In a shocking one-month swing, Mitt Romney stormed into the lead over President Barack Obama in a new Pew Research poll conducted after Romney's consensus victory in the first presidential debate. The poll finds a 11-point swing among likely voters. In Pew's last poll, conducted in the middle of September, Obama led Romney 51-43 among likely voters. Now, Romney leads 49-46. The shift is due to Romney shoring up key areas of strength among likely voters and improving his overall image, much of which can be attributed to his strang debate performance. Sixty-six percent of voters thought
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FTA: "The poll sampled 36 percent Republicans, 31 percent Democrats and 30 percent Independents. It's notable because most polls over the past two years have found higher samples of Democrats, leading to recent charges of bias and so-called "unskewing" of results."
It's simple: We've got problems that require adult leadership. We've got a man in Mitt Romney who has accomplished things in life. Barry, on the other hand, has been praised and promoted all his life for voting "present". Besides, Americans aren't really all that into Marxist ideology.
Ride 'em cowboy He ha Stay on that bronco. Thank you Lord!! The bamster's going down ... low. BHO how about an on air breakdown? That would be worth the price of a ticket *exactly 4 bits each* Gov. praying for you, Sir
I've always been kinda suspicious of Pew as liberal organization, probably cuz Andy Kohut their survey expert is often on the PBS News Hour.
Now that they are reporting how well Mitt is doing in their poll, I checked them out in Wikipedia.
This quote from the late Joseph N. Pew, Jr. (founder of Sunoco and creator of the $5 billion trust) - calling Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal -"a gigantic scheme to raze U.S. businesses to a dead level and debase the citizenry into a mass of ballot-casting serf" is making me a new believer in Pew surveys.
Do not get overconfident here!!!!!!!-----Romney is still running, in general, an underwhelming campaign, passing by opportunity after opportunity to do quick response ads to some of the more egregious Obama comments and betting it all on the debates (which I hope will be fine but the PRESS WON'T THINK SO) and the hope that that that same Press will cover things like the military speech. BUT NEVER underestimate the vicious, nasty Chicago stuff that the Obama campaign will be putting out---we have just seen the tip of the iceberg...we will see the dead and illegals vote, foreigners contribute big bucks, the sweeping under the rug of anything iffy, like BenGazi and Fast & Furious and the WARN law......and the MSM will cover for the man. They may have been stunned by the lst debate, but they are still there, as partisan as ever.
#8 -- Don't be fooled by the fact that the Pew Foundation was originally created by a common-sense, successful, conservative-minded businessman. So were Ford, MacArthur and many other large, influential foundations. Sadly, many of their children and grand-children were 60's counterculture lefties who now sit on the boards and direct funds to leftist organizations. David Horowitz's book, The New Leviathan, details this nicely: http://www.amazon.com/The-New-Leviathan-Money-Machine-ebook/dp/B006OHIXK2
Now, regarding those polls...perhaps they seem to have swung so wildly because they were never correct in the first place. Romney has been much, much closer to Obama all along, but now, because they skewed them so far to their favor a month ago, they are having to eat crow because it appears that Romney has just completely overtaken him.
Although it's true that Obama's dim-witted debate performance was the evening's highlight, I believe that the on-going LIES have finally caught up with the president, his henchmen and the Old Media. .... This anti-America bunch has been outed as dishonest manipulators intent on the destruction of our United States Constitution and the freedoms which separate America from nations ruled by oppressive despots.
The exit polls showed that Hugo Chavez lost the election. Ooops.
Every media outlet and consultant is tied to "polls" -- whether good or bad....
Look -- the only poll that counts is November 6th....
Yesterday a poster said something I can identify with as a Chicago citizen. It doesn't matter "who" votes -- only WHO counts the votes. Here in Illinois obama has won already because speaker madigan and lisa madigan and rahm emanuel and our governor all counted the votes with the help of the SIEU thugs.... Yes it's been decided already who will win and the votes have been lined up to accommodate that result.
