In a shocking one-month swing, Mitt Romney stormed into the lead over President Barack Obama in a new Pew Research poll conducted after Romney's consensus victory in the first presidential debate. The poll finds a 11-point swing among likely voters. In Pew's last poll, conducted in the middle of September, Obama led Romney 51-43 among likely voters. Now, Romney leads 49-46. The shift is due to Romney shoring up key areas of strength among likely voters and improving his overall image, much of which can be attributed to his strang debate performance. Sixty-six percent of voters thought
Comments: There are no ALL CAPS allowed in headline & please post to word limit as shown. LCom Staff.
FTA: "The poll sampled 36 percent Republicans, 31 percent Democrats and 30 percent Independents. It's notable because most polls over the past two years have found higher samples of Democrats, leading to recent charges of bias and so-called "unskewing" of results."
It's simple: We've got problems that require adult leadership. We've got a man in Mitt Romney who has accomplished things in life. Barry, on the other hand, has been praised and promoted all his life for voting "present". Besides, Americans aren't really all that into Marxist ideology.
Ride 'em cowboy He ha Stay on that bronco. Thank you Lord!! The bamster's going down ... low. BHO how about an on air breakdown? That would be worth the price of a ticket *exactly 4 bits each* Gov. praying for you, Sir
I've always been kinda suspicious of Pew as liberal organization, probably cuz Andy Kohut their survey expert is often on the PBS News Hour.
Now that they are reporting how well Mitt is doing in their poll, I checked them out in Wikipedia.
This quote from the late Joseph N. Pew, Jr. (founder of Sunoco and creator of the $5 billion trust) - calling Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal -"a gigantic scheme to raze U.S. businesses to a dead level and debase the citizenry into a mass of ballot-casting serf" is making me a new believer in Pew surveys.
Do not get overconfident here!!!!!!!-----Romney is still running, in general, an underwhelming campaign, passing by opportunity after opportunity to do quick response ads to some of the more egregious Obama comments and betting it all on the debates (which I hope will be fine but the PRESS WON'T THINK SO) and the hope that that that same Press will cover things like the military speech. BUT NEVER underestimate the vicious, nasty Chicago stuff that the Obama campaign will be putting out---we have just seen the tip of the iceberg...we will see the dead and illegals vote, foreigners contribute big bucks, the sweeping under the rug of anything iffy, like BenGazi and Fast & Furious and the WARN law......and the MSM will cover for the man. They may have been stunned by the lst debate, but they are still there, as partisan as ever.
#8 -- Don't be fooled by the fact that the Pew Foundation was originally created by a common-sense, successful, conservative-minded businessman. So were Ford, MacArthur and many other large, influential foundations. Sadly, many of their children and grand-children were 60's counterculture lefties who now sit on the boards and direct funds to leftist organizations. David Horowitz's book, The New Leviathan, details this nicely: http://www.amazon.com/The-New-Leviathan-Money-Machine-ebook/dp/B006OHIXK2
Now, regarding those polls...perhaps they seem to have swung so wildly because they were never correct in the first place. Romney has been much, much closer to Obama all along, but now, because they skewed them so far to their favor a month ago, they are having to eat crow because it appears that Romney has just completely overtaken him.
Although it's true that Obama's dim-witted debate performance was the evening's highlight, I believe that the on-going LIES have finally caught up with the president, his henchmen and the Old Media. .... This anti-America bunch has been outed as dishonest manipulators intent on the destruction of our United States Constitution and the freedoms which separate America from nations ruled by oppressive despots.
The exit polls showed that Hugo Chavez lost the election. Ooops.
Every media outlet and consultant is tied to "polls" -- whether good or bad....
Look -- the only poll that counts is November 6th....
Yesterday a poster said something I can identify with as a Chicago citizen. It doesn't matter "who" votes -- only WHO counts the votes. Here in Illinois obama has won already because speaker madigan and lisa madigan and rahm emanuel and our governor all counted the votes with the help of the SIEU thugs.... Yes it's been decided already who will win and the votes have been lined up to accommodate that result.
