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IBD/TIPP Presidential Daily Tracking Poll
Investors Business Daily, by Staff
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Original Article
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Posted By:rightwingkevin, 10/21/2012 3:45:25 PM
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| Obama has opened up a 6-point lead over Romney in our latest poll, his largest lead yet. Some 8.1% of those polled said they were “not sure” whom they would vote for, also the largest percentage yet.
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Comments:
This does not seem correct. Its a D+7 poll.
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
nigella, 10/21/2012 3:49:50 PM (No. 8950665)
It's not. It claims a large group of "republicans" are voting for obama, and White men are also turning to obama... I don't think so...
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Reply 2 - Posted by:
Nimby, 10/21/2012 3:50:18 PM (No. 8950666)
Who are you and who gives a rat's behind what you say!
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Reply 3 - Posted by:
mysterylover, 10/21/2012 3:51:34 PM (No. 8950668)
Gallup has Romney up 7 points with a margin of error of 2.
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Reply 4 - Posted by:
Malia2012, 10/21/2012 3:53:35 PM (No. 8950671)
Hmmm. Today, Sunday, Gallup has it 52% Romney, 45% obama.. The IBD/TIPP "poll", wherever their numbers came from is once again WRONG! Nice try, IBD. Not gonna work. Not this time.
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Reply 5 - Posted by:
Bubbasuncle, 10/21/2012 3:59:46 PM (No. 8950688)
In '08 out of 23 polls they were the 15th in accuracy. So, in other words this is a crap pool!
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Reply 6 - Posted by:
FenwayFrank, 10/21/2012 4:05:08 PM (No. 8950697)
IBD should stick to its knitting - business and editorials. Its foray into polling has been unsuceesful, and now serves only to weaken its brand.
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Reply 7 - Posted by:
Th-Gr-Sil-Majority, 10/21/2012 4:21:20 PM (No. 8950725)
...maybe they just wanted to wet the pants of Team Zero...otherwise, it's a bit of a joke...
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Reply 8 - Posted by:
NY Betsy Rose, 10/21/2012 4:43:23 PM (No. 8950766)
Breitbart has an article how hard IBD is trying to shade the numbers for Obama. Won't work but pretty shameless of them leaving them zero credibility.
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Reply 9 - Posted by:
earlybird, 10/21/2012 4:49:05 PM (No. 8950778)
Oversampling Democrats again/still:
Sample Size: 913 likely voters (identified from 1044 registered voters with party affiliation of 37% Dem, 30% GOP, 32% Ind.)
Here is a previous analysis (October 8) of IBD/TIPP's skewed polling:
The Investor's Business Daily (IBD)/TIPP poll released today showing Mitt Romney leading 47 percent to 45 percent over President Obama is skewed by about eight percent. The poll sample includes eight percent more Democrats than Republicans. Unskewed, the data reveals Romney leads 50 percent to Obama's 43 percent instead of the slimmer two percent lead for Romney.
This IBD/TIPP poll, unlike many others analyzed, over-samples Democratic voters to produce a result more favorable to Barack Obama. This survey's sample includes 31 percent registered Republicans and 39 percent registered Democrats and 30 percent independents among the 920 registered voters and 797 likely voters surveyed. The poll reports a 3.5 percent margin of error.
Read on:
http://www.examiner.com/article/mitt-romney-lead-reduced-skewed-ibd-tipp-poll
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Reply 10 - Posted by:
eoddad, 10/21/2012 4:49:45 PM (No. 8950780)
IBD has one of the best Editorial pages out there, this poll is out in space. Wonder what's going on.
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Reply 11 - Posted by:
snapper451, 10/21/2012 4:56:59 PM (No. 8950796)
They must be polling crack houses!
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Reply 12 - Posted by:
BigGeorgeTX, 10/21/2012 4:57:24 PM (No. 8950798)
Do people actually take investment advice from IBD? Boggles the mind.
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Reply 13 - Posted by:
SoCalGal, 10/21/2012 4:58:51 PM (No. 8950805)
More on skewed polls:
One of the most effective ways to skew the polls is to over-sample Democrats. Right now, according to what many believe is very accurate data, Rasmussen Reports informs us that voters in the U.S. identify about equally between Democrats, Republicans and Independent/unenrolled voters. If you analyze polling data but insist on sampling Democrats at 42 percent instead of 33 percent, your results will favor the Democrats by about nine percent.
http://www.examiner.com/article/many-polls-are-skewed-and-manipulated-to-favor-democrats
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Reply 14 - Posted by:
SoCalGal, 10/21/2012 5:01:18 PM (No. 8950810)
Re the quote in #13, it is important to note that the data quoted was current as of June 10, 2012.
We know (because we have been told) that many of the polls were using the demographic from the 2008 election, which would definitely not be accurate now. This is how they loaded their polling samples toward the Democrats.
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Reply 15 - Posted by:
Salt5792, 10/21/2012 6:21:27 PM (No. 8950937)
Oh---I'm so confused. /s
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Reply 16 - Posted by:
JHHolliday, 10/21/2012 6:36:41 PM (No. 8950958)
I am puzzled also #10. IBD's editorials are heavily conservative.
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Reply 17 - Posted by:
ocjim, 10/21/2012 8:45:21 PM (No. 8951161)
I guess it's possible for IBD's Editorial dept to be consistently righteous Righty's while their polling folks are Obama suck up's. Very strange.
Company picnic's at IBD must be interesting. Interesting, like Thanksgiving with my Leftoid relatives.
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Reply 18 - Posted by:
PageTurner, 10/21/2012 8:56:03 PM (No. 8951180)
IBD/TIPP polls can be very very accurate. Let's hope this one isn't. But in case it is, the message is clear: Take Nothing For Granted - walk on broken glass this Nov. 6 to get that Marxist out of our lives! Do not fail to vote!
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Reply 19 - Posted by:
PageTurner, 10/21/2012 9:00:49 PM (No. 8951189)
Last Oct. 7, the Venezuelans thought they had Chavez on the run with some big pollsters clocking in a victory for the opposition. They underestimated turnout - which was higher for Hugo. The thug won.
It could happen here, right when we think we have victory in the bag. We've got to get the vote out and not lay on our laurels. Our country is at stake!
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Reply 20 - Posted by:
horacer, 10/21/2012 9:09:26 PM (No. 8951213)
IBD/TIPP usually starts polling later in the election cycle than other firms. There are always kinks to work out not just in your party ID, but your phone calls, workers, etc. All types of things can skew a poll.
State polls are the ones to really watch. OH, VA, NC, FL, IA, NH, PA, WI, NV.
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Reply 21 - Posted by:
MickTurn, 10/21/2012 11:40:24 PM (No. 8951411)
Who are you morons talking to, All Dims?
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Reply 22 - Posted by:
Penney, 10/21/2012 11:46:05 PM (No. 8951418)
'There they go again.'
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