#3 may have a point. This is the first poll we have seen which has sampled more Republicans - may be deliberately over sampled. This does smell like a trap. After the second dabate the sampling will go back to 'normal' and Zippy will loudly be procalimed to be the come back kid. But Mitt on the other hand also will come more prepared and knowledgeable about his opponent's weaknesses. It could backfire on these guys.
Sounds like they are trying to turn 0bama into the underdog in this race, despite his being an incumbent president. Going for that sympathy vote, because probably 5% of the electorate are suckers for that kind of thing.
#1 for the first time you are seeing a poll based on the 2010 election model, basically all the polls prior are using over sampling of Dems and under sampling of Repubs. You will see more accurate polls in the weeks before the election because polling companies DO NOT want to miss the results big time as it will severely hurt their reputation and will lose business.
What would be so hard about Pew (or any of the others) using CONSISTENT oversampling in their polls? If they choose to oversample Demos by +4, fine---then just report the oversampling up front but then *keep* oversampling +4 Demos in all future polls. Apparently, they are more interested in manipulating poll numbers and thereby manipulating the news than they are in providing solid factual data for comparison purposes.
Reply 23 - Posted by:
Tina Marie M, 10/9/2012 9:00:25 AM (No. 8919844)
Prayers do get answered! Keep on storming Heaven with them!
I do not trust polls good or bad. There is always an agenda. Guaranteed, if the polls slant towards Romney, the MSM will be trumpeting the "come-back kid" meme for Obama when they go back to their over sampling of Democrats SOP.
n 1957, J Howard Pew, founder of Sunoco, created the J. Howard Pew Freedom Trust with his $1 billion estate trust with instructions that it use its funds to "acquaint the American people" with "the evils of bureaucracy," "the values of the free market," and "the paralyzing effects of government controls on lives and activities of people," to "inform our people of the struggle, persecution, hardship, sacrifice and death by which freedom of the individual was won" and to educate them about how "Socialism, Welfare statism [and] Fascism . . . are but devices by which government seizes the ownership or control of the tools of production." In accordance with those wishes, the Freedom Trust funded mostly libertarian and conservative activities, as long as its board consisted of Pew family members and friends.
Think that's still Pew today? Think someone got in there and twisted J Howard's clearly stated estate instructions to fortress the Left?
Dang right it happened. NEVER BELIEVE ANYTHING FROM PEW.
I am not in the least concerned about the election....it will be a landslide. I am concerned right now about the three weeks leading up to the election. These totalitarians are not going to just fade away. Something is up I feel. Every morning I get up going to Drudge to see if the 'it' has hit.
#21 has already said what I was going to. I have little on no faith in all of these "polls" simply because they have, for the most part, an agenda of their own. However, as the election gets closer and closer, they will attempt to poll in a more even handed way because they don't want to have their results so far out of reality on election day. That would cost them a lot of business. After all, selling their product is how they make money.
Just voted today in Akron,Ohio all Republican...felt great! A few observations: It was a mad house and took me 50 min. There were alot of AA (Africa Americans) voters.They were Bused in. Our turn out is critcial!
I had to fill out 2 sheets,on both it asked for your DL# or last 4 digits of SS#. Officials check it to see if they match, one AA bro was called out on it... that was reasuring. I will go to my polling place in Nov. to see if it is recorded that I voted early.
I suspect that the truth between this and the pollsters that are in the bag for Zero, is in between. Although, the lefty polls have been more over on their side. I think if we at least cosider Dems and Pubs to be an equal percentage, it's probably R-47 and O-45.
At this point I take all polls with skepticism. Romney must press ahead on offense, block and tackle, take advantage of what opportunities present themselves, and not pay too much attention to the scoreboard.
Sample ratios mean EVERYTHING in these polls and the truth is, no one really knows what the correct portions of Republicans, dems, and Independents are. Any poll that uses the 2008 ratios is worthless. We can almost guarantee that there are NOT as many dems as 2008 and probably a lot more Independents. I could argue that most interesting aspect of a poll is the trend established when using consistent rations over time. That's why Rasmussen is useful, not for their absolute numbers but the trend toward Romney. Whatever the voter mix actually is, Romney has gained a lot of strength.
