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  Topic: Karl Rove's final Romney-Obama prediction:
A 285-253 Electoral College squeaker
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Karl Rove's final Romney-Obama prediction:
A 285-253 Electoral College squeaker

Investor's Business Daily, by Andrew Malcolm

Original Article

Posted By:SurferLad, 11/6/2012 9:11:55 AM

Karl Rove's final Electoral Map analysis: "There were about ninety-six polls in thirty-one states over the last week, but only Wisconsin changed status on the final Electoral College map, shifting from “toss up” to 'lean' Obama. Barack Obama has 184 total 'safe' Electoral College votes with four states (47 EC votes) 'leaning' in his favor, and Mitt Romney has 180 'safe' EC votes with two states (26 EC votes) 'leaning' his way.”

      


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: texaspast, 11/6/2012 9:17:40 AM     (No. 8991781)

It all hinges on Ohio or Pennsylvania. Romney gets either of those and he wins.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: fleetusa, 11/6/2012 9:19:05 AM     (No. 8991785)

I'm stressed out!

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Reply 3 - Posted by: jeffreyabigail, 11/6/2012 9:25:33 AM     (No. 8991811)

Rove predicts Romney will will CO (9 votes) and IA (6 votes). So if Romney loses these two states, he still has 270.

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Reply 4 - Posted by: lakerman1, 11/6/2012 9:35:52 AM     (No. 8991832)

I still believe in Michael Baron's prediction, 315 romney.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: steph_gray, 11/6/2012 9:36:06 AM     (No. 8991834)

I'll take either of those scenarios.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: Bubbasuncle, 11/6/2012 9:42:49 AM     (No. 8991853)

George Will predicted 321 for Romney. As Rush explained yesterday, love him or hate him no one knows elections like Will and that every cycle, he dissects every detail. I think I'll take him over Tokyo Rove thank you.

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Reply 7 - Posted by: StormCnter, 11/6/2012 9:46:50 AM     (No. 8991868)

Rove and Barone are the ones. Will, not so much and Morris isn't reliable. But Michael Barone, in particular, has a vaunted political analyst reputation to protect. He wouldn't risk it lightly.

It's time to give up the juvenile name-calling of Karl Rove. It turned out he was right about your favorite.

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Reply 8 - Posted by: attymitch, 11/6/2012 9:48:55 AM     (No. 8991876)

If nothing else, Rove knows how to count votes and read polls as well as anyone else. I'll take the squeaker.

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Reply 9 - Posted by: TheMotherCO, 11/6/2012 9:55:53 AM     (No. 8991902)

Totally agree, #7. Too many 'cute' remarks really are tiresome and I trust Rove - he is like a computer and usually correct. Going to be a long, worried and hopeful day.

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Reply 10 - Posted by: plumnellie, 11/6/2012 10:01:19 AM     (No. 8991922)

I voted. Not it is up to God. Praying that He stops corruption in its tracks at the polls. I was wrong about Romney the candidate. Hope he will be as good as our new President. Actually, liked Romney in '08. Then was turned off by his supporters being negative towards other candidates. Glad Romney is better than his supporters in treating even someone as damaging as Obama in an honorable way. I will stop with the snarks to Rove if others stop with the snark to Palin.

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Reply 11 - Posted by: ManitouMan, 11/6/2012 10:09:55 AM     (No. 8991960)

Rove knows polls.
Rove knows statistics.
Rove though, has no concept for voter enthusiasm. On that he is a biological atomaton. And sees voters the same way.
Rove got Bush elected twice in much different times. He also created the conditions that allowed Bush to be hated. Rove didn't take into account how much conservatives would like Bush to defend himself - and conservative ideals.
I'm not convinced Rove has the capacity to recognize the thoughts, hopes, dreams, and desires of the individual, even when expressed by the individual.
An actuary has more empathy.

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Reply 12 - Posted by: Gallo3, 11/6/2012 10:11:04 AM     (No. 8991965)

Trouble I have with Rove 'The Architect' is that he is the architect of Bush's policy of lack of counterpunching, which abetted and enabled the media narrative that led us both to Dingy Harry and Nasty Nancy taking over the Congress in 2006, and then the election of Blessed Hussein in 2008.

Some 'Architecture'.

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Reply 13 - Posted by: ScarletPimpernel, 11/6/2012 10:11:28 AM     (No. 8991966)

Don't forget Virginia. Loudoun and Prince William Counties are close, I've been told. Loudoun County gave 0bama Virginia in 2008.

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Reply 14 - Posted by: Bubbasuncle, 11/6/2012 10:12:06 AM     (No. 8991971)

Advance notice to staff, ban me if you wish, but I feel I must respond to #7. The "juvenile name-calling of Karl Rove" only refers to one event, he allowed (by his own admission) the media to push the false "Mission Accomplished" meme and forever tarnish GW with an unfair and untrue interpretation of a banner hung not by the administration but the Captain of the ship. Not quite sure about " It turned out he was right about your favorite" comment, nor do I care. Furthermore, maybe you should review the Posting Replies/Comments section under Rules & FAQs.

Don't address the staff on threads. Placing this constitutes "chatting." You do what you do. We will run this site. Also, quit using TheRightScoop links without permission. LCom Staff.

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Reply 15 - Posted by: MissMolly, 11/6/2012 10:21:25 AM     (No. 8992019)

I'm a Rove fan and I'm confident he knows his stuff on this vote.

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Reply 16 - Posted by: LanieLou, 11/6/2012 10:24:33 AM     (No. 8992032)

MSM already reporting exit interviews are 100% Obama! LOL! Like they's be up before noon.

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Reply 17 - Posted by: Emmajustin, 11/6/2012 10:36:06 AM     (No. 8992078)

I too am stressed out.
I voted and am now fervently praying.
Please God forgive us for our sins and help us save America.
Go Romney.


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Reply 18 - Posted by: Freeloader, 11/6/2012 10:52:05 AM     (No. 8992126)

Agree with #4...Michael Barone, who has been the editor of "The Almanac of American Politics" for the last forty-years, is the gold standard...I'm sticking with his call of Romney 315- Obama 223.

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Reply 19 - Posted by: Udanja99, 11/6/2012 11:35:03 AM     (No. 8992280)

Not to fear, #13, Loudoun has been awash in Romney yard signs for months. 0bama, not so much. In fact pathetically few.

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Reply 20 - Posted by: gchaz, 11/6/2012 12:32:59 PM     (No. 8992441)

Carl Rove would not risk his future on predicting a Romney victory unless he was absolutely sure of it. He must be very confident of his analysis. I am.

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