#3 may have a point. This is the first poll we have seen which has sampled more Republicans - may be deliberately over sampled. This does smell like a trap. After the second dabate the sampling will go back to 'normal' and Zippy will loudly be procalimed to be the come back kid. But Mitt on the other hand also will come more prepared and knowledgeable about his opponent's weaknesses. It could backfire on these guys.
Sounds like they are trying to turn 0bama into the underdog in this race, despite his being an incumbent president. Going for that sympathy vote, because probably 5% of the electorate are suckers for that kind of thing.
#1 for the first time you are seeing a poll based on the 2010 election model, basically all the polls prior are using over sampling of Dems and under sampling of Repubs. You will see more accurate polls in the weeks before the election because polling companies DO NOT want to miss the results big time as it will severely hurt their reputation and will lose business.
What would be so hard about Pew (or any of the others) using CONSISTENT oversampling in their polls? If they choose to oversample Demos by +4, fine---then just report the oversampling up front but then *keep* oversampling +4 Demos in all future polls. Apparently, they are more interested in manipulating poll numbers and thereby manipulating the news than they are in providing solid factual data for comparison purposes.
I do not trust polls good or bad. There is always an agenda. Guaranteed, if the polls slant towards Romney, the MSM will be trumpeting the "come-back kid" meme for Obama when they go back to their over sampling of Democrats SOP.
n 1957, J Howard Pew, founder of Sunoco, created the J. Howard Pew Freedom Trust with his $1 billion estate trust with instructions that it use its funds to "acquaint the American people" with "the evils of bureaucracy," "the values of the free market," and "the paralyzing effects of government controls on lives and activities of people," to "inform our people of the struggle, persecution, hardship, sacrifice and death by which freedom of the individual was won" and to educate them about how "Socialism, Welfare statism [and] Fascism . . . are but devices by which government seizes the ownership or control of the tools of production." In accordance with those wishes, the Freedom Trust funded mostly libertarian and conservative activities, as long as its board consisted of Pew family members and friends.
Think that's still Pew today? Think someone got in there and twisted J Howard's clearly stated estate instructions to fortress the Left?
Dang right it happened. NEVER BELIEVE ANYTHING FROM PEW.
I am not in the least concerned about the election....it will be a landslide. I am concerned right now about the three weeks leading up to the election. These totalitarians are not going to just fade away. Something is up I feel. Every morning I get up going to Drudge to see if the 'it' has hit.
#21 has already said what I was going to. I have little on no faith in all of these "polls" simply because they have, for the most part, an agenda of their own. However, as the election gets closer and closer, they will attempt to poll in a more even handed way because they don't want to have their results so far out of reality on election day. That would cost them a lot of business. After all, selling their product is how they make money.
Just voted today in Akron,Ohio all Republican...felt great! A few observations: It was a mad house and took me 50 min. There were alot of AA (Africa Americans) voters.They were Bused in. Our turn out is critcial!
I had to fill out 2 sheets,on both it asked for your DL# or last 4 digits of SS#. Officials check it to see if they match, one AA bro was called out on it... that was reasuring. I will go to my polling place in Nov. to see if it is recorded that I voted early.
I suspect that the truth between this and the pollsters that are in the bag for Zero, is in between. Although, the lefty polls have been more over on their side. I think if we at least cosider Dems and Pubs to be an equal percentage, it's probably R-47 and O-45.
At this point I take all polls with skepticism. Romney must press ahead on offense, block and tackle, take advantage of what opportunities present themselves, and not pay too much attention to the scoreboard.
Sample ratios mean EVERYTHING in these polls and the truth is, no one really knows what the correct portions of Republicans, dems, and Independents are. Any poll that uses the 2008 ratios is worthless. We can almost guarantee that there are NOT as many dems as 2008 and probably a lot more Independents. I could argue that most interesting aspect of a poll is the trend established when using consistent rations over time. That's why Rasmussen is useful, not for their absolute numbers but the trend toward Romney. Whatever the voter mix actually is, Romney has gained a lot of strength.
My person view is that BO is too massively liberal and incompetent to have the kind of support claimed. His debate performance showed no intellectual power. He was programmed with his talking points and he stuck to them, even when Romney denied them. Of course the liberal take is that Romney lied instead of that BO was wrong. What has BO done that gives us any confidence in him for the future? He TOLD us he can't work with Republicans. That's why he has taken all these unilateral actions. So what will change in the future that will allow him to get things done? Will all the Republicans just vanish? He probably wishes they would.
