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  Topic: Dishonest Unemployment Numbers
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Dishonest Unemployment Numbers
American Spectator, by Robert P. Kirchhoefer

Original Article

Posted By:StormCnter, 10/6/2012 5:24:42 AM

A flashback to a CNN article from just before the 2004 election era shows just how unbelievable today's new unemployment numbers are. In September 2004, new numbers came out, showing a drop in unemployment from 5.5% to 5.4%. At that time, with a much lower unemployment number than we have today (around 8% today), the increase in new jobs that caused a 0.1% decrease in unemployment was 144,000. So, let's get this straight. With 144,000 new jobs in a smaller U.S. population (about 295 million in 2004 vs. about 314 million today),

  

Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: country boy, 10/6/2012 5:48:23 AM     (No. 8913569)

These numbers come from Dept of Labor? And they report to obama? Why does anybody believe anything from the White House.


Reply 2 - Posted by: lydwho, 10/6/2012 5:53:05 AM     (No. 8913572)

Chicago at work!!!!

Art


   

 

  


 
Reply 3 - Posted by: country boy, 10/6/2012 6:15:11 AM     (No. 8913581)

Just to add, the only stat that counts is GDP which is now 1.3% down from 1.5%, teetering on slipping into recession.

As a comparison, GDP during the Reagan recovery was averaged 6%, and hit a torrid 8% a couple of quarters.


Reply 4 - Posted by: Robinsolana, 10/6/2012 6:29:16 AM     (No. 8913593)

Numbers do not add up.


Reply 5 - Posted by: steveW, 10/6/2012 6:40:49 AM     (No. 8913600)

Actually, it's over 11%.


Reply 6 - Posted by: sfacheem, 10/6/2012 6:42:09 AM     (No. 8913601)

I wish we had these kinds of transparent worms when I was studying Biology.


Reply 7 - Posted by: Donna M, 10/6/2012 6:43:59 AM     (No. 8913604)

Good article but great analysis here: AEI's analysis by James Pethokoukis

http://www.aei-ideas.org/2012/10/the-sickly-stagnant-september-jobs-report/


   

 

  


 
Reply 8 - Posted by: rightdog, 10/6/2012 6:51:46 AM     (No. 8913618)

Cooking the books, with the chefs being Choom-ganger in Chief donors.Sheesh!


Reply 9 - Posted by: Judge, 10/6/2012 6:57:22 AM     (No. 8913627)

Totally bogus and everyone knows it


Reply 10 - Posted by: pineledger, 10/6/2012 6:59:40 AM     (No. 8913632)

How obvious. But then the Free Cell Phone crowd is not known for its subtlety.


Reply 11 - Posted by: uno, 10/6/2012 7:11:38 AM     (No. 8913653)

Look around you. Has anything changed? Consumer spending is down. Manufacturing is down. Orders are down. The GDP is down. Even NPR reports: " There was a sharp drop in demand for durable goods last month." (September). Strip malls everywhere sit with empty space for lease yet somehow jobs are up like, somehow, magically, the economy just jumped 5 percent overnight!
Hand me the phone. I'm calling BS!


Reply 12 - Posted by: bpl40, 10/6/2012 7:18:47 AM     (No. 8913667)

This is a fraudulent and a criminal act. Its time stop just hand wringing about these things saying "The BLS boys will be boys". The incoming Romney Administration owes it to the people to investigate this Unemployment Gate.


   

 



 
Reply 13 - Posted by: EnsignO'Toole, 10/6/2012 7:33:54 AM     (No. 8913685)

The Administration should be embarrassed. Even a junior high school math class could see the figures don't add up. These people need to be laughed out of town - none of them should ever be allowed back in Washington DC.


Reply 14 - Posted by: uno, 10/6/2012 7:43:00 AM     (No. 8913692)

It should be a violation of campaign law.


Reply 15 - Posted by: asu86pe, 10/6/2012 7:53:50 AM     (No. 8913702)

I totally believe the numbers. 7.8% is the truth in unemployment; just don't count all those other umemployed people./s


Reply 16 - Posted by: Janjan, 10/6/2012 8:01:26 AM     (No. 8913716)

This is an obvious lie and should have been expected. Rush predicted this would happen months ago. No incumbant has ever won re-election with an unemployment rate of 8% or higher, so voila, the number is now, wait for it, 7.8%. What is really sad is how the conservative pundits are always 'surprised' and 'alarmed' about how far liberals will go to deceive the public.


