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Nate Silver's Flawed Model
National Review Online, by Josh Jordan

Original Article

Posted By:Stallion_Cornell, 10/22/2012 6:53:25 PM

In the days before the first debate in Denver, President Obama held more than a four-point lead in the Real Clear Politics average, and Romney had been left for dead by most of the media. Then the debate came, and overnight Romney seemingly rid himself of the weaknesses that had been tacked on to him by over $100 million dollars in negative advertising. Now here we are a few weeks later with a dead heat in nationwide polls.

Comments:
I'm so sick and tired of lefties who consider Mr. Silver the gold standard for poll analysis and think that somehow his goofy model will ultimately matter more than actual election results.

      

Reply 1 - Posted by: ColonialAmerican1623, 10/22/2012 7:00:50 PM     (No. 8953520)

Everybody is a maven.

November 6th will decide.


Reply 2 - Posted by: Lcomstaff, 10/22/2012 7:04:05 PM     (No. 8953525)

previously posted.


   

 

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R-VAR_AD


 

Thread Closed


Below, you will find ...

Most Recent Articles posted by "Stallion_Cornell"

and

Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)




Most Recent Articles posted by "Stallion_Cornell"



In Our Opinion: A Place to Start
Deseret News [Salt Lake City, UT], by Editorial    Original Article
Posted By: Stallion_Cornell- 4/6/2013 7:45:27 AM     Post Reply
News outlets have gone to great lengths to catalogue the disturbing contents of Adam Lanza's bedroom. The accused perpetrator of the Newtown massacre had a cache of violent collectibles that included a plethora of guns and ammunition, along with nearly a dozen knives and three samurai swords, among other things. The media focus has been almost exclusively on these externalities, The media focus has been almost exclusively on these externalities, with very little effort made to take an internal inventory of the thought processes

Where´s the respect for religion on TV?
Deseret News [Salt Lake City, UT], by Jim Bennett    Original Article
Posted By: Stallion_Cornell- 4/3/2013 7:29:46 PM     Post Reply
As “The Bible,” the History Channel’s blockbuster miniseries, broke ratings records, it also likely astounds credulous Hollywood executives who, despite overwhelming evidence of the massive pent-up demand for quality religious entertainment, are always caught flat-footed when such entertainment is rewarded with ratings, ticket sales and lots of cash. Say, remember when Mel Gibson’s “The Passion of the Christ” was supposed to be this weird, dreary flop but then went on to gross more than $600 million? Look at the number of “Star Wars” copycats Hollywood has produced

The 21st century blacklist
focused on conservatives
Deseret News (Salt Lake City), by Jim Bennett    Original Article
Posted By: Stallion_Cornell- 3/8/2013 11:07:37 AM     Post Reply
My grandfather, Wallace F. Bennett, retired from the United States Senate in 1974, four years before my personal chronology reached into double digits. Thus I have no memory of him serving in Congress, but as an adult, I’ve come to appreciate his legacy, particularly in two areas — his strong support for the 1964 landmark Civil Rights Act and his 1954 introduction of a formal resolution of censure against Sen. Joe McCarthy for acting in a manner “contrary to good morals and senatorial ethics.”

How to fail in Hollywood
Deseret News, by Jim Bennett    Original Article
Posted By: Stallion_Cornell- 2/15/2013 2:30:30 PM     Post Reply
Having grown up in Los Angeles and spending a good chunk of my youth thinking I was going to make my living as an actor, I am occasionally asked what it takes to make it in Hollywood. Given that I did not, in fact, make it in Hollywood, I’m probably not the right guy to ask. However, I do have one bit of expert advice on how to not make it in Hollywood. So for those looking for the key to failure, here it is: Walk into an audition wearing a Republican T-shirt.

   

 

  


 
Quentin Tarantino and his films
are part of the problem
Deseret News [Utah], by Jim Bennett    Original Article
Posted By: Stallion_Cornell- 1/11/2013 2:40:57 PM     Post Reply
I’ve had a number of odd jobs in my time, but one of the oddest was when I worked as a profanity counter. As I recounted in an earlier column, I used to get paid to sit through movies and chronicle all the naughty bits. (Snip) After recording 273 utterances of the most notorious R-rated profanity in the movie "Reservoir Dogs," I decided that I would never again voluntarily subject myself to another flick written or directed by Quentin Tarantino.