My person view is that BO is too massively liberal and incompetent to have the kind of support claimed. His debate performance showed no intellectual power. He was programmed with his talking points and he stuck to them, even when Romney denied them. Of course the liberal take is that Romney lied instead of that BO was wrong. What has BO done that gives us any confidence in him for the future? He TOLD us he can't work with Republicans. That's why he has taken all these unilateral actions. So what will change in the future that will allow him to get things done? Will all the Republicans just vanish? He probably wishes they would.
I cannot believe that a majority of the electorate is dumb enough to accept BO's record of abject failure and gullible enough to think he will do any better in the next 4 years. I have more faith in the American people than that. If my faith is misplaced, the Country is doomed anyway.
Romney is clearly a FAR better choice, strongly successful in business, politics, and the in betweens of the Olympics. I believe most people can see that.
Make a few assumptions. Assume that the two parties are equally split. It doesn't matter how split, say 40% each with 20% as Independents. At 78%, that puts Romney up 56 - 44. If polls being run from MI, PA and OH show Romney in "striking distance" amonth before the election, and being reported as such, not as "Obama ahead", this shows internal data has Romney ahead in those states. All the numbers are shown as close to get the Dem voters out because it must be shown in their internal data that the base is de-energized and not likely to come out. I think a romp by Romney with lots of "But I don't know anyone who voted for Mitt" conversations afterwards. From my lips to God's ears.
I have to believe that the people who turned out in 2010 to give the democrats their shellacking have not disappeared. Someone said recently that 40 million people claim affiliation or sympathy with the Tea Party.
You just can’t please the apple-knockers, soreheads and doom-criers. Everyone who ever sat in a long line back in the 1970s, waiting for an hour or two to get a few gallons of gasoline, often entertained himself with a fantasy of big oil strikes to put the Saudi princes in their place, preferably on a planet in an obscure universe far, far away. Now, through the innovation of modern technology, we have that strike — not only oil, but something better, because it’s cheaper, cleaner and there’s lots of it. The Saudi princes are looking for a place to run.
Barack Obama is bored. You can see it in his demeanor and in his face, the way anticipation becomes melancholy. Most of all you can hear it in his voice when he steps up to make the speech that once sent audiences into frenzy. He’s mailing it in (with postage due). Being a messiah, a rock star, the Pied Piper of Hamelin, is of course hard work. Maybe we should cut the guy a break. You can’t be Mick Jagger or Kanye West every day.
It takes a fair bit of gall to accuse the media of lying about a sex scandal. It takes even more gall to then admit to the sex scandal, resign, claim you´ve redeemed yourself and decide to run again. And it takes the most gall to do all of those things, even as you´re engaged in a continuation of that sex scandal. But when your name is Anthony Weiner, gall is your middle name. Or perhaps Danger is. Weiner resigned from Congress in June 2011, but only after claiming that Andrew Breitbart had fabricated photos of his scantily clad body.
Atheism is in decline worldwide, with the number of atheists falling from 4.5% of the world’s population in 1970 to 2.0% in 2010 and projected to drop to 1.8% by 2020, according to a new report by the Center for the Study of Global Christianity at Gordon-Conwell Theological Seminary in South Hamilton, Mass. In its report, Christianity in its Global Context, 1970-2020: Society, Religion, and Mission, researchers analyzed data on church membership and activities from thousands of Christian denominations and other religions worldwide, presenting that data from 1970 and 2010 for a 40-year comparison and,
"The First Black President ... Spoke First as a Black American," ran the banner headline of Sunday´s Washington Post. But why, when the fires of anger over the Zimmerman verdict were dying down, did he go into that pressroom and stir them up? "A week of protests outside the White House, pressure building on him inside the White House, pushed him to that podium," said Tavis Smiley on "Meet the Press." Black leaders demanded Obama come out of hiding and stand in solidarity with the aggrieved and outraged. Belatedly and meekly, Obama complied. "Trayvon Martin could have been me 35 years ago," said Obama.
