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Topic: Fertility, Faith, and the Decline
of Islam: Strategic Implications |
Fertility, Faith, and the Decline
of Islam: Strategic Implications
PJ Media, by David P. Goldman
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Original Article
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Posted By:Judy W., 2/12/2013 12:19:45 PM
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| The liberal establishment has finally taken note of the elephant in the Muslim parlor, namely the closing of the Muslim womb. A year after the American Enterprise Institute’s Nicholas Eberstadt reported the precipitous fall in Muslim fertility in a widely commented paper, and seven years after I reported the trend and its strategic implications at Asia Times, Washington Post columnist David Ignatius reports wide-eyed on Eberstadt’s findings: The Arab world may be experiencing a youth bulge now, fueling popular uprisings in Tunisia, Egypt and elsewhere.
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Comments:
David P. Goldman, aka Spengler, is one of the most brilliant commentators around. I read his book, How Civilizations Die (and why Islam is dying too) and I read everything he writes at PJ media. He is so far ahead of the curve that you can tell what the Washington Post will be writing about years ahead of time.
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
absalom, 2/12/2013 1:08:10 PM (No. 9172280)
Comments from Judy are on the mark. Spengler is an original thinker and a traditional conservative. Small wonder he is dismissive of ´the republicans´. In addition to demographics, the Muslin world faces very severe economic stress. The rapidly advancing development of hydraulic fracturing of shale, searching for gas and oil, means that much sooner than later, nations such as the USA, Canada etc. will not only become self sufficient in energy but they will become net exporters. The implications of this for the Muslim World, Mexico, Nigeria, Venezuela etc. are ominous. We are entering very interesting times.
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Reply 2 - Posted by:
MattMusson, 2/12/2013 1:16:13 PM (No. 9172307)
The largest fertility drop ever recorded has been among Moslem women in Tehran. In 20 years they went from 8 live births to 1.5.
Only Kurds, Orthodox Jews and Fundamentalist Christians continue to produce above replacement levels.
Good News - Liberals are not reproducing.
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Reply 3 - Posted by:
Razorgirl, 2/12/2013 1:31:12 PM (No. 9172352)
Are Muslim woman having back-ally abortions or do the Muslim men find each other more attractive?
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Reply 4 - Posted by:
Rumblehog, 2/12/2013 1:34:36 PM (No. 9172361)
FTA: Like other religions rooted in traditional society, for example the nationalist-Catholic faith that Europeans abandoned after the two world wars, Islam cannot abide the onset of modernity. Some forms of religion can flourish in modernity; Islam is not one of them.
Well written and attributed article. Certainly puts a new light on the decline of populations. The Soviet Union was atheist, but also suffered low birth rates, and Russia still does.
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Reply 5 - Posted by:
Salt5792, 2/12/2013 1:41:35 PM (No. 9172383)
Reduction in fertility is a function of prosperity, unconnected with religion, race, or geography. Birth rate is inversely proportional to wealth.
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Reply 6 - Posted by:
Nodak, 2/12/2013 1:43:52 PM (No. 9172393)
The last paragraph is chilling.
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Reply 7 - Posted by:
bhkat, 2/12/2013 2:07:05 PM (No. 9172448)
He´s wrong that: " Both the liberal establishment as well as the Republican mainstream embraced the Arab Spring, but now recoil in horror from the consequences."
I think the liberal establishment actually wants an Islamic Caliphate ruling the Mid-East.
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Reply 8 - Posted by:
crimea river, 2/12/2013 2:10:52 PM (No. 9172455)
#5 suggesting that Kurds, Orthodox Jews and Evangelical Christians are not prosperous just does not compute.
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Reply 9 - Posted by:
Rafter, 2/12/2013 2:36:41 PM (No. 9172513)
He suggests Iran will pull the nuclear weapon trigger because its leaders are
aware their birthrate has declined.
Justification for a pre-emptive strike by Israel and western powers?
There are reasons to strike various evil powers but not over the birthrates or any
claimed or perceived related urgency.
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