CNN Poll: Obama 50%-Romney 46% in Ohio
CNN, by Paul Steinhauser    Original Article
Posted By: Stallion_Cornell- 10/26/2012 6:26:35 PM     Post Reply
With a week and a half to go until Election Day, a new poll indicates the race for arguably the most important battleground state remains very close. According to a CNN/ORC International survey released Friday, President Barack Obama holds a four point advantage over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the contest for Ohio's much fought over 18 electoral votes.

Nate Silver's Flawed Model
National Review Online, by Josh Jordan    Original Article
Posted By: Stallion_Cornell- 10/22/2012 6:53:25 PM     Post Reply
In the days before the first debate in Denver, President Obama held more than a four-point lead in the Real Clear Politics average, and Romney had been left for dead by most of the media. Then the debate came, and overnight Romney seemingly rid himself of the weaknesses that had been tacked on to him by over $100 million dollars in negative advertising. Now here we are a few weeks later with a dead heat in nationwide polls.



Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)



Distracted, distant Obama worries
Democrats, White House aides

66 replie(s)
Capitol Hill Blue, (Floyd, VA), by John Weston    Original Article
Posted By: Scottyboy- 8/4/2013 7:58:15 AM     Post Reply
White House insiders say President Barack Obama is in “a funk” about what he sees as increasing stagnation and failures surrounding his second term and some worry that the President is becoming more distant and distracted. “He’s not the same Obama that came to the Oval Office after the 2008 elections,” a senior White House aided confided to friends in an email recently. “I’m worried.” Chicago Mayor and former White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel tells friends that the Presidency has changed his longtime friend Obama and many of those changes are “not good.”

The Dependably Unfaithful Colin Powell
62 replie(s)
American Thinker, by Jeannie DeAngelis    Original Article
Posted By: magnante- 8/5/2013 6:42:46 AM     Post Reply
In 2008 and then again in 2012, after retired four-star General Colin Powell endorsed and then voted for Barack Obama, the former Secretary of State´s sanity was already in question. At least now, after having his email account hacked by high-level security-breacher Guccifer, Colin Powell´s besmirching of the Republican Party´s "shift to the right" and "identity crisis" finally makes sense. It seems that for years the mannerly and always professional Colin Powell has been cyber-comporting with a 46-year-old Romanian European Parliament member, Social Democrat, and past spokesperson for Romanian president Ion Iliescu named Corina Cretu

   

 

B-G1


 
The Front Man
51 replie(s)
National Review Online, by Kevin D. Williamson    Original Article
Posted By: StormCnter- 8/5/2013 5:33:42 AM     Post Reply
Conservatives have for years attempted to put our finger upon precisely why Barack Obama strikes us as queer in precisely the way he does. There is an alienness about him, which in the fever swamps is expressed in all that ridiculous Kenyan-Muslim hokum, but his citizen-of-the-world shtick is strictly sophomore year — the great globalist does not even speak a foreign language. Obama has been called many things — radical, socialist — labels that may have him dead to rights at the phylum level but not down at his genus or species. His social circle includes

Intel community worried Obama administration
disclosed too much about latest al Qaeda threat

48 replie(s)
Washington Times, by LISA RUTH    Original Article
Posted By: FlyRight- 8/4/2013 7:08:12 AM     Post Reply
In warning about possible al Qaeda attacks against Americans overseas, U.S. officials may have provided too much detail about intercepted chatter and the source of the information, and that may make it more difficult to get such tips next time, former and current intelligence officials say.On Friday, the U.S. State Department issued a worldwide travel alert for Americans, citing an unspecified al Qaeda threat. The bulletin said that the highest threat levels are the Middle East and North Africa, “and possibly occurring in or emanating from the Arab Peninsula.”

White House holds high-level
meeting over security threat

44 replie(s)
Reuters, by Jeff Mason    Original Article
Posted By: LittleHoodedMonk- 8/4/2013 5:29:08 AM     Post Reply
Washington - President Barack Obama´s top national security advisers met at the White House on Saturday to discuss the potential threat of terrorist attacks that caused Washington and its allies to issue travel warnings and close embassies throughout the Middle East. The United States issued a worldwide travel alert on Friday (Snip) Obama is spending the weekend at the Camp David presidential retreat after playing golf earlier on Saturday. His birthday is Sunday. The White House said Obama had received regular briefings about the potential threat and U.S. preparedness measures all week.

The Rise of Al-Qaeda and Why the
Administration Lied about Benghazi

44 replie(s)
PJ Media, by Roger L. Simon    Original Article
Posted By: StormCnter- 8/5/2013 4:55:13 AM     Post Reply
For nearly a year, we have had no answer to why the administration lied about Benghazi — why it told the world, not to mention the parents of our murdered SEALs at the funeral of their sons, that the cause of that fatal conflagration was an anti-Islamic video no one saw, when the various arms of our executive branch (White House, State and intelligence) already knew, or strongly suspected, it was a terror attack orchestrated by al-Qaeda affiliates. You only have to read the now infamous talking points to know that. That this lie was deeply immoral is obvious.

