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Politico-GWU poll: Race
still a virtual dead heat

Hot Air, by Ed Morrissey

Original Article

Posted By:Photoonist, 9/25/2012 12:56:56 AM

Politico headlines their analysis of their latest Battleground Poll with GWU by claiming that “President Obama pulls ahead of Mitt Romney,” but only within the margin of error. At 50/47 among likely voters, it’s mildly good news for Obama, especially by reaching the 50% mark that had eluded him in previous iterations of the poll. However, in a sample of just over 800 likely voters in a national poll, the survey confirms that the race is more or less static heading into the debates: (Snip) Despite a poll that came out last week, this survey shows Romney winning the Catholic

Comments:
Nobody knows because the polling models are all using different guesses at turnout.

  

Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: ZurichMike, 9/25/2012 1:01:36 AM     (No. 8887849)

What is so utterly sad is that half of the nation thinks that Barack Hussein Obama, the profligate spender, appeaser of islamofascism, destroyer of the Constitution and our way of life, still think he is doing a good job and worthy of a second term.

Depressingly, utterly sad.


Reply 2 - Posted by: Deedo, 9/25/2012 2:55:56 AM     (No. 8887926)

No, #1, he's "well liked", haven't you heard?

The polls are typically over-sampling Democrats by 5% to 11%, even when the country has more conservatives than liberals (by 2 to 1). We need to hire some jihadists to chant, "Death to the US media!".


   

 

  


 
Reply 3 - Posted by: Spidey, 9/25/2012 3:02:32 AM     (No. 8887931)

You had Obama back in the 90's advocating for a majority welfare state but that doesn't seem to bother anybody,in fact a lot of people consider that an accomplishment.

Saw something about how the suicide rate has shot up under Obama,probably because job prospects are so bad.We've heard of suicide by cops,suicide by crocodiles,now 4 more years of Obama will be suicide by president.


Reply 4 - Posted by: Not your typical New Yorker, 9/25/2012 6:24:08 AM     (No. 8888044)

If Politico says the race is a dead heat, it means that Romney is winning.


Reply 5 - Posted by: mickturn, 9/25/2012 9:42:33 AM     (No. 8888423)

Well if we remove the 10-15% bias toward DIM respondents, O is behind by 12 points.

I just love these sandbagged polls, if O is ahead then his voters, since almost all of them are slackers, will not bother to vote because it's in the bag. I will love it when O loses in a landslide!


Reply 6 - Posted by: lil dotty, 9/25/2012 10:11:56 AM     (No. 8888498)

Politico actually used the word 'DEAD'? Oh my
Outrageous Using DEAD & obama together in the same sentence. Subversive heh?



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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:53:58 PM     Post Reply
We at Townhall have been covering this hotly contested Senate race for months and the results are finally in: With 36 percent of precincts reporting, Elizabeth Warren has been declared the next junior Senator from Massachusetts. Warren has never held public office before and the eye-popping $40 million she raised this election cycle evidently proved more than enough to unseat incumbent Senator Scott Brown. This was the most expensive Senate race of 2012 -- by a long shot.

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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:36:34 PM     Post Reply
Former Gov. Angus King, running as an independent, won the Senate contest Tuesday in Maine, NBC News projected, taking a seat that had been held by the Republicans. The loss further complicated the party's drive to take control of the Senate (Snip) Republican Ted Cruz defeated Democrat Paul Sadler to hold the open seat in Texas, succeeding retiring Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison, NBC News projected. See results Democrats held small edges in two of the other states critical to the balance of power in the Senate: In Massachusetts, where Elizabeth Warren, a law professor at Harvard University, was leading Republican

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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:23:34 PM     Post Reply
CNN’s Peter Hamby reported that Mitt Romney‘s internal polling showed President Obama leading in Ohio by five percentage points.Per Hamby’s post: The number represented a sharp final bump for Obama in Ohio, a race that had essentially been a tied race through much of the previous week, according to the campaign’s daily tracking. The polling, which also showed a tight race in Pennsylvania, explains why Romney officials decided to send their candidate on last-minute Election Day visits to Cleveland and Pittsburgh.

