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Obama's fuzzy Ohio early vote math
Politico, by Adrian Gray

Original Article

Posted By:DaddyO, 10/27/2012 9:45:00 AM

At this point in an election cycle, many campaign staffers are busy fighting the press on what they call “process stories.” The candidates and their staffs want to talk about their plans and policies while reporters covering them find their audiences demand a play-by-play of the horse race. The result is constant overstuffing of campaign metrics and polling that only serve to muddy the waters for most political observers. In a close race, such as we have today, there is often plenty of data for both sides to use to their favor. One poll says this, another says that.

Comments:
End result: 220000 less dems have already voted than in 2008, and 30000 more reps have voted. That means already 250000 fewer votes for obama in a state where he won by 260000 votes.

      


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: MattMusson, 10/27/2012 10:31:00 AM     (No. 8966767)

Looks like the Dems are going to have to Steal Ohio.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: Echohawk, 10/27/2012 10:37:44 AM     (No. 8966793)

test

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Reply 3 - Posted by: FenwayFrank, 10/27/2012 10:40:23 AM     (No. 8966801)

IIRC, Ohio cleaned out a lot of invalid registrations too. (The types of interest to fraudsters - dead, moved out of state, duplicate within state). Add this to the shift in early voting to GOP, and it's no wonder dems have wadded panties!

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Reply 4 - Posted by: Echohawk, 10/27/2012 10:43:44 AM     (No. 8966814)

Anecdotal evidence: One week ago today, I was in suburban Cuyahoga county and Lorain county (Cleveland's westside). I saw more Romney/Ryan yard signs than Obama/Biden yard signs. Even more telling, dem candidates for down-ticket jobs are not including their party affiliation on their yard signs!
Obama is counting on early voting in the cities. To me, the 'big Mo' feels like it's swinging toward Romney. It's a city mouse-country mouse thing, and the city mouse is a discouraged voter.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: fireman28, 10/27/2012 10:47:53 AM     (No. 8966828)

Limited early voting started in Georgia last Saturday (meaning you had to go to the Election Office in your County).

Wider early voting started today (meaning more poll locations opened up)

Local news, twitter and FB all say lines everywhere are hours long.

Lots of Romney support.
Lets do it everywhere in every state.

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