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Pollsters botch key races as turnout
models over-count Democrats

Washington Times, by Rowan Scarborough

Original Article

Posted By:earlybird, 11/8/2018 3:57:40 PM

Pollsters on Tuesday avoided their disastrous 2016 election forecasts by correctly predicting that Democrats would regain control of the House, though botching some important statewide races. (Snip) There were glaring survey errors in 2018 as turnout models over-counted Democrats. By Tuesday night, Republicans had won important Senate and governor races. The misses in the days before voting, based on polls posted on Real Clear Politics: Florida governor. The last 10 polls had pegged Democratic Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum the winner. But former Rep. Ron DeSantis won by 0.7 percentage points.


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: kdog, 11/8/2018 4:26:14 PM     (No. 11824953)

Over sampling Democrats is too consistent to be considered an error anymore. It´s manipulation of public opinion.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: doc1, 11/8/2018 4:51:55 PM     (No. 11824995)

They do it every time. I´ve gotten so that if it is a tie in the polls I just give it to the Republican.

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Reply 3 - Posted by: citizen, 11/8/2018 5:08:43 PM     (No. 11825024)

Hard to get a count on illegal voters.

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Reply 4 - Posted by: lakerman1, 11/8/2018 5:37:45 PM     (No. 11825060)

Quinnipiac College is good at ice hockey. Not good at polling.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: Udanja99, 11/8/2018 6:37:30 PM     (No. 11825135)

This is news?

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Reply 6 - Posted by: dvc, 11/8/2018 8:05:03 PM     (No. 11825252)

´Botch´ implies an accident, this was and is intentional.

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