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Can Romney Expand the Map?
Real Clear Politics, by Dick Morris
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Original Article
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Posted By:garnet, 10/17/2012 2:08:56 PM
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| Originally, the Romney and Obama campaigns chose the swing states on which they should focus by comparing election results from previous years and figuring out which were most likely or least likely to vote for each candidate. The result was a consensus that North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada and Colorado were the most likely to swing one way or the other. As a result of this analysis, the two campaigns have dumped an unbelievable amount of money into advertising in these “battleground” states and have largely ignored the rest of the country.
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
devnull, 10/17/2012 2:10:51 PM (No. 8940461)
If you unskew the polls, Romney is going to need all 57 states if he wants to expand the map.
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Reply 2 - Posted by:
Robinsolana, 10/17/2012 3:14:06 PM (No. 8940616)
Interesting article from Dick Morris.
Given Romney's strong performance, especially in the first debate, more states are becoming worth resources as the campaign enters the last few weeks.
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Reply 3 - Posted by:
Hobbiest, 10/17/2012 4:44:06 PM (No. 8940808)
There are a few supposedly solid blue states that don't have a base of urban blacks, don't have well developed mass transit systems and aren't entirely colonized by barking moonbats. Gasoline prices have to simply be killing consumers in Maine, Minnesota and New Mexico.
New Mexico was highly competitive for Bush. Minnesota has a strong state wide third party that traces its origin directly to Ross Perot's 1992 presidential campaign, when Perot was the choice of 24% of the Minnesota voters. Maine's huge percentage of people on the government dole is problematical but it divvies up electoral votes by Congressional districts so even if a candidate loses the state he can pick up an electoral vote. Nor are any of these really expensive media markets. Indeed the two biggest TV markets in Minnesota include parts of western Wisconsin.
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Reply 4 - Posted by:
NorthernDog, 10/17/2012 5:00:40 PM (No. 8940838)
There could be some surprises. In 1980 it was assumed that the 'solid south' would automatically vote for Carter and that Reagan could only win by sweeping the Midwest. He ended up winning almost everything.
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Reply 5 - Posted by:
BigGeorgeTX, 10/17/2012 5:32:18 PM (No. 8940903)
They're still running a lot of commercials in TX, which shows that they're truly delusional.
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Reply 6 - Posted by:
NObama, 10/17/2012 7:05:52 PM (No. 8941033)
I noticed the same thing as #5. I've seen a lot of Obama commercials in TX, but not a single Romney commercial except when I watch them online. It's very odd.
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Below, you will find ...
Most Recent Articles posted by "garnet"
and
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
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Most Recent Articles posted by "garnet"
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GOP At Fault for Obamacare
Train Wreck?
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American Spectator, by David Catron
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 4/22/2013 6:47:32 AM
Post Reply
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There’s a scene in the 1993 film, The Fugitive, in which Harrison Ford outruns a derailed locomotive in order to avoid being killed. In the real world, of course, he would have been crushed like a bug. Thus, one is required to suspend one’s disbelief in order to enjoy it. But it was, after all, fiction. In this respect, it has much in common with the response of many progressive pundits to the following observation made by Senator Max Baucus last week about the implementation of Obamacare: “I just see a huge train wreck coming down.”
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Fault Lines Loom for
"Dominant" Dem Majority
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Real Clear Politics, by Sean Trende
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 4/19/2013 8:58:18 AM
Post Reply
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So what do a governor’s race in Rhode Island, President Obama’s proposed Social Security and Medicare cuts, a bankruptcy in Stockton, Calif., the fiscal cliff, and the funding mechanism for the Affordable Care Act have in common? This isn’t some quirky setup for a joke only a wonk could love. The common thread here is that they all involve cross-currents in the Democratic Party that pose existential threats to their coalition. For most of the past decade, elections analysts have been consumed with a debate over whether there’s some sort of dominant Democratic majority emerging, based demographically
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Shame Old Shame Old
From Obama
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American Spectator, by Jay D. Homnick
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 4/19/2013 6:10:55 AM
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President Obama is mad. Not raving mad, thankfully, just boiling mad. He used the awesome power of his office to make a public pronouncement berating Republicans, or 90% of them at any rate. Shame on them for not passing his common sense gun reforms. He called them and none could even offer a coherent argument. They let down the parents of Newtown. They would not try to save our kids. This despite his straightforward campaign in which he told the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth.
