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  Topic: Prediction: Obama wins narrow
Electoral College victory
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Prediction: Obama wins narrow
Electoral College victory

Washington Examiner, by Philip Klein

Original Article

Posted By:garnet, 11/5/2012 6:10:41 PM

In the final weeks of the presidential campaign, there have been two major schools of thought about who is going to win. One school points to President Obama getting reelected for a very simple reason: polls show Mitt Romney losing Ohio and all of the states that he would need to win to make up for a loss in Ohio. The other school argues that state polls have been systematically biased against Romney by assuming that Democratic turnout will rival – or even exceed – elevated 2008 levels, when Obamamania was at its peak.

      


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Reply 1 - Posted by: WestCoastCowboy, 11/5/2012 6:13:25 PM     (No. 8990524)

Poll Poll Poll....funny how this is the media scream. I can show numerous past polls that were wrong. In a race this close, it's silly to be able to say who will win. Media should be saying, turnout turnout turnout, that is what will decide.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: Intentional, 11/5/2012 6:14:04 PM     (No. 8990526)

Not gonna happen.

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R-G1
  
R-VAR_AD


 
Reply 3 - Posted by: franq, 11/5/2012 6:16:51 PM     (No. 8990530)

Dream on. Dream on. Dream until your dream comes true....

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Reply 4 - Posted by: NorthernDog, 11/5/2012 6:17:35 PM     (No. 8990531)

No incumbent has ever tallied fewer votes the 2nd time around and still won the election. Most of the swing states will end up in Romney's column.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: formerlyphelps, 11/5/2012 6:19:30 PM     (No. 8990538)

Prediction: Obama doesn't win narrow Electoral College victory

That was easy.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: Coy860, 11/5/2012 6:23:33 PM     (No. 8990541)

Start taking names..wednesday write emails to all the blathering idiots who prostituted themselves for the election, for hiding the truth about Benghazi, Obamacare, etc.
I intend to sit here and write emails all day.
Chris Matthews, Juan Williams, etc. Making a list, checking it twice. ha ha

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Reply 7 - Posted by: tonyl, 11/5/2012 6:26:22 PM     (No. 8990544)

They have got to be drinking the cool aid. This won't be close. it's president Romney baby.

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Reply 8 - Posted by: horacer, 11/5/2012 6:27:40 PM     (No. 8990545)

Prediction: Philip Klein writes a column on Wednesday titled, "What was I thinking."

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Reply 9 - Posted by: dcomd, 11/5/2012 6:28:50 PM     (No. 8990548)

Put the crack pipe down and take two steps backwards!

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Reply 10 - Posted by: saguni, 11/5/2012 6:31:34 PM     (No. 8990556)

Regardless of the vote tally at 7 p.m. - 10 p.m. - midnight tomorrow, I am praying that Romney's legal team fights like Democrats. And like Democrats, the don't stop fighting until their man wins.

The one good outcome (after a clear landslide victory) would be for the Romney legal team to catch Democrat cheating in locations all acfross the country. Multiple voting, electronics programmed to show "0bama" no matter what is input, illegals attempting to vote, buses full of out-of-staters, and whatever other schemes they have been using since Johnson and before. OH!! and especially catch the New Black Panthers intimidating voters again, and this time make the conviction stick!!

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Reply 11 - Posted by: Stlouislaxbros dad, 11/5/2012 6:32:44 PM     (No. 8990560)


I am getting up early... 50... so I can be at the polling place at 60 to vote.

I predict Chik Fil A type crowds..and they don't vote for Obama.



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Reply 12 - Posted by: uno, 11/5/2012 6:34:42 PM     (No. 8990562)

I'll be casting my impeachment vote as early as possible!

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Reply 13 - Posted by: Momma Walton, 11/5/2012 6:36:49 PM     (No. 8990567)

I hope and pray not. We have been through enough in these last four years in our ountry.

If it happens, we will find out "too late" all that Obama has done to bring this about. He has lied, held back the truth, done whatever it takes to define himself as patriotic.

Congress will be held captive by the Libs and the unions will thrive as we, the people, suffer through the next four years.

Our country will be punished for not relying upon God and sadly, He will be giving US what we deserve. My prayer is that He has mercy upon His people, called by His Name, who are praying daily for our beloved land we once knew to be Christian.

Pray for US! Vote and be accountable!

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Reply 14 - Posted by: bhkat, 11/5/2012 6:39:36 PM     (No. 8990572)

If the R party id is +6 as Rasmussen indicates then no way Obama wins(esp with Romney leading the independents). The problem with basing predictions on polls is that the polls may not be correct. Then again, they may be.

