea´s nuclear capabilities
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USA Today, by Aamer Madhani and Tom Vanden Brook
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/12/2013 4:26:59 AM
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WASHINGTON — With newly-revealed U.S. intelligence showing that North Korea may already be able to arm a missile with a nuclear warhead, President Obama said on Thursday that North Korea must end its "belligerent approach." After meeting with U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon at the White House on Thursday, Obama said they both agreed that it was time to "lower temperatures." "Nobody wants to see a conflict on the Korean peninsula," Obama said. "But it´s important for North Korea, like every other country in the world, to observe the basic rules and norms that are set forth,
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Immigration bill could exclude many
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Associated Press, by Erica Werner
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/12/2013 4:20:52 AM
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WASHINGTON -- A bipartisan immigration bill soon to be introduced in the Senate could exclude hundreds of thousands of immigrants here illegally from ever becoming U.S. citizens, according to a Senate aide with knowledge of the proposals. The bill would bar anyone who arrived in the U.S. after Dec. 31, 2011, from applying for legal status and ultimately citizenship, according to the aide, who spoke on condition because the proposals have not been made public. It also would require applicants to document that they were in the country before Dec. 31, 2011, have a clean criminal record
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Toomey and Manchin’s Slippery Slope
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National Review Online, by Charles C. W. Cooke
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 3:19:38 PM
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Well, assembled sophisticates, you’d better pull that extended arm back toward you and rescind the offer of the Martini, for I’m about to drop off society’s tightrope and out myself as one of those people naïve enough to advance a “slippery slope” argument in public. And about guns, no less. Arguendo, let’s presume that the much-vaunted Toomey-Manchin “compromise” makes it out of the Senate unalloyed, and then that it then passes the House with nary a squeak from the right. Let’s then postulate that a majority agrees with the president that expanding background checks is a “reasonable” thing to do — redolent of “a commonsense approach” — and that those of us with the temerity to oppose it will be widely painted as “extremists.”
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Did David Corn Break the Law?
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Weekly Standard, by Daniel Halper
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 3:11:37 PM
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David Corn, the Mother Jones writer who released the "secret tape" of a Mitch McConnell campaign meeting, might have broken the law by publishing information that appears to have been obtained illegally, according to sources. Asked about how the tape was obtained yesterday on TV, Corn said, "We did not make the tape. We were provided the tape. And that it is our understanding that the tape was not part of any Watergate style bugging operation, as Mitch McConnell has claimed it to be." But as details trickle out, it seems Corn might not have been particularly forthright about the tactics used.
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George W. Bush Underwent Back Surgery, Spent January Recuperating
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National Journal, by Tom DeFrank
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 12:31:39 PM
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As it turns out, George H.W. Bush isn’t the only former president named Bush with medical problems. Two sources close to the Bush family have told National Journal that George W. Bush quietly underwent back surgery several months ago to deal with a nagging disc problem. The 43rd president and his wife, Laura, spent the entire month of January in Florida so Bush could recuperate from the surgery and take in some spring-training baseball. These sources say Bush’s doctors told him to give up golf until his back healed, but he managed to sneak
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Pat Smith and 700 Special Ops
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American Spectator, by Jeffrey Lord
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 6:13:54 AM
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Seven hundred Military Special Operations professionals. And one insistent and very angry Mom. This is becoming a deadly combination for the political game players in the Obama Administration. Sean Smith, the young State Department computer wizard who was brutally murdered that September night in Benghazi, was Pat Smith’s only child. Let’s say that again. Sean Smith was Mrs. Smith’s only child. To listen to her recent radio interview with another Sean… Sean Hannity… is to have the heart break.
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The real gun control drama begins Thursday
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Politico, by John Bresnahan
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 6:06:38 AM
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President Barack Obama and Senate Democrats are going to win the first round in the fight over gun control Thursday. As many as a dozen Republicans are expected to join 50 or so Democrats to shut down a Republican filibuster blocking debate on a Democrat-authored gun bill thanks, in part, to a bipartisan deal between Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) that would expand background checks on all commercial gun sales and end the so-called gun show loophole. And then the real drama will begin. Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and other GOP senators
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Newspaper without scruples
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Power Line, by Paul Mirengoff
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 5:56:37 AM
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“Courts Without Judges” reads the headline of an attack on Senate Republicans by the New York Times editorial board. Bemoaning the fact that there 85 vacancies in the federal judiciary, the Times asserts that “by far the most important cause of this unfortunate state of affairs is the determination of Senate Republicans, for reasons of politics, ideology and spite, to confirm as few of President Obama’s judicial choices as possible.” However, as Ed Whelan points out, in the second-to-last paragraph of the editorial we learn that “62 district and circuit court vacancies have no nominees.”