Reply 17 - Posted by: Maybeth, 10/6/2012 8:01:56 AM     (No. 8913719)

I wonder if the Obama patsies providing these numbers realize that THEY are the ones who will take the fall and that Obama will relate that he is ONLY repeating the information provided him by so-in-so.

Since many previous Obama supporters have recognized their error and are finally understanding that Obama is a liar, that means these new and miraculous numbers must be intended for the community organized ones and others who voted ONLY for a skin color.


   

 

  


 
Reply 18 - Posted by: LouBear, 10/6/2012 8:06:35 AM     (No. 8913730)

Nefarious goings-on was my first thought when I saw that 7.8 number, too. But I think the household survey (which is not mentioned in the article) that came up with an over 800,000 new job number is a really out of whack number, but an anomaly. Nothing else adds up.

But here's the thing - if it is just one of those crazy numbers that just randomly happens, next month's numbers should move back to where they actually are. In other words, the Friday before the election should see unemployment move back over 8%.


Reply 19 - Posted by: WimeTarmerFable, 10/6/2012 8:09:48 AM     (No. 8913736)

So where is Mr. Speaker, our Senior Political Figure in DC? Oh, he had to go to Smoking Joe's to pick up a couple of cartons of Camel Light 100s.


Reply 20 - Posted by: Dodge Boy, 10/6/2012 8:11:19 AM     (No. 8913740)

The only other way this number would have been possible is if a few hundred thousand more poor souls gave up looking for work last month.


Reply 21 - Posted by: fransand, 10/6/2012 8:11:48 AM     (No. 8913744)

How stupid do they think we are? Never mind...


Reply 22 - Posted by: a man over thirty, 10/6/2012 8:41:01 AM     (No. 8913796)

The president, his press secretary, the Secretary of State and our UN ambassador lied about the Benghazi murders for 9 days (in Obama's case, even longer) and we are shocked that his Dept. of Labor would find a way to cook the books just before the election?
C'mon people.


   

 



 
Reply 23 - Posted by: LZK, 10/6/2012 8:49:24 AM     (No. 8913816)

Of course he cooked the books....

Anything coming from "this" goooberment -- is a lie...

Funny how obama and his thugs are calling President Romney a "liar"....

Seems they are pointing at President Romney -- hoping no one will look at them....

Wrongo -- buckaroo!! WE the people see right through you....

LZK


Reply 24 - Posted by: southernboy, 10/6/2012 8:55:38 AM     (No. 8913830)

And after Romney is elected..the December figure will be 11%, 'demonstrating extreme 'lack-of-confidence' in the leadership of the GOP!
BUT, instead of 'unexpectedly,' it will be termed 'expected.'


Reply 25 - Posted by: Bad Dog, 10/6/2012 9:13:10 AM     (No. 8913871)

Well, I BELIEEEEEVE in Obamagic and Obamiracles! Why don't you?!

Pixie dust and good mathmagicians are all it takes. There! See? He DOES make wondrous things happen. I'm gonna VOTE FOR HIM!

[wait for it....]

Yeah, not! Bwa-hahahahahaha!!! These people oughta be in jail. I can't believe there's even such a thing as an ''undecided''. Wake. Up.


Reply 26 - Posted by: miceal, 10/6/2012 9:14:32 AM     (No. 8913872)

Just pick a number you are happy with and publish it, that's what these folks do. Don't worry, be happy..../s


Reply 27 - Posted by: goose, 10/6/2012 9:15:54 AM     (No. 8913874)

So with 8% unemployment for four years, there were all these thousands of unfilled jobs that all of a sudden, got filled...three weeks before the election??


Reply 28 - Posted by: roger h. cook,MD, 10/6/2012 9:23:20 AM     (No. 8913887)

Oh come on everybody you knew thw Obama-democrat socilaist will will lie , put out fake facts,etc . No surprise!