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The 1-percenter who doesn’t pay
his ‘fair share’ - President Obama
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Washington Times, by Dr. Milton R. Wolf
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 4/17/2013 7:51:21 PM
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Resolved: No American citizen shall be required to pay federal income taxes at a rate higher than the country’s millionaire president pays. Let’s call it the Alternative Maximum Fairness Tax: Calculate your current tax rate, compare it to the president’s and pay the lower of the two. The White House admitted in a Friday afternoon news dump, of course that President Obama paid only an 18.4 percent effective federal income tax rate on his adjusted gross income last year of $608,611. The highest income-tax rate last year was 35 percent (and has now increased to 39.6 percent,
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Deneen Borelli: America’s
New Rosa Parks
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American Spectator, by Jeffrey Lord
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 4/2/2013 6:56:18 AM
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If America were a bus, Deneen Borelli would be the new Rosa Parks. Borelli is the very model of a human being, an African American and a woman who is just plain tired up to here at all of the back of the bus treatment dished by liberals — black and white alike — to conservatives who happen to be black. Ms. Borelli has in a figurative sense, as Rosa Parks did in the original and literal sense, sat down in a seat reserved for liberals at the front of the American bus. She won’t get up, she isn’t moving
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Harvest of uncertainty
over Obamacare
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Orange County Register [CA], by Editorial
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 3/27/2013 8:05:35 AM
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The impending policies of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act will affect individual farmers and their employees. There are an estimated 600,000 crop workers and roughly 20,000 livestock workers in California at a given time. For every job in farming, the industry creates two to three nonfarming jobs. It´s an industry that should thrive in California, where the climate is kind.(Snip)"There´s nothing affordable about the Affordable Care Act," Tom Nassif said to us; he´s president and CEO of Western Growers, an advocacy group representing area and regional family farmers in Arizona and California.
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On the Smug Side of History
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American Spectator, by George Neumayr
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 3/27/2013 6:37:56 AM
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A country that stakes its future on lies will not have one. The fashionable lie of the moment is “gay marriage.” The push to deprive children of mothers and fathers for the sake of “genderless” marriage has never been stronger. The media propaganda about its “inevitability” is unremitting. One would think, judging by all the triumphant rhetoric heard this week, that over 30 states had approved it. In fact, over 30 states have banned it. According to the Washington Post, which just a few weeks ago was categorizing Christians as racists, the issue is all settled and done.
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Closed to the Public
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American Spectator, by Quin Hillyer
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 3/26/2013 8:04:27 AM
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It was bad enough for the Obama administration to earn an overall grade of C-minus on its level of transparency from the independent watchdog group Cause of Action. When coupled with evidence of what is being hidden, the information makes the administration look even worse. Cause of Action uses requests under the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), lawsuits, and other tools to expose what it calls “job-killing federal government regulations, waste, fraud, and cronyism.” As has been reported by Caroline May at the Daily Caller and others, the organization last week issued a report called “Grading the Government,”
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It´s the Rubio and Rand Party, now
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Politico, by Jim Vandehei and Mike Allen
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 3/21/2013 8:36:02 AM
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Want to know if Republicans finally back immigration reform, stand a chance of picking up Senate seats in the midterms, or get their act together by 2016? Instead of the GOP, watch the Rubio-Paul Party. Forget John Boehner. Ignore Karl Rove. The real action in the GOP is coming from the newest wing of the party, the one born in the spring of 2009 - the offspring of Tea Party activists that almost single-handedly propelled Republicans to control of the House. This new movement brought Marco Rubio and Rand Paul to Washington
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The Nation Will
Reexamine Obamacare
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American Spectator, by Betsy McCaughey
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 3/21/2013 8:24:53 AM
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The weasels who wrote the Obama health law postponed the pain until after the 2012 presidential election. Popular provisions were put into effect immediately, such as allowing children to stay on their parent’s plan until age 26, offering “free” colonoscopies and mammograms (in truth, forcing you to pay for them in your premium, whether you get them or not), and giving women the thrill of getting contraceptives at the drugstore without paying anything. The White House also granted 1,472 waivers to certain companies and unions exempting them from insurance reforms
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The Emptiness of a Politicized Life
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Washington Free Beacon, by Sonny Bunch
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 3/20/2013 11:02:05 AM
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This may sound odd coming from someone who has spent his life working in political reporting, but I find it extremely sad when people can’t separate politics from the rest of their lives. I’m not talking about people getting worked up about politicians; we live in divided times, so things are bound to get heated when talking about elected officials. I’m talking about people who say “I want nothing to do with [Person X] because he is a conservative/liberal/Republican/Democrat in his personal life.” This is why I find the Orson Scott Card thing so frustrating.