I cannot believe that a majority of the electorate is dumb enough to accept BO's record of abject failure and gullible enough to think he will do any better in the next 4 years. I have more faith in the American people than that. If my faith is misplaced, the Country is doomed anyway.
Romney is clearly a FAR better choice, strongly successful in business, politics, and the in betweens of the Olympics. I believe most people can see that.
Make a few assumptions. Assume that the two parties are equally split. It doesn't matter how split, say 40% each with 20% as Independents. At 78%, that puts Romney up 56 - 44. If polls being run from MI, PA and OH show Romney in "striking distance" amonth before the election, and being reported as such, not as "Obama ahead", this shows internal data has Romney ahead in those states. All the numbers are shown as close to get the Dem voters out because it must be shown in their internal data that the base is de-energized and not likely to come out. I think a romp by Romney with lots of "But I don't know anyone who voted for Mitt" conversations afterwards. From my lips to God's ears.
I have to believe that the people who turned out in 2010 to give the democrats their shellacking have not disappeared. Someone said recently that 40 million people claim affiliation or sympathy with the Tea Party.
The Obama administration on Tuesday said it plans to review the privacy implications of facial recognition technology. Lawmakers and privacy advocates have expressed fears that tech companies and government agencies are using facial recognition technologies to track people, often without their knowledge. The Commerce Department said it recognizes those concerns and will work with tech groups, privacy advocates and online advertising trade associations to identify them. “Facial recognition technology has the potential to improve services for consumers, support innovation by businesses, and affect identification and authentication online and offline,” said Larry Strickling, the administrator of Commerce’s National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA). “However, the
Consider it an attack of the drones — and pork is on the menu. Feral pigs in America’s deep South are a major problem for farmers and civilians alike, with the porcine predators causing an estimated $1.5 billion annually in damage to crops and wildlife. Enter the Louisiana Hog Control, an extermination company launched in 2011 by a couple of engineers determined to make a dent in the thriving pig population. Using a radio-controlled airplane equipped with a thermal-imaging camera as a spotter and a hunter on the ground, Cy Brown estimates he and his partner, James Palmer, have killed roughly
Norman Rockwell, long America´s favorite mass-market painter, now has auction records to match his popularity. Saying Grace, one of his masterpieces, sold for $46 million at auction today — a price three times higher than his previous record. Also, two other iconic paintings by Rockwell, who died in 1978, sold for a total of nearly $12 million, according to the Associated Press. No word yet on who bought the paintings. It was Grace that drew all eyes at Sotheby´s in New York. It is an affecting image of a crowded restaurant with a little boy and a woman bowed in prayer at their
Corporate CEOs are growing more optimistic about the economy, and a budget deal in Washington would help push next year´s growth higher, according to a survey released by the Business Roundtable Wednesday. The business lobby´s CEO confidence index rose to 84.5 in a fourth-quarter survey of 120 chief executives, compared with 79.1 last quarter. The survey measures expectations for economic activity over the next six months. A reading above 50 points to economic expansion. "CEOs expect modest improvement in the outlook for economic expansion in the first half of 2014,´´ Business Roundtable Chairman James McNerney said on a conference call. "The survey
Washington -- Two members of the Tennessee congressional delegation have found a new way to challenge President Barack Obama´s health care reforms. Reps. Marsha Blackburn, R-Brentwood, and Phil Roe, R-Johnson City, are part of a friend-of-the-court brief filed in November that contends the various taxes in the 2010 Affordable Care Act are unconstitutional because they were put there by the wrong chamber in Congress. The brief, filed in the case of Sissel vs. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, argues Congress violated the "origination clause" of the Constitution in
Vatican City – Pope Francis met Monday with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in a closed-door meeting at the Vatican to discuss matters that are highly political and an illustration of the pontiff´s increasing willingness to weigh in on global affairs. The Israeli government said Netanyahu talked with Francis about the Iranian nuclear program, negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians and the fate of Christians living in the Holy Land and throughout the Middle East. The 25-minute meeting comes after Francis´s private Vatican get-together last week with Russian leader Vladimir Putin. "During John Paul II´s declining years, and throughout Benedict XVI´s papacy, the Vatican was
Pope Francis revealed that he once worked as a bouncer at a nightclub in Buenos Aires — and it´s starting a big conversation on social media, calling Francis the coolest pope ever. Jon Favreau (@jonfavs) tweeted a suggestion for an off-beat dramedy about the pope as a bouncer: "Heaven can wait, and So Can You." Charles Blow (@CharlesMBlow) tweeted "The Pope comes out with something cooler every week… If he releases a mix tape it will be all over." So just how cool is Pope Francis? A quick scan of headlines shows a lot about how he relates to the faithful: He drives
President Obama will cast growing income inequality and a decline in economic mobility as a “fundamental threat to the American dream” during a speech Wednesday in Washington. The speech will serve as an early preview for next year’s State of the Union address, according to a White House official, who said Obama would focus much of his energy over the next three years on the issue. “The decisions we make over the next few years will determine whether or not our children will grow up in an America where, if you work hard, you can get ahead,” the official said.