The Cringing Superpower
41 replie(s)
National Review Online, by Mark Steyn    Original Article
Posted By: Dreadnought- 8/4/2013 9:50:53 PM     Post Reply
Today, across Africa, Araby and Asia, from Nouakchott to Dhaka, the diplomatic facilities of the United States are closed. There’s a Tsarnaev out there, somewhere – could be the Mahgreb, the Levant, the Horn of Africa, the Indian sub-continent – who knows? So, as Richard Fernandez writes, “Shelter in place, this time globally.” Maybe it will work. Maybe by the end of the day there will be, unlike Benghazi a year on, men in custody. But if not? Daniel Pipes: Don’t know about you, but I find this pre-emptive cringing unworthy of a great country, even humiliating.

   

 

R_DBL_B
  


 
Professor says kids no longer
need to learn spelling and
grammar because of smartphones

35 replie(s)
Daily Caller (Washington DC), by Eric Owens    Original Article
Posted By: JoniTx- 8/4/2013 10:55:19 AM     Post Reply
Several skills that every kid once learned in school are going the way of the dodo in a hurry. Diagramming sentences is practically an extinct art, for example. Cursive handwriting and memorized multiplication tables look to be swiftly headed that way. Apparently, the next thing that kids will no longer need to learn is spelling and grammar. Sugata Mitra, a professor of educational technology at Newcastle University in northeast England, announced that traditional language rules are out of fashion, reports the Daily Mail. Kids don’t need to waste time on those things, see. State-of-the-art computers and mobile phones can make

Kass: Was police killing of
95-year-old necessary?

35 replie(s)
Chicago Tribune, by John Kass    Original Article
Posted By: US Veteran- 8/4/2013 1:51:20 PM     Post Reply
Common sense tells me that cops don´t need a Taser or a shotgun to subdue a 95-year-old man. When John Wrana was a young man, fit and strong and fighting in World War II with the U.S. Army Air Corps, did he ever think he´d end this way? Just a few weeks shy of his 96th birthday, in need of a walker to move about, cops coming through the door of his retirement home with a Taser and a shotgun.

Schumer: Move G-20 summit to
punish "schoolyard bully" Putin

35 replie(s)
CBS News, by Lindsey Boerma    Original Article
Posted By: JoniTx- 8/4/2013 3:49:27 PM     Post Reply
Not only should President Obama cancel a bilateral summit with "schoolyard bully" Russian President Vladimir Putin, Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said Sunday on "Face the Nation," but considering the country granted asylum to National Security Agency leaker Edward Snowden, U.S. allies should try to move next month´s G-20 gathering from St. Petersburg. "President Putin´s behaving like a schoolyard bully, and in my experience, I´ve learned, unless you stand up to that bully, they ask for more and more and more," Schumer said. "He´s always going out of his way, President Putin is, to seem to poke us in

What should be next to
Trayvon Martin´s hoodie
in the Smithsonian?

34 replie(s)
American Thinker, by Thomas Lifson    Original Article
Posted By: magnante- 8/4/2013 11:54:06 AM     Post Reply
I have a suggestion. How about an exhibit on Tawana Brawley? If the purpose of the new National Museum of African American History and Culture at the Smithsonian is to remember racial controversies, as the proposed Trayvon exhibit seems to confirm, then how about an honest look at the phenomenon of hate crime hoaxes? Particular attention should be paid to the role of the media in both the Trayvon and Tawana materials. Unquestionably, the media stirred up racial animus, and these incidents both contributed to raising racial tensions.

Rookie cops shoot 14-year-
old dead after teen opened
fire in South Bronx

33 replie(s)
New York Post, by Kirstan Conley    Original Article
Posted By: JoniTx- 8/4/2013 1:05:29 PM     Post Reply
Police shot and killed an armed teen in the South Bronx early today after the suspect opened fire and refused to drop his gun, police said. Two rookie cops heard shots fired near East 151st Street and Courtlandt Avenue around 3 a.m. and ran in the direction of fire, police said. The uniformed officers saw Shaaliver Douse, 14, of the South Bronx, chasing another person through the streets, according to cops. Douse, who was arrested in May on attempted murder charges for shooting a 15-year-old, fired at the man running on East 151st Street this morning, police said.

   

 



 
   

Thread Closed



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