Reply 29 - Posted by: lil dotty, 10/6/2012 9:27:23 AM     (No. 8913898)

Bullwinkle to Rocky....
'Watch me pull a number out of my hat!"


Reply 30 - Posted by: strike3, 10/6/2012 9:30:12 AM     (No. 8913906)

Zippy says it's "just arithmetic." Well, maybe that's what it's called in that indonesian muslim school he attended. I suspect that since zippy desperately needed this number, he got it. Jack Welch jumped all over it on day one. He's seldom if ever wrong.


Reply 31 - Posted by: maryc, 10/6/2012 9:31:30 AM     (No. 8913909)

Let me see 8.1 + .1 = 7.8 Must be the new math being taught by the teachers' union.


Reply 32 - Posted by: bmw50, 10/6/2012 9:37:43 AM     (No. 8913925)

We have had a 6.44% increase in population since 2004.
So in 2004 a .1% drop in unemployment equates to 144,000 people.
To drop .1% today that 144.000 people would be multiplied by 6.44% or
144,000 x 1.0644 = 153,274. It would take 153,274 people, being employed today, to drop the unemployment rate .1%; but according to the DOL, we had a drop of .3% (8.2% to 7.9%) or three times that rate. So 153,274 x 3 = 459,821. That’s almost an increase of employment by a half a million people, yet the DOL claims that only 114,000 new jobs were created.


Reply 33 - Posted by: bmw50, 10/6/2012 9:39:25 AM     (No. 8913927)

Obama, YOU do the math!


Reply 34 - Posted by: chicodon, 10/6/2012 9:42:05 AM     (No. 8913930)

Swami Rush Limbaugh called this months ago. He guaranteed the rate would be manipulated to below 8% by the election. How much didn't matter. The media will only focus on the 7% and not numbers after the decimal point. No President has ever been elected with a rate above 8% so, voila, 7% it is.


Reply 35 - Posted by: Udanja99, 10/6/2012 9:43:20 AM     (No. 8913936)

Not to worry. Paul Ryan will correct the math for everyone.


Reply 36 - Posted by: cake crumb, 10/6/2012 9:46:04 AM     (No. 8913942)

No surprise the phony numbers are being met with deep suspicion; also no surprise that the media ignores the intellectual insult to the public and continues acting like they're handing out candy with every lie theu repeat.


Reply 37 - Posted by: zek, 10/6/2012 9:46:56 AM     (No. 8913943)

And the media falls right into place with this headline this morning from the Associated Press.

Romney cites 'job crisis' despite employment gains


Reply 38 - Posted by: red oak, 10/6/2012 10:04:59 AM     (No. 8913969)

Notice that they took it to 7.8% and not just just under 8 i.e. 7.9%. They are sooo clever. "Let's take it down to 7.8% otherwise they'll accuse us of just trying to get it under 8%."

These people are criminals. I want an attorney general that will go after them all. The arrogant lowlifes deign to destroy the greatest country that ever has or will exist, with blatant lies and manipulation simply because they have the lack of soul that it takes to be repulsed by their own reflections in the mirror.

They are as conscienceless as jihadists since they think they're right, and tell themselves that we're the bad guys. No difference.


Reply 39 - Posted by: kdog, 10/6/2012 10:09:59 AM     (No. 8913976)

I am confident the Romney campaign will make Obama choke on these numbers.


Reply 40 - Posted by: coldoc, 10/6/2012 10:12:02 AM     (No. 8913979)

I'll bet the big discussion this week at DoL was just how big a whopper they could get away with. This number, like the cpi and Obama himself, is fake and contrived.


Reply 41 - Posted by: arkfamily, 10/6/2012 10:22:14 AM     (No. 8914008)

Thank goodness the Biden-Ryan debate comes on after these numbers came out. Ryan will do the correct math for us. Let's hope for a huge viewing audience!


Reply 42 - Posted by: jimK1, 10/6/2012 10:23:28 AM     (No. 8914011)

What you mathematicians have all failed to account for in inflation. If you take the 8.1% unemployed and add the .1% you come up with 8.2% then adjust it for inflation and bingo you have 7.8%. Jeesh, where did you people learn to do math? School or sumpin.


