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  Topic: An Unpredictable End
to a Very Predictable Election
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An Unpredictable End
to a Very Predictable Election

Rasmussen Reports, by Scott Rasmussen

Original Article

Posted By:brianod1, 11/4/2012 11:21:04 AM

Election 2012 has had few surprises. So it's somewhat surprising that heading into the final weekend of the election season, we are unable to confidently project who is likely to win the White House. All year long, the economy has been the number one issue of the campaign. That hasn't changed. While Mitt Romney has a slight advantage when it comes to handling the economy, neither candidate has really convinced voters that they know what the nation needs. From the beginning of the year to today, the fundamentals suggested the presidential election would be close.

Comments:
I wonder sometimes if I know my country any longer. The fact that this election is close at all baffles me. President Obama is so inept in virtually every important area that he should lose in landslide.

      


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: Starlifter Nav, 11/4/2012 11:28:57 AM     (No. 8987090)

That presupposes that the statement "it is very close" is true. A large number of people (far more knowledgeable than me) not only disagree but believe it is a flat out lie designed only to dis-spirt people like yourself and get them to sew doubt amongst the other (our) side.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: Bubbasuncle, 11/4/2012 11:30:09 AM     (No. 8987093)

My guess is that Scott hasn't figured out a way to gauge the amount of cheating that will be involved.

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R-G1
  
R-VAR_AD


 
Reply 3 - Posted by: WestCoastCowboy, 11/4/2012 11:31:25 AM     (No. 8987094)

Ras is also polling more dems, 2%. Sad that nobody will poll the way it should be.

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Reply 4 - Posted by: shalimar, 11/4/2012 11:32:01 AM     (No. 8987095)

I don't pick fights with Michael Barone. He's called it for Romney and I suspect Scott R thinks the same.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: EatDonuts, 11/4/2012 11:33:35 AM     (No. 8987097)

There was a family gathering here last night with several libs in attendance. The most vocal among them (Electric Prius driving, vegan, life-long Dem) apologized to the rest of the group saying 'we screwed up' voting for Barry. The rest of the libs agreed and said Romney was their guy this time. Hugs all around. Encouraging to say the least.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: WAN2, 11/4/2012 11:34:44 AM     (No. 8987100)

Consider who educates and entertains our kids. Consider how blind most parents are to the virtues of free market capitalism. Generation after generation living better and better results in unwariness. 'Twas ever thus. Should Willard win he will face an electorate
increasing socialistic in deed if not in word. The tree of freedom needs fertilizing.

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Reply 7 - Posted by: Straitpath, 11/4/2012 11:40:45 AM     (No. 8987105)

Fasting and praying today for our country and Romney. Praying truth will be revealed so we can vote informed.

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Reply 8 - Posted by: Blue-Z-Anna, 11/4/2012 11:45:48 AM     (No. 8987113)

I'm going with the doh-nut eater.

There many reasonable people who are simply more soft-hearted than they are disciplined thinkers.

They may become Dems out of good intentions but they still know a liar and a jerk when they see one.

I hope.

Pray.

Keep all the long irons clean and lubed.

.....and yer powder dry.

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Reply 9 - Posted by: maggie2u, 11/4/2012 11:46:03 AM     (No. 8987114)

You're lucky poster #5. a couple of months ago, my lib brother asked me if 'I had come out of the dark yet'.
We were at his house, our mother, a conservative, gets upset if we talk politics so I just smiled and didn't answer him.

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Reply 10 - Posted by: Mr. Hanky, 11/4/2012 11:47:29 AM     (No. 8987120)

What garbage. They've tried so hard to prop up the incompetent incumbent and they still failing.

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Reply 11 - Posted by: strike3, 11/4/2012 11:47:37 AM     (No. 8987121)

2008 was predictable. Most of us just knew that America was too smart to put an inexperienced wiseass punk kid into office who had never done anything meaningful in his life.

Obama can no longer hide the fact that he is angry, frustrated and, for all practical purposes, insane. The damage he has done has affected 95% of all businesses in the country and SURELY people have learned this time around.

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Reply 12 - Posted by: Sfacheem, 11/4/2012 11:53:57 AM     (No. 8987127)

Headline should read:

"Here's several paragraphs of absolutely nothing."



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Reply 13 - Posted by: WimeTarmerFable, 11/4/2012 11:54:50 AM     (No. 8987129)

It is an election between Liberty and Tyrrany, period.

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Reply 14 - Posted by: brianod1, 11/4/2012 11:56:55 AM     (No. 8987133)

Rasmussen is perhaps the best pollng firm out there, just as an fyi. I still think it will be a Romney landslide, and that Romney will win Illinois. Perhaps I am thinking with my heart, I cannot say for certain. There are many Roman Catholics in Chicago metro area who love the country and the Constitution, and who have no tolerance for the US Government dictating policy to any religious institution.