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Guess Who’s Not Coming to Dinner?
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Slate, by John Dickerson
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 5:53:08 AM
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While President Obama invites Republicans to his dinner table, his liberal allies are at the gates. On Wednesday night, President Obama dines with GOP senators at the White House. It´s the second act in a dinner theater that started with a meal with another group of Republican senators at the Jefferson Hotel a month ago. Obama also made public peace offerings Wednesday to those Republicans: cuts to Social Security and Medicare in his budget that he hopes will entice conservatives to a grand budget bargain. Those measures enraged his liberal allies so much
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New York City to Pay Occupy Wall Street $232,000 Over Destruction of People’s Library
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New York Observer, by Jane Gayduk
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 5:40:48 AM
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The City of New York has finally agreed to pay Occupy Wall Street for the property destroyed in the Zuccotti Park police raid on Nov. 15, 2011. OWS initiated a suit on May 24, 2012, seeking compensation for the desctruction of their People’s Library—a collection of over 5,000 donated books. About 3,600 of these were ruined during the early morning eviction of the protest camp. The City agreed to settle yesterday, awarding $47,000 in damages to OWS and $186,349.58 in attorney fees to their lawyers. “We’re very pleased with the resolution of this suit,” said Herbert Teitelbaum, a lawyer representing the plaintiffs.
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North Korea Launch Zone Found
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Washington Free Beacon, by Bill Gertz
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 5:34:13 AM
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U.S. and allied intelligence agencies have identified the launch zone on North Korea’s east coast where Pyongyang’s military is set to fire a salvo of missiles that risk being shot down by U.S. missile defenses in the region. The North Koreans recently began fueling two road-mobile Musudan intermediate-range ballistic missiles located along the east coast between the cities of Wonsan and Hamhung, according to intelligence officials. The officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said in addition to the 2,500-mile-range Musudans the North Koreans could conduct test firings of several 620-mile-range Nodong missiles and shorter-range Scuds simultaneously
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Not so gran marcha
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Daily Caller, by Mickey Kaus
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 5:29:41 AM
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Where’s OFA? The pro-amnesty rally in front of the U.S. Capitol was described as “massive” on my local NPR station even before it had taken place. Here is an NBC newscast with a pretty good photo-not an up-close photo, but one that lets you gauge the size of the crowd. It’s not massive! It’s not even very large. I’d say 10,000 or fewer. Obama’s new high-tech political machine, Organizing for Action, doesn’t seem to have played a huge role in the rally. It declared a “week of action” on immigration, but that was last week. (You missed it?) .
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Obamacare architect Rockefeller: It´s ´beyond comprehension´
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Washington Examiner, by Paul Bedard
Original Article
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Posted By: Drive- 4/10/2013 7:17:19 AM
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West Virginia Democratic Sen. Jay Rockefeller, one of the towering architects of Obamacare, on Tuesday openly criticized program managers for not moving quickly enough to build the system, warning that if it gets off to a bumpy start it will just get worse. Decrying the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act as way too complex, he warned the acting Medicare director that Obamacare is "so complicated and if it isn´t done right the first time, it will just simply get worse."
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Ben Carson steps down as Hopkins commencement speaker
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Baltimore Sun, by Andrea K. Walker
Original Article
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Posted By: toledo- 4/11/2013 7:11:23 AM
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Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson stepped down Wednesday as commencement speaker at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine after complaints from students about controversial comments concerning same-sex marriage. The withdrawal came less than a week after medical school Dean Paul B. Rothman chastised Carson for his comments and met with graduating students concerned that the famed physician was an inappropriate commencement speaker.
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Obama: Put Nation´s 4-Year-Olds in ‘Public Preschool;´ Will Save on ‘Child-Care Costs´
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Cybercast News Service, by Terence P. Jeffrey
Original Article
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Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/10/2013 1:18:38 PM
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In the message he issued along with his budget proposal on Wednesday morning, President Barack Obama said he wants to see 4-year-old children in the United States enrolled in public schools. Obama said America needs to start enrolling 4-year-olds to make sure the children are “better prepared for the demands of the global economy” and to help parents save on "child-care costs." After saying the United States needs to “equip our citizens with the skills and training” to fill jobs in manufacturing, energy and infrastructure, Obama said, “And that has to start at the earliest possible age.”