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Implementing Obamacare?
“Impossible endeavor"
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Washington Examiner, by Michael Barone
Original Article
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Posted By: garnet- 3/19/2013 5:40:10 PM
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Will the government be able to implement Obamacare smoothly? An “impossible endeavor,” writes a reader who describes himself as “83 years young, married to a beautiful lady for 65 years, with a 54-year career in technology starting with punch cards in the Navy, retired from three major corporations at the director level, last position was with EDS working on Y2K project.” He goes on to list some of the things he believes need to be done, which I quote with his permission. I don’t know enough about this to make a judgment myself, but I have noticed over the years
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Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
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Can a President Who
Has Promised to
´Stand with the Muslims´
Protect Americans?
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American Thinker, by Lauri B. Regan
Original Article
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Posted By: DW626- 4/23/2013 3:11:30 AM
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In Obama´s Audacity of Hope, he stated, "I will stand with the Muslims should the political winds shift in any ugly direction." He also asserted in Bob Woodward´s Obama´s Wars, "We can absorb [another] terrorist attack." These are two straightforward statements that raise the question of whether a man who has been seemingly obsessed with reaching out to "the Muslim world" since taking office is capable of fulfilling his duty as commander-in-chief to keep America safe and secure.
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As Bush library opening puts
his presidency back in the
spotlight, his approval rating is up
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Washington Post, by Dan Balz
Original Article
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Posted By: Dreadnought- 4/23/2013 12:29:52 AM
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George W. Bush will return to the spotlight this week for the dedication of his presidential library, an event likely to trigger fresh public debate about his eight fateful years in office. But he reemerges with a better public image than when he left Washington more than four years ago. Since then, Bush has absented himself from both policy disputes and political battles. A new Washington Post-ABC News poll suggests that the passage of time and Bush’s relative invisibility have been beneficial to a chief executive who left office surrounded by controversy.
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Marco Rubio’s New Tactic: Imply
Immigration Bill’s Opponents Want To
‘Round Up’ And Deport All Illegals
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Mediaite, by AJ Delgado
Original Article
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Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/22/2013 10:09:00 AM
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In debate classes or law school, it is often referred to as the ‘arguing against the non-existing opponent’ tactic. The way it works is you imply your opponent is making an outlandish, unsavory claim (though he isn’t), hoping others will run with it or, at worst, that your opponent won’t sufficiently correct it and the claim sticks. To illustrate, imagine Sally is arguing in favor of marijuana’s legalization against Tom. In the middle of the debate, Tom suddenly shrieks: “Well, Sally, you can talk about legalizing marijuana all you want but I just don’t believe
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Flight Delays as Political Strategy
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Wall Street Journal, by Editorial
Original Article
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Posted By: Desert Fox- 4/22/2013 7:59:14 PM
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President Obama´s sequester scare strategy has been a political flop, but his government keeps trying. The latest gambit is to force airline flight delays until enough travellers stuck on tarmacs browbeat enough Republicans to raise taxes again. This week the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) began furloughing each of its air-traffic controllers for one day out of every 10 to achieve roughly $600 million in savings this fiscal year. The White House dubiously claims that the furloughs are required by the sequester spending cuts enacted in 2011.