Dr. Cornel West on Monday said President Barack Obama “has very little moral authority” to speak about the Trayvon Martin case, because the president is “a global George Zimmerman” for trying to “rationalize the killing of innocent children” in Pakistan, Somalia, and Yemen. “I think we have to acknowledge that President Obama has very little moral authority at this point, because we know anybody who tries to rationalize the killing of innocent peoples, a criminal—George Zimmerman is a criminal—but President Obama is a global George Zimmerman,
Here´s the speech about the George Zimmerman verdict President Obama should have given. My fellow Americans: I am your humble servant. You have entrusted me with the tremendous honor and responsibility to serve you as president. I am not president of black America, Hispanic America or white America. I am not president of liberal America or conservative America. I am president of the United States of America. Regrettably, as a nation, we have become divided. I confess that I have contributed to this division. For this failure in leadership, I ask your forgiveness.
Police Capt. Louis Renault, played by Claude Rains in the 1942 movie "Casablanca," in the wake of the shooting of a Nazi officer, ordered his men to "round up the usual suspects." Was Renault engaging in some sort of profiling? He may have been, but what is profiling? Let´s look at it. We can think of profiling as a method to economize on information costs by using easily observed physical characteristics as a proxy or a guess for some other characteristic more difficult or costlier to observe. For example, say you seek to hire people to manually unload trucks
Someone knocked on the door at city hall in Detroit last week and there stood the repo man, coming to take possession of the city. Everyone who has ever bought a car knows you have to keep up the payments. Miss three or four and the car, with all its bells and whistles, is gone. Detroit has built a lot of cars and so should have known better, but it had ignored the frantic calls. There’s not a lot to repossess in Detroit, a city that nobody wants. Detroit isn’t the first city in America to suffer the stigma
In his essay "Trouble in Paradise," in the July 18, 2013 issue of the London Review of Books, Slavoj Žižek explains that recent protests around the world are actually all about resistance to a common villain. This villain is not Lord Voldemort. Or even Obamacare. It is "global capitalism." Žižek takes a few moments to acknowledge that, well, yes, um, protests in Brazil, Turkey, Greece, Europe and the Middle East (not to mention the 1979 Iranian Revolution, which he holds to be a precursor) have each had their distinguishing characteristics.
A new survey finds that 42 percent of Americans say capitalism isn´t working well, and they complain about the encouragement of greed, the lack of equal opportunity and the creation of poverty and lasting inequality. The survey illustrates the country´s deep polarization. In a positive finding for Democrats who favor a strong government role in society, most Americans say government should do more to reduce inequality. But Republicans who want to limit government will find encouragement in that most Americans don´t have confidence in government´s ability to function effectively. Fifty-four percent of Americans think capitalism is working well, the survey says,
Zaatari, Jordan — Angry Syrian refugees confronted U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry on Thursday with demands for the United States and the international community to do more to help opponents of President Bashar Assad´s regime, venting frustration at perceived inaction on their behalf. Visiting the sprawling Zaatari refugee camp in northern Jordan near the Syrian border, Kerry met six representatives of its 115,000-strong population, all of whom appealed to him for the U.S. and its allies to create no-fly zones and set up safe zones inside Syria to prevent the Assad regime from inflicting additional destruction.