Good stuff from Jonathan Turley at today’s House hearing on executive power, although I regret that I couldn’t find a more user-friendly format for you to watch. There’s no compilation clip; you’ll have to make do with the C-SPAN embed by fast-forwarding to the time cues I give you and being patient while the vid buffers (and buffers, and buffers).(Snip)That brings us to point two: Even if Congress can’t stop Obama, the courts can. The problem there, though, says Turley, is that O and the DOJ have argued successfully in many cases that no one has standing to sue him
Bill Clinton, the cliché goes, was the first black president, no matter his skin color. That being the case, Barack Obama is not the first black president, or the first African-American president, if you prefer, but the first hippie president. Clinton’s southern background and lifestyle were indeed more typically black, just as Obama’s was more typically hippie. And we’re not just talking about the “Choom gang” here, scarfing “Maui Wowie” on the sands of Oahu. We’re talking about all of it, the whole multi-culti-missing-white-mother-vanished-Kenyan-father-anti-imperialist-America-is-always-the-enemy-and-don’t-you-forget-it-nine-yards. And like most hippie culture as I knew and experienced it, it wasn’t about “peace and love.” Not
During a presentation at the White House in which President Barack Obama touted the benefits of the Affordable Care Act, the president declared that his signature health care reform law was not going to be repealed. This assertion led his administration members, his staff, and audience members to rise from their seats and give the president a standing ovation. Obama said that ACA opponents’ alternative to the health care reform law is to champion repeal and going back to the health care delivery system status quo ante. He specifically cited Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) who he said was asked directly for
A woman has revealed how difficult it is to eat healthily and stay full when living off an average food stamp budget. Melinda Moulton, from Huntington, Vermont, was one of 200 people to take part in the 3Squares Challenge, which saw her living for a week on just $36 worth of food, or around $1.71 a meal. Opting to try and eat as healthily as possible, Ms Moulton resorted to cheap foods like yogurt for breakfast, two handfuls of peanuts for lunch and lentil stew for dinner, all of which left her unsatisfied.´I don´t know how people do it,´ said
Just over two weeks ago, MSNBC host Martin Bashir delivered a harsh piece of commentary that culminated in the suggestion that someone should “s-h-i-t” in former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin‘s (R-AK) mouth. Bashir offered an abject apology on his next broadcast, but a chorus of critics continued to demand action against the host. After a reported “vacation” for the host earlier this week, Bashir announced, Wednesday afternoon, that MSNBC and Martin Bashir are parting ways. Here’s the statement from Martin Bashir, via email: After making an on-air apology, I asked for permission to take some additional time out around the Thanksgiving holiday. Upon
[Video] President Obama on Wednesday declared that addressing income inequality would be the focus of “all” of the White House’s efforts “for the rest of my presidency.” In a sweeping address that touched on raising the minimum wage, investing in infrastructure and ending tax breaks for the wealthy, Obama warned that the American economy has become “profoundly unequal,” declaring economic mobility the “challenge of our time.” “The combined trends of increasing inequality and decreasing mobility pose a fundamental threat to the American dream, our way of life, and what we stand for around the globe,” he said in an hour-long