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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:11:57 PM     Post Reply
The Obama and Romney campaigns may be gearing up for a very late night, with one Obama campaign adviser predicting that in Florida alone, "they'll be counting until 2 a.m." The Obama adviser said signs suggest the race is quite tight, though the campaign claimed to be "holding strong" in key battlegrounds like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The adviser also said turnout among black voters in Virginia was better than expected, suggesting that could be a problem for Mitt Romney. Republican operatives in Virginia, though, predicted a razor-thin victory for their candidate in the state.

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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:02:23 PM     Post Reply
Washington - Early returns on Tuesday in what is anticipated to be a dead even presidential election contained no surprises, as CNN projected President Barack Obama will win his home state of Illinois and eight other races while Republican challenger Mitt Romney will win nine states. All races called so far went as expected after the roller-coaster ride of an election campaign that was buffeted by a superstorm and missteps on both sides. Obama and Romney ran dead even in final polls that hinted at a result rivaling some of the closest presidential elections in history, reflecting the deep political

   

 



 
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Politico, by Emily Schultheis    Original Article
Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 8:48:28 PM     Post Reply
A week after Hurricane Sandy slammed into the East Coast, a majority of voters said President Barack Obama’s response to the crisis wasn’t a factor in their vote, according to early exit polls. Fifty-five percent of those surveyed, per CBS News’ early exit polling released by radio station WKZO in Kalamazoo, Mich., said Obama’s handling of the storm was a minor factor in their vote or wasn’t a factor at all. Twenty-six percent named Sandy as an “important” factor, and 15 percent said it was the “most important” factor in their decision.

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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 8:47:41 PM     Post Reply
Mitt Romney is leading among independents in both Ohio and Virginia, early exit polls show. In Ohio, the former Massachusetts governor takes 56 percent of self-identified independents, compared with 40 percent for President Barack Obama. That’s a huge decrease for Obama from 2008, when the exit polls found him winning independents in Ohio by 12 points, 52 percent to 44 percent for John McCain. The numbers are similar but slightly tighter in Virginia: Romney takes 53 percent of independents there, according to ABC News exit polls, a 12-point lead over Obama. In 2008, Obama won independents in the state by

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Fox News, by Staff    Original Article
Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 8:24:14 PM     Post Reply
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Romney wins South Carolina
Market Watch, by Robert Schroeder    Original Article
Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 7:53:12 PM     Post Reply
Mitt Romney was projected the winner in South Carolina on Tuesday night, taking home the state’s nine electoral votes. So far Tuesday the former Massachusetts governor has taken other reliably red states including Kentucky and West Virginia. Romney leads in the Electoral College with 24 electoral votes to President Obama’s three.

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CBS News, by Brian Montopoli    Original Article
Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 7:45:37 PM     Post Reply
As expected, the presidential race is tight in Ohio, where the polls just closed: President Obama is winning women 55 percent to 44 percent in the early CBS News exit poll, while Mitt Romney is leading 52 percent to 46 percent among men. Women made up 51 percent of the electorate, compared to 49 percent among women. Thirty-nine percent of voters so far identified themselves as Democrats, compared to 30 percent calling themselves Republican. Thirty-one percent identified as independent or something else, and Romney has a big edge among this group - 56 percent to 40 percent for Mr. Obama.

   

 

  


 
Romney Projected To
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MetroNews [W. Virginia], by Staff    Original Article
Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 7:35:52 PM     Post Reply
As expected, Republican candidate for President, Mitt Romney, won West Virginia’s five electoral votes in Tuesday’s General Election over President Barack Obama. National media outlets called the race in West Virginia shortly after polls closed at 7:30 p.m. President Obama’s fate in West Virginia has never been in question, as he garnered just 60 percent of the democratic vote in the May primary. The other 40 percent of that vote went to Texas federal inmate Keith Judd, who was placed on the ballot in West Virginia. President Obama has been hugely unpopular in the Mountain State since he first ran

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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 7:18:08 PM     Post Reply
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