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Report: Suspects not
licensed to own guns
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The Hill [Washington DC], by Mike Lillis
Original Article
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Posted By: JoniTx- 4/22/2013 9:49:28 AM
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The two suspects in the Boston Marathon bombings were not licensed to have the firearms they used in several shootouts with police on Friday, Reuters reported Sunday night.The news that the suspects were not authorized to own firearms will likely add fuel to calls for tougher gun laws – an issue that was put on the back-burner last week after the Senate blocked the central elements of a gun-control package backed by President Obama. Because Massachusetts state law bars handgun ownership for those younger than 21, Tamerlan Tsarnaev, age 26, was the only brother who could have
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Kerry on Global Warming:
´The Science Is Screaming at
All of Us and Demands Action´
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Weekly Standard, by Daniel Halper
Original Article
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Posted By: StormCnter- 4/23/2013 5:30:15 AM
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In a statement marking Earth Day, Secretary of State John Kerry pledges to deal "responsibly with the clear and present danger of climate change." The former presidential candidate also notes the "fragile planet we share with the rest of humanity and which we must protect for future generations.""The United States joins countries around the world today in commemorating Earth Day. Ever since I was involved in the first Earth Day in Massachusetts, way back in 1970, this has always been a day to reflect on our environmental challenges and our responsibility to safeguard our God-given natural resources
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Muslim Congressman On Boston:
"Let´s Not Cast A Wide Net
And Just Go After A Whole
Religious Group"
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Real Clear Politics, by Ian Schwartz
Original Article
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Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/22/2013 6:08:53 PM
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REP. KEITH ELLISON (D-MINN.): Well, you know, it is too early for me to second-guess the FBI. I think we need to know more about what they knew. The fact of the matter is that it is good that they contacted him. That wasn´t enough to deter him, obviously. But the fact is that before I’m going to say the FBI should have done something different, what I, I’m not prepared to say that yet. There is just not enough information. What I will say is this: We don´t know what their motivation was yet.
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Franken: The Senate needs to
talk more about climate change
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The Hill [Washington, DC], by Ramsey Cox
Original Article
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Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/23/2013 10:26:58 AM
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Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) suggested on Earth Day that the Senate should spend more time talking about climate change issues. “I’m here to suggest we talk more about climate change so that we can agree on taking action to address it,” Franken said Monday. “The Senate cannot afford to ignore climate change, we need to talk about it.” Franken pointed out that 98 out of 100 scientist say climate change is real and needs to be dealt with. He said people outside Washington, D.C., understand this. “Many of my other colleagues I suspect don’t talk about
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The Pressure to Be the TV News
Leader Tarnishes a Big Brand
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New York Times, by David Carr
Original Article
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Posted By: earlybird- 4/22/2013 11:19:02 AM
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Like a lot of Americans, when I woke up on Friday morning and found out there was a manhunt in the Boston area for the remaining suspect in Monday’s bombing at the marathon, I turned on CNN. It’s a common impulse, although less common than it used to be. The news audience has been chopped up into ideological camps, and CNN’s middle way has been clobbered in the ratings. The legacy networks’ news divisions can still flex powerful muscles on big stories, and Twitter and other real-time social media sites (Snip) But the biggest damage to CNN has been self-inflicted
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I´ll Say
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National Review Online The Corner, by Jonah Goldberg
Original Article
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Posted By: Fiesta del sol- 4/23/2013 6:55:51 AM
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Apparently the latest craze in NYC is to let your babies’ freak flags fly by letting them go commando: When Jada Shapiro decided to raise her daughter from birth without diapers, for the most part, not everyone was amused. Ms. Shapiro scattered little bowls around the house to catch her daughter’s offerings, and her sister insisted that she use a big, dark marker to mark the bowls so that they could never find their way back to the kitchen. But “elimination communication,” as the diaper-free method of child-rearing is called,
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Ben Affleck to live on food
budget of $1.50 per day
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Star-Ledger [Trenton, NJ], by Janelle Griffith
Original Article
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Posted By: earlybird- 4/23/2013 7:53:21 PM
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Academy Award winner Ben Affleck is the latest Hollywood star to lend his celebrity to a social cause. Next week, the "Argo" and "Good Will Hunting" actor will join thousands of others when he lives off of $1.50 per day as part of the Live Below the Line campaign, from April 29 to May 3. Billed as a means to challenge the way people think about poverty, the campaign requires participants to feed themselves on no more than $1.50 a day for five days.
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John McCain Blasts GOP Senators
Citing Bombing To Delay Immigration
Reform: ‘That’s Ludicrous’
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Mediaite, by Meenal Vamburkar
Original Article
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Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/22/2013 12:18:28 PM
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Following the attack in Boston, some politicians, including Sens. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) and Dan Coats (R-IN), advised slowing down immigration reform legislation in order to allow further debate and not make rushed decisions based on emotions. In an interview with Bloomberg’s Trish Regan, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) criticized his colleagues, deeming the argument “ludicrous.” Grassley’s remarks on Friday immediately caught attention when he said, “Given the events of this week, it’s important for us to understand the gaps and loopholes in our immigration system.” “How can individuals evade authorities and plan such attacks on our soil?” he asked.
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