Reply 43 - Posted by: Pepper Tree, 10/6/2012 10:47:20 AM     (No. 8914047)

This actually looks like an Axelrod pulled punch. Given his propensity to tell stupid whoppers, why didn't the Axelfurher just come right out with 6.7, or even 5.2?


Reply 44 - Posted by: RancherJack, 10/6/2012 10:50:48 AM     (No. 8914059)

Fudged numbers
Lying compliant Press
An election year

Geez ... who coulda seen this coming?

(thinking thinking)


Reply 45 - Posted by: MDMuskrat, 10/6/2012 10:52:19 AM     (No. 8914065)

Like the rest of you, when I saw these numbers (on Drudge) yesterday, I was furious. Not only because without some major works projects (e.g., Keystone Pipeline construction) there was nothing to have generated them, but also because it took Mitt's magnificent win off the front pages.

This event is ominous, folks. It tells us, among a host of other things, that Obama and the rest of the Chicago thugs...and their media...care not what we think. Hilda Solis, et al., can gin up the most egregious lies and the media will put them out there for the sheeple to believe.


Reply 46 - Posted by: dman, 10/6/2012 10:58:33 AM     (No. 8914073)

The main defense of these numbers I've heard is that the BLS numbers are generated by a group of statistics "wonks" who are not influenced by political considerations. While in general this may be the case, they are still humans, and human intelligence can be skewed or even downright corrupted. We've just been through an example of that with the professional "intelligence" regarding the Benghazi assassinations. We've all learned to live with bogus inflation numbers that omit critical items like food and fuel because they are "seasonal". Does anyone deny that our wallets are feeling the squeeze? If there is a way that the BLS numbers can be skewed or corrupted, this Chicago gang can find it.

The telling evidence to me is that the unemployment rate itself, despite the claimed volatility, plots a relatively "smooth" curve - with only minor variance from the trend line - over the past several months. Then comes this month's sharp deviation, just in time for early voters. Coupled with lack of correlation with the other metrics, and the only conclusion to be made is that this unemployment rate is simply bogus - for whatever reason.


Reply 47 - Posted by: Heraclitus, 10/6/2012 11:32:45 AM     (No. 8914149)

1) BO has said repeatedly (ad nauseum) that he inherited the worst economy ever, and it was GWB's fault.

As unemployment and the debt and deficit rise, he complains with the old refrain, it's not his fault.

2) Yesterday BO proclaims exuberantly that the 7.8% jobless rate hasn't been enjoyed since the day he took office!!!!!

So, in other words, the "worst economy since the Great Depression" turns out to be exhilarating news for the Campaigner in Chief, because it's better than the three+ years he has been in control???

And so, in some more other words, the inherited worst economy worsened under his watch, and we are now back at the beginning, at the worst economy ever.

No. It doesn't make sense. But in this scarily Orwellian world, Truth and Reality are casualties. This does not bode well for liberty and prosperity.

I hope Paul Ryan --and Romney, of course--takes these number apart.


Reply 48 - Posted by: EQKimball, 10/6/2012 11:39:43 AM     (No. 8914164)

In America, we used to have a press that would pounce on a story so transparently suspicious. Now we have a press that simply spews the party line. Why pay for a subscription to the New York Times when you can get all the same "news" free from the DNC?


Reply 49 - Posted by: NotaBene, 10/6/2012 11:55:00 AM     (No. 8914192)

We now accept that the Federal government, the Department of Labor, Hilda Solís, our Choomer-in-Chief and the Enemedia will lie to advance Socialism.

I am grateful that Hussein got his drug dosage wrong for the debate. Hopefully this will be their October Surprise, and not missiles for Camels as Monica's Boyfriend used to do.


Reply 50 - Posted by: NRA_Forever, 10/6/2012 12:13:45 PM     (No. 8914236)

Another extremely interesting question is HOW did we increase our population from 295 million to 314 million in only EIGHT years???? WHERE did those 19 million come from and WHO are they???!!!


Reply 51 - Posted by: NotaBene, 10/6/2012 12:24:02 PM     (No. 8914260)

A real number: 4.89

This is what I just paid for a gallon of gas.