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Reply 15 - Posted by: steph_gray, 11/5/2012 6:41:53 PM     (No. 8990578)

Ha ha. Klein's by-state predictions are all graveyard whistling. And in his last case I think he had it upside down. I do actually guess that one place Mitt may narrowly lose is NH - though I still do have hope - in my mind it's 50/50 there. But I also guess he wins narrowly in Iowa.

And #1, you are so right that it's turnout, turnout, turnout. The LSM won't even mention turnout this year - because it will be wildly in our favor. The word strikes terror in their hearts. That and "independent."

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Reply 16 - Posted by: Bla Bla, 11/5/2012 6:42:47 PM     (No. 8990581)

The other school argues that state polls have been systematically biased against Romney...

Wrong Klein. The "other school" takes into account most poll samplings are heavily Dem weighted to start with. Which means even the Dems are jumping the sinking Obama ship!


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Reply 17 - Posted by: ScarletPimpernel, 11/5/2012 6:48:45 PM     (No. 8990585)

I'm not going to rejoice over a Romney win until I see the headline "President Romney" on Wednesday, November 7.

The author is giving 0bama a narrow win, not a landslide. And it could happen, due to the fact that there are still so many people who support 0bama and the attempts by the Democrats already to commit voter fraud.

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Reply 18 - Posted by: volksford, 11/5/2012 6:50:04 PM     (No. 8990589)

Going to say a prayer and sleep soundly tonight. Tommorrow is going to be Chick-Fil-A Episode II. Zero's chickens will come home to roost.

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Reply 19 - Posted by: ScarletPimpernel, 11/5/2012 6:50:30 PM     (No. 8990590)

Oh, and don't forget that the author gives 0bama a narrow victory in the Electoral College, not popular votes, which of course means Romney could very well win the popular vote, but lose the election.

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Reply 20 - Posted by: Hamrman, 11/5/2012 6:51:35 PM     (No. 8990591)

Can we get this poor soul drug tested???

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Reply 21 - Posted by: adguy47, 11/5/2012 7:00:09 PM     (No. 8990602)

Did anyone watch Chris Matthews' Hardball tonight? I watched it just to see what he had to say. His voice quivered and his eyes teared up as he pleaded with viewers to vote for Obama. He has seen the true polls -- none of the media, from NBC to Fox to the NY Times to CBS is being truthful about those -- and he knows. He knows. And I feel great knowing he knows.

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Reply 22 - Posted by: mercedesops, 11/5/2012 7:08:57 PM     (No. 8990625)

If true Chris Cristie will be the scapegoat.

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Reply 23 - Posted by: Pepper Tree, 11/5/2012 7:14:23 PM     (No. 8990633)

It's pretty much unanimous among the pansies in the media. They all say, "too close to call", "razor thin margin", "slight edge to President Obama." And then they start citing polls.

Meanwhile those of us paying attention, who have been paying attention for years can see what has already happened. This will be 2010, Chick Filet, the Wisconson Recall, and the 500 flag officers who just endorsed Romney all rolled into one.

Rush, Dick Morris, Karl Rove, Michael Barone, R, Emmett Tyrelle, and others with brains and courage predict a blowout for Romney. We'll know who was right in about 30 hours.

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Reply 24 - Posted by: neenbean, 11/5/2012 7:22:58 PM     (No. 8990645)

First it was 2010
Then it was Wisconsin Recall
Then it was Chick-Fil-A
NOW...it's Benghazi

NONE look at these FOUR significant events. Just because the media doesn't report on it...doesn't mean it WON'T happen

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Reply 25 - Posted by: Nevadadad46, 11/5/2012 7:37:47 PM     (No. 8990661)

If Øbama wins, and our final decline as a nation accelerates into overdrive, we can be sure, the election was viciously stolen and liberty is finally at a cold dead end in the United States of America.

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Reply 26 - Posted by: ok state mom, 11/5/2012 7:47:12 PM     (No. 8990676)

#26 I do not totally disagree with you but, no matter who wins Benghazi is not going to go away. If Obama wins he will have the cover-up investigation hung around his neck. The House may impeach him. No, the Senate will not convict. But, it will impeed him. Massive change of the Senate in 2014 as a result and a change in our favor.

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Reply 27 - Posted by: killerbee, 11/5/2012 7:48:40 PM     (No. 8990678)

#18: I'm with you. Something compels a writer at a fairly conservative outlet to predict this so I'm just going to pray that much harder.

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Reply 28 - Posted by: bighambone, 11/5/2012 8:04:48 PM     (No. 8990707)

Forget the polls and go and vote. Remember in the 1980 election, the polls had Jimmy Carter up 12 over Ronald Reagan. The liberal NY based information industry use these polls in an attempt to suppress the Republican vote, by making as many people as possible think that the election is over before it even starts, and that anyone voting for the Republican candidate is just wasting their time. Forget all that and go and vote tomorrow.

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