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New Cook PVIs Show Big Opportunities
for Conservatives in the House

RedState, by Daniel Horowitz

Original Article

Posted By:DaddyO, 10/11/2012 6:13:21 PM

For all you political junkies, this is the type of news that will brighten up your day. Charlie Cook has finally revised his partisan rating index for House districts to reflect the new congressional districts post-redistricting. The index factors in the average vote totals for the Republican and Democrat presidential nominees during the past two election cycles in each district and compares them against the national average. (snip) The Cook Report concludes: If both parties hold all their “strong” districts, Democrats would now need to win 73 percent of all “swing” districts to achieve a majority

Good luck with that, dems.

Unfortunately for Democrats, this year's index tells a dire story of what can happen when a party suffers an ugly election cycle right before redistricting. Democrats couldn’t have picked a worse year to than 2010 to get clobbered: they lost not only 63 House seats but also more than 680 state legislative seats – empowering Republicans to draw ten-year maps in four times as many districts as Democrats.

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