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Reply 15 - Posted by: bluefindad, 11/4/2012 11:58:56 AM     (No. 8987137)

I have been plagued by a nagging, unsubstantiated opinion that the truth is that the nation is lined up to support Romney in a landslide. However, it is impossible to predict the degree of fraud that will be employed to steal the election. So, the corrupt pollsters keep it close or predict Obama because they know fraud is in the works, while the honest pollsters keep it close because they don't want egg on their faces.

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Reply 16 - Posted by: brianod1, 11/4/2012 12:03:22 PM     (No. 8987138)

Re polling, I don't know if anyone saw a Gallup honcho interviewed on Fox News Sunday, I believe it was last week. He was asked about polls which seemed skewed to Ds. He stated that party affiliation was one of the final questions asked when polling. So it may seem to us that the polls are biased, it could be something entirely different at play, such as who can be more easily reached, or is more likely to talk to a pollster.

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Reply 17 - Posted by: The Slammer, 11/4/2012 12:04:21 PM     (No. 8987140)

#14

I'm sorry, but there is absolutely ZERO chance Romney wins Illinois. None. Zilch. Nada.

It's one thing to be optimistic, but you have to be realistic.

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Reply 18 - Posted by: brianod1, 11/4/2012 12:12:12 PM     (No. 8987156)

I know it seems unlikely, #17, but you have to look at last Governor's race in Illinois (2010); know that collar county voters who went for President Obama in 2008 will be far less likely to do so in 2012; and know that there is almost zero effort, at least in my Chicago ward, to re-elect President Obama - which means Chicago turnout will be significantly lowe than in 2008. The rest of Illinois is solid red, so if downstate voters are energized and Chicagoland voters go Obama, but by significantly lower margins than in 2008, Romney can will win. It depresses me greatly that I reached out to Romney campaign as a volunteer via their Illinois website and their NEVER was a response.

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Reply 19 - Posted by: steph_gray, 11/4/2012 12:14:04 PM     (No. 8987160)

Jay Severin who has been friends with Scott R a long time said Friday that while he is the best pollster and Jay respects him completely, Jay put his 30 years of campaign insider experience on the line predicting a big win for R/R.

My uneducated gut says 4 points. Onward to Tuesday.

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Reply 20 - Posted by: lakerman1, 11/4/2012 12:14:14 PM     (No. 8987161)

I have posted elsewhere that Richard Nixon's silent majority has become Romney's whispering majority.
I have friends who voted for missie barack in 2008, mainly because he is black, and now say, but in whispers, after looking around to see if anyone might overhear them, that they will support romney, and while they don't love romney, they cannot afford to support missie barack.
I continue to believe the popular vote will be 52-47 for romney, and I also respect Michael Barone's call of 315 electoral votes for Romney, 223 for missie barack.
Finally, I find the Michigan polling results showing a tie, to be really fascinating. Detroit is a mostly black city. And they constitute a good part of the electorate in michigan.
Could it be that they have come to realize that Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton, back in 2007, were correct? That missie barack is not black enough? And that when Jesse Jackson said that he wanted to cut off missie barack's testicles, he was on to something?

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Reply 21 - Posted by: The Slammer, 11/4/2012 12:14:38 PM     (No. 8987163)

Romney has put zero resources in Illinois because he knows it's a lost cause. Believe me, there is no way Illinois goes into Romney's column.

It's been a "Safe Obama" state since Lincoln wore diapers.

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Reply 22 - Posted by: Daisymay, 11/4/2012 12:49:19 PM     (No. 8987227)

I disagree with #14 on Illinois going for Romney. I agree that there are lots of Roman Catholics in the Metro area, but those are the SAME Roman Catholics that voted for the Daley Machine since the "Boss" was in charge. Nothing is going to change that area to Red IMHO.

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Reply 23 - Posted by: kennedylaw, 11/4/2012 12:58:33 PM     (No. 8987248)

Only a few days until the election and polls show that 4% of all voters are still undecided.In a close election, these undecided voters will determine who becomes our next President.

Here is a list of the top 10 questions that are uppermost in the minds of the remaining undecided voters:

1. Who is this Obama guy?
2. Who is he running against?
3. Can I vote for Justin Bieber?
4. I voted in 2008, why do I have to vote again?
5. Who did I vote for in 2008?
6. I voted for the black guy in 2008. Is he running again?
7. Isn't Honey Boo Boo the cutest thing?
8. Some guy named Gallup called me last week and asked who I supported. Does that mean I have already voted?
9. Will Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson get back together?
10. What is an election?


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