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Topic: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst)
in the 2012 Presidential Race |
Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst)
in the 2012 Presidential Race
New York Times, by Nate Silver
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Original Article
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Posted By:congaree53, 11/11/2012 9:15:12 AM
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| As Americans’ modes of communication change, the techniques that produce the most accurate polls seems to be changing as well. In last Tuesday’s presidential election, a number of polling firms that conduct their surveys online had strong results. Some telephone polls also performed well. But others, especially those that called only landlines or took other methodological shortcuts, performed poorly and showed a more Republican-leaning electorate than the one that actually turned out.
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Comments:
Both Rasmussen and Gallup had a "Dewey Beats Truman, moment.
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
wendybird, 11/11/2012 9:28:08 AM (No. 9006823)
Which polls predicted the 140% of the population turnout in Florida? That would be more interesting.
http://www.slcelections.com/Pdf%20Docs/2012%20General/GEMS%20SOVC%20REPORT.pdf
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Reply 2 - Posted by:
lakerman1, 11/11/2012 9:40:40 AM (No. 9006853)
Voter fraud was subtle, but existed, in 2012. And the negro church vans run to the polls had a significant impact on a close election.
The symbol for the president zero second term is that toothless black woman from cleveland, on that video that went viral.
The founders would have wept.
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Reply 3 - Posted by:
PageTurner, 11/11/2012 10:49:50 AM (No. 9007013)
Remember this thread? Remember how Mike Flynn wrote that IBD was in bed with Obama with its undoutedly biased leftwingpolls? And how readers fretted that IBD was damaging its brand name with these dreadful polls too?
http://lucianne.com/thread/?artnum=708171
Wonder what Mike Flynn thinks now.
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Reply 4 - Posted by:
chance_232, 11/11/2012 1:26:12 PM (No. 9007330)
I dont doubt that the early polls were cooked. Remember, polls are used to influence public opinion and generate news.
Which leads to the following observation: We here have been living in a bubble. Look at the news sources that are most often posted here. The majority come from places like Briebart and or are opinion pieces from conservative commentators. News or opinions from other sources are put up where they are mocked. Dont forget....ABCCBSNBCMSNBCPBSNPRCNN are influencing for more people than FOX and Briebart. While I believe the MSM is biased, majorly, for the socialists, we need to understand their opinions to better address the idiocy.
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