Conservative bloggers went wild Monday when they got wind of the Congressional Black Caucus’ suggestion that President Obama pick Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee of Houston for the post of Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security. Rich Cooper, avid blogger for Security Debrief, responded to the news of the Jackson Lee recommendation in a post by saying, “Apparently, it is not a joke. For reasons that baffle any sense of reality, it is a serious gesture on the part of the Congressional Black Caucus (CBC) to encourage President Obama to nominate Rep. Jackson Lee
There have been days since her son Ezekiel was born 11 months ago that Los Angeles mom Beth Capper has gone without food to keep up her supply. One friend was arrested for stealing some. It´s not drugs or alcohol or even baby formula that has put her in such a bind. It´s diapers. "There´s no way around buying them," said Capper, a 41-year-old single mother who doesn´t work because of a disability. Across the country, mothers like Capper are facing the same predicament. According to a report published Monday in the
It is a small Alaskan village whose inhabitants have relied on the sea for countless generations. But within a decade, it is expected that the ocean which the village of Kivalina has so relied on will completely destroy it--creating America´s first climate change refugees. Temperatures in the Arctic region of Alaska are warming twice as fast as the rest of the U.S, causing ice to retreat, sea levels to rise and coastal erosion to increase. It is a small Alaskan village whose inhabitants have relied on the sea for countless generations. The 400 indigenous Inuit inhabitants of Kivalina, who live
America is in great shape energy-wise. We have more gas and oil reserves than ever before. Indeed, the United States could shortly become the world’s largest exporter of coal. Our cheaper power rates may bring energy-intensive industry back from Europe and Asia. If America’s small colleges are nearly broke and our public schools failing, nonetheless our blue-chip universities’ math, science, and engineering departments, and professional schools, remain the best in the world. (Snip)In our age, Nobel laureate, exempt Al Gore proved a fraud: the feminist who was accused of groping a woman in crazed sex-poodle fashion;
Anthony Weiner may have violated federal law when he failed to disclose his lavish six-figure wedding in his financial disclosure forms, says a government accountability group. Ethics watchdog group National Legal and Policy Center examined the federal Financial Disclosure Reports for both Weiner and long-suffering wife Huma Abedin for 2010, the year of their wedding. The cost for the ceremony was at least $100,000 but probably ran closer to $250,000 including all
In an interview on National Public Radio (NPR), House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi said her new agenda for women will give mothers access to day care so they can “earn without carrying the burden of child care.” During the interview, aired on Weekend Edition Sunday, Pelosi spoke about her newly announced agenda, which is on her website, and is titled, “When Women Succeed, America Succeeds: An Economic Agenda for Women and Families,” a plan that includes universal pre-school and access to day care for working women, and an increase in the minimum wage.
Many low-income families receive government assistance to help them purchase food and housing. Diapers are another story, a new study suggests. In what they are calling the first peer-reviewed study to quantify diaper need, Yale University researchers have found nearly a third of mothers cannot afford to purchase their infants diapers, raising health risks for not only babies but for moms who become stressed over the finances. "Notably absent from the antipoverty efforts targeting families is an essential staple for the health of children, diapers," wrote the researchers, led by Dr. Megan Smith,
Mideast: The sequester has "cost jobs," says President Obama, and "gutted investments in education and science and medical research." But somehow he´s earmarked $500 million for Hamas terrorists. Circumventing Congress and with no fanfare, President Obama last week issued an executive order enabling him to send an additional $500 million directly to the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank — much of which you can bet will wind up going to the Iranian-backed Hamas terrorist organization. According to Obama, "it is important to the national security interests of the United States to waive the provisions of" Congress´ legislative restrictions "in
The mother of Trayvon Martin said Monday that she believed Florida’s Stand Your Ground law played a role in her son’s shooting death, but she wasn’t ready to support a boycott of the state for not changing the self-defense law. “The thing about this law is I just think it assisted the person who killed my son to get away with murder,” Sybrina Fulton, the mother of the 17-year-old from Miami Gardens, said at a National Bar Association event in Miami Beach. “I think we have to change these laws so people don’t get
A group of experts advising the nation’s premier cancer research institution has recommended sweeping changes in the approach to cancer detection and treatment, including changes in the very definition of cancer and eliminating the word entirely from some common diagnoses. (Snip) The group, which includes some of the top scientists in cancer research, also suggested that many lesions detected during breast, prostate, thyroid, lung and other cancer screenings should not be called cancer at all but should instead be reclassified as IDLE conditions, which stands for “indolent lesions of
Karl Rove and more than one hundred Republican donors sent a letter to Republican members of Congress on Tuesday, urging them to pass a comprehensive immigration reform bill that would include, among other provisions, granting "legal status" to illegal aliens who meet certain criteria. Anticipating that lawmakers will face resistance to the bill when they go home for the August recess, the letter marks the escalation of a campaign in which Republican leaders and donors are pressuring House Republicans to act on an immigration reform bill.