Reply 52 - Posted by: Persecutor2, 10/6/2012 12:25:47 PM     (No. 8914264)

Maybe it's just me, but it doesn't look like these cooked-up numbers are making much of a splash, except among folks who are already in 0's back pocket. And even the back-pocket MSM doesn't seem to be playing them up like I would expect. Am I missing something or is this just too verifiably fraudulent for the lames to risk their fast-fading credibility on?


Reply 53 - Posted by: hot coffee, 10/6/2012 12:29:45 PM     (No. 8914270)

Unemployment is down to 7.8%! Obama is wonderful! Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain!


Reply 54 - Posted by: jim13, 10/6/2012 12:43:31 PM     (No. 8914297)

As Mark Twain supposedly said; "figures don't lie, but liars figure". Too bad Mark's not around now.


Reply 55 - Posted by: Butch59, 10/6/2012 1:31:39 PM     (No. 8914405)

What scares me is that they will try to use this type of math on counting the votes on Nov.6. If they can get away with it, we're all toast.


Reply 56 - Posted by: Speedypetey, 10/6/2012 1:57:42 PM     (No. 8914438)

Jobs went up 300,000 jobs and the unemployment drops .1%. The jobs supposedly rise by 114,000 jobs and the unemployment drops by .3%. And food stamp recipients keeps rising quarter by quarter. There are so businesses in our area that are closing it is scary. Walk in to any restaurant mid week and they are ghost towns. But the government could afford to hire more bureaucrats?


Reply 57 - Posted by: franq, 10/6/2012 2:34:35 PM     (No. 8914486)

Don't forget to divide by pi.
Ministry of Truth, working overtime!


Reply 58 - Posted by: vaughan, 10/6/2012 2:55:15 PM     (No. 8914508)

Oh yeah, Hilda Solis' fake outrage was breathtaking to behold. Love that whole 'My staff is comprised of consumate professionals with unimpeachable ethics' angle she tossed out as a defense. You know what? She's right: The GS 14's and 15's ARE straight shooters and far from corrupt. But Solis is not. And her SES scale lackeys are not either. And THEY are the ones who take the good faith estimates, impose 'Back Office Adjustments' (lies, in common parlance) upon them, and trot them out as if the raw data were fed into a great agnostic Number Cruncher and what it spit out is what we get.

This was a lie too far. And a bit too egregious, even for this rogues gallery.


Reply 59 - Posted by: mamabear, 10/6/2012 4:09:02 PM     (No. 8914612)

THIS IS INSANE.

How lazy is the American news media?! (Fox included.) Doesn't truth matter to ANYONE? This is not rocket science. Unemployment claims figures are supplied by the states. How hard would it be to assign five staffers to make 10 calls each, get the state totals and average them?

Why so quick to believe info supplied by an administration proven over and over again to be infected with a consistently flagrant, bold and remorseless penchant for mendacity?

As I told family members and friends(?) who called to boast after the 2008 election "if a man will lie to get a job, he will lie to keep it." The closer democrats come to losing control over the American purse, the bolder they will get. It ain't over yet. Brace yourselves...


Reply 60 - Posted by: shamus, 10/6/2012 4:30:17 PM     (No. 8914646)


Reply 61 - Posted by: starboard, 10/6/2012 4:57:36 PM     (No. 8914685)

I would love to see Paul Ryan deconstruct these numbers and at the same time mess with Biden's head. Oops, I forgot, Joe only has half a brain.
As for Hilda Solis, another female Obama stooge falling on her sword trying to save her job. It's so obvious and predictable.


Reply 62 - Posted by: ocjim, 10/6/2012 6:42:44 PM     (No. 8914837)

Hey, why wouldn't you believe these numbers? Don't you folks trust this administration?
I guess my only question about this dramatic drop in that rate so close to the election is why they didn't have Susan Rice announce them Friday morning.


Reply 63 - Posted by: TX_blanke, 10/6/2012 9:37:02 PM     (No. 8915069)

This number is totally believable if you believe that 1.2 Million NEW people stopped looking for work all of a sudden. Then again, didn't this administration just lift the requirement to look for work in order to receive government assistance?


Reply 64 - Posted by: radrelic, 10/6/2012 11:27:48 PM     (No. 8915192)

The fact that they can be so blatantly dishonest isn't even shockingly new news.

