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Nate Silver’s Flawed Model
National Review Online, by Josh Jordan

Original Article

Posted By:rightwingkevin, 10/22/2012 3:59:42 PM

In that same post, Silver touts that a “SurveyUSA poll showing Mr. Obama with a one-point lead in Florida is really the slightly better result for him.” That SurveyUSA poll indeed had Obama up by one point, but had a Democratic party-ID advantage of nine points. In 2008 Democrats had a three-point advantage, and in 2010 the parties were even.

Comments:
Josh Jordan nails Nate Silver!

Improperly posted & is page two. LCom Staff.

  

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Most Recent Articles posted by "rightwingkevin"

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Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)




Most Recent Articles posted by "rightwingkevin"



Nate Silver’s Flawed Model
National Review Online, by Josh Jordan    Original Article
Posted By: rightwingkevin- 10/22/2012 3:59:42 PM     Post Reply
In that same post, Silver touts that a “SurveyUSA poll showing Mr. Obama with a one-point lead in Florida is really the slightly better result for him.” That SurveyUSA poll indeed had Obama up by one point, but had a Democratic party-ID advantage of nine points. In 2008 Democrats had a three-point advantage, and in 2010 the parties were even.

   

 

  


 
IBD/TIPP Presidential Daily Tracking Poll
Investors Business Daily, by Staff    Original Article
Posted By: rightwingkevin- 10/21/2012 3:45:25 PM     Post Reply
Obama has opened up a 6-point lead over Romney in our latest poll, his largest lead yet. Some 8.1% of those polled said they were “not sure” whom they would vote for, also the largest percentage yet.

Obama’s Approval Rating Mirrors 2010
Weekly Standard, by JEFFREY H. ANDERSON    Original Article
Posted By: rightwingkevin- 9/27/2012 5:41:23 PM     Post Reply
For all of the wishful thinking in the mainstream press about President Obama’s positioning 40 days before this election, Obama’s approval rating looks remarkably similar to what it was on this date in 2010 — shortly before his party lost a historic 63 House seats and 6 Senate seats. On September 27, 2010 — exactly two years ago — Rasmussen Reports showed Obama’s net approval rating among likely voters to be minus-3 percentage points (with 48 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving).

Election 2012 Trial Heat:
Obama vs. Romney
Gallup.com, by Staff    Original Article
Posted By: rightwingkevin- 9/26/2012 3:23:05 PM     Post Reply
These are the results when registered voters are asked: "Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results.



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Posted By: Desert Fox- 4/16/2013 6:53:44 AM     Post Reply
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Posted By: LComStaff- 4/16/2013 7:02:04 AM     Post Reply
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46 replie(s)
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Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/15/2013 9:45:50 PM     Post Reply
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Posted By: Scottyboy- 4/15/2013 5:58:09 PM     Post Reply
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Posted By: mitzi- 4/14/2013 10:03:20 PM     Post Reply
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Posted By: Scottyboy- 4/15/2013 8:16:52 PM     Post Reply
The Saudi Arabian man who is reportedly in police custody following the Boston Marathon bombing was chased and tackled by bystanders shortly after the blast, according to CBS. Senior correspondent John Miller, a former assistant director of the FBI, reported this: There is an individual in custody … he is not free to go. There is an individual in custody … he is not free to go. He is a Saudi national who was near the scene of the blast. When the blast happened he began to run. Now, in context, a lot of people began to run.

   

 

  


 
   

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