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Daughter of Obama´s former pastor charged with fraud
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Reuters, by Mary Wisniewski
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Posted By: mitzi- 4/11/2013 1:11:19 AM
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The daughter of President Barack Obama´s controversial former pastor was indicted on Wednesday on charges of money laundering and lying to federal authorities, a Justice Department spokeswoman said. Jeri L. Wright, 47, the daughter of Jeremiah Wright, was accused of participating in a fraud scheme led by a former suburban police chief and the chief´s husband that involved a $1.25 million state grant, according to the Attorney´s office for the Central District of Illinois in Springfield. Wright, of the Chicago suburb of Hazel Crest, was charged with two counts of money
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Obama´s Army Outmaneuvered by the NRA
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NationalJournal, by Beth Rinehard
Original Article
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Posted By: FlyRight- 4/10/2013 7:18:37 AM
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Although the first votes on gun -control legislation have yet to be cast, by some measures the National Rifle Association has already won. Obama’s ambitious plans to ban assault weapons and limit magazine capacities are off the table, while the NRA suggested it could support the most likely outcome -- expanded background checks -- as recently as 1999. The NRA claims that the president’s efforts have triggered a fundraising surge and boosted its membership from 4 million to nearly 5 million.
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End this bizarre fantasy
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New York Post, by Andrea Peyser
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 5:10:54 AM
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Is Anthony Weiner completely delusional? Or is he out of his flipping, sex-crazed gourd? Whatever big-busted fantasies crawl around the ex-congressman’s delirious noggin, la Weiner made his next goal as clear as the skin of the wholesome college students he craved: He relishes being Mayor Weiner. Please, shut up this clown. These days, the genitally obsessed Weiner has nothing much to do, except sit in his lavish Manhattan apartment and — the inhumanity! — change the poopy diapers of his 16-month-old son, Jordan. Worse, Weiner is living under a kind of house arrest, sentenced to take extreme grief
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Senate votes 68-31 to move forward with gun control measure
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The Hill [Washington DC], by Jonathan Easley & Ramsey Cox
Original Article
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Posted By: JoniTx- 4/11/2013 12:23:49 PM
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The Senate voted to move forward on gun control Thursday, clearing the first of what is expected to be many 60-vote hurdles for the legislation. (Snip) Sixteen Republicans voted in favor of the motion, while two Democrats — both from states President Obama lost in the 2012 election — voted against it. The two Democrats were Sens. Mark Begich (Alaska) and Mark Pryor (Ark.), both of whom face reelection next year.The 16 Republicans who voted to proceed were
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Pat Smith and 700 Special Ops
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American Spectator, by Jeffrey Lord
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/11/2013 6:13:54 AM
Post Reply
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Seven hundred Military Special Operations professionals. And one insistent and very angry Mom. This is becoming a deadly combination for the political game players in the Obama Administration. Sean Smith, the young State Department computer wizard who was brutally murdered that September night in Benghazi, was Pat Smith’s only child. Let’s say that again. Sean Smith was Mrs. Smith’s only child. To listen to her recent radio interview with another Sean… Sean Hannity… is to have the heart break.
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4 annoying ways climate change will make your life a bummer
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The Week, by Chris Gayomali
Original Article
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Posted By: NorthernDog- 4/10/2013 7:30:26 PM
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Within the next few decades, carbon emissions could cause global temperatures to rise between 4 and 11 degrees Fahrenheit, melting ice caps and causing sea levels to rise. The price of crops like coffee and chocolate will skyrocket, and countless cuddly animals around the globe could be wiped out. And yet, a lot of people find it hard to really care about climate change. But don´t be fooled: Climate change will affect you. Here´s a brief sampling of ways that warmer temperatures will suck the fun out of your life: 1. Your flights will be more turbulent
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Sebelius: Implementing Obamacare More ´Difficult´ Than Anticipated
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Breitbart´s Big Government, by Tony Lee
Original Article
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Posted By: Dreadnought- 4/10/2013 7:21:14 AM
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Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Kathleen Sebelius conceded Monday that implementing the Affordable Care Act has been more complicated and frustrating than the Obama administration expected, largely due to Republicans who have opposed the law´s state-based exchanges and Medicaid expansion. "The politics has been relentless and that continues," Sebelius said. "There was some hope that once the Supreme Court ruled in July, and then once an election occurred there would be a sense that, ´This is the law of the land, let´s get on board, let´s make this work.´"
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Student to Rand Paul: I don´t want government to leave me alone
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Washington Examiner, by Charlie Spiering
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Posted By: Maryland_Patriot- 4/10/2013 12:45:12 PM
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During the Q and A session after Sen. Rand Paul’s speech at Howard University, one student explained that he was not a fan of his view of government. “You say you want to provide a government that leaves us alone, quite frankly, I don’t want that,” the student said. “I want a government that is going to help me.” The student insisted that he wanted assistance for his college education and asked if Rand Paul supported a culture change within the nation. “Do you Sen. Rand Paul have a formulated solution to come up with new American values
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