What would be mind boggling is if the lame stream media became honest journalists. Pop media and their social network--like Hollyweird, thinking and acting alike is herd behavior. But journalists aren't high school dropouts--we have a right to expect better.

The 47% will wave their obama flags a bit faster at the news. Mitt's right about o's 47%. No need to waste time on them campaign-wise. These are the people who believe Sarah Palin is worse threat than Putin or China. Easy to get them to "otherize" the opponent. They aren't the brightest bulbs on the national tree.


Reply 65 - Posted by: ocjim, 10/7/2012 12:31:03 AM     (No. 8915235)

#65, I like that term the politicos and new media uses for those ''not the brightest bulbs''...
''Low information voters''
LOL, You know so low on information they can't name the VPOTUS or, when ask them if they like the idea that Obama has chosen Palin as his VP this time around, they think about for a second kinda like the idea. There's millions of these low information voters, ripe for Obama's picking, and he knows it.



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WCBV-TV [Boston], by Staff    Original Article
Posted By: earlybird- 5/22/2013 7:21:44 AM     Post Reply
One of two men allegedly being questioned in connection with the Boston Marathon bombings was shot and killed by an FBI agent in Florida on Tuesday, (Snip)A friend of Ibragim Todashev said he and Todashev were being investigated as part of the Boston bombings. He said Todashev, 27, knew bombing suspect Tamerlan Tsarnaev because both were MMA fighters. The man claims he and Todashev were interviewed by the FBI for nearly three hours on Tuesday. The friend said he left the interview, and when he came back to the apartment he found that there had been a shooting.

Top IRS official will
invoke Fifth Amendment

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Los Angeles Times, by Richard Simon and Joseph Tanfani    Original Article
Posted By: Scottyboy- 5/21/2013 3:53:35 PM     Post Reply
WASHINGTON – A top IRS official in the division that reviews nonprofit groups will invoke the Fifth Amendment and refuse to answer questions before a House committee investigating the agency’s improper screening of conservative nonprofit groups. Lois Lerner, the head of the exempt organizations division of the IRS, won’t answer questions about what she knew about the improper screening – or why she didn’t reveal it to Congress, according to a letter from her defense lawyer, William W. Taylor 3rd. Lerner was scheduled to appear before the House Oversight committee Wednesday.

Criminality Appears To Lie at the
Heart of the IRS Scandal

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New York Sun, by Lawrence Kudlow    Original Article
Posted By: FlyRight- 5/23/2013 5:59:27 AM     Post Reply
When you get right down to it, the political targeting and stalling of tax-exempt applications by the IRS was an effort to defund the Tea Party. Rick Santelli, one of the Tea Party founders and my CNBC colleague, was the first to make this point. I’ve taken it a step further: The IRS was taking the Tea Party out of play for the 2012 election, as it looked to avoid a repeat of 2010 and another Tea Party landslide.There are a lot of numbers out there.

Darrell Issa: Lois Lerner
lost her rights

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Politico, by Rachel Bade    Original Article
Posted By: JoniTx- 5/22/2013 3:34:05 PM     Post Reply
House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman Darrell Issa said embattled IRS official Lois Lerner waived her Fifth Amendment rights and will be hauled back to appear before his panel again. The California Republican said Lerner’s Fifth Amendment right to avoid self-incrimination was voided when she gave an opening statement this morning denying any wrongdoing and professing pride in her government service. “When I asked her her questions from the very beginning, I did so so she could assert her rights prior to any statement,” Issa told POLITICO. “She chose not to do so — so she waived.”

Lois Lerner´s Brief And
Awful Day On Capitol Hill

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NPR, by Frank James    Original Article
Posted By: JoniTx- 5/22/2013 10:21:38 PM     Post Reply
The public got its first look Thursday at Lois Lerner, who has gone from faceless IRS bureaucrat to the face that launched what feels like 1,000 congressional hearings and conspiracy theories. But it was only a brief sighting since she didn´t stay long at a House hearing to further probe her role in how some IRS workers came to target conservative groups seeking tax-exempt status. (Snip)She did make a short statement to declare her innocence, however. Lerner´s motivation was more transparent than much of what the IRS has done in connection with this controversy. She was determined to


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