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Topic: Are Polls Showing How you’ll Vote? Or How You Think Others Will? |
Are Polls Showing How you’ll Vote? Or How You Think Others Will?
Townhall, by Laura Hollis
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Original Article
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Posted By:Photoonist, 10/2/2012 12:50:39 AM
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| One of the things which makes the media’s bias in favor of President Obama so influential is the natural human tendency to want to belong, and the fear being out of the mainstream. As a professor, I cannot count the number of classes in which students were reluctant to ask a question for fear that everyone else already knew the answer. And yet when some “brave soul” actually asks, at least half the class heaves an audible sigh of relief – they all have the same question. (Snip) This same dynamic is, I believe, what’s behind some of the wacky
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Comments: And today we learned that only 9% of those called for phone polls choose to respond and they pollsters haven't even taken into account who those 9% are. Some good examples of predictions that didn't happen recently are given in the midsection of this column.
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
JHSMom02, 10/2/2012 1:14:46 AM (No. 8903473)
I haven't received any calls from pollsters, but I guarantee, cher, that they will get a hang up in their ears.
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Reply 2 - Posted by:
Libraty, 10/2/2012 1:24:49 AM (No. 8903477)
"He (Obama) sounds like a newcomer running against an incumbent. He is the incumbent."
Obama is running against THE empty chair (Obama).
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Reply 3 - Posted by:
iamtinman, 10/2/2012 1:45:17 AM (No. 8903484)
My decision was made years ago and it was "anyone but Obama"! The polls mean nothing to me, I don't vote according to what other people think.
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Reply 4 - Posted by:
Th-Gr-Sil-Majority, 10/2/2012 3:01:15 AM (No. 8903507)
...good piece reminding us that the media is putting nothing but noise out there with a few bumps in the road on the way to victory in November with the manipulation they do with polls...
...it has amazed me that over recent months, in many of the "subject focused" polls, boy won-duh is getting whooped, yet we are led to believe he is going to pull it off...
...it may be best to stick your fingers in your ears and hummmmmmmm...(except for the debates...they should be fun)
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Reply 5 - Posted by:
Ladyhawke, 10/2/2012 3:04:18 AM (No. 8903510)
As a new Independent in CA, I have been polled. After declaring in one call that there was no way that I would not vote, the pollster hung up on me. Curious.
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Reply 6 - Posted by:
Robinsolana, 10/2/2012 3:07:35 AM (No. 8903511)
Like Obama, the mainstream media fundamentally do not care. For them both it is all about power and manipulation.
Since I do not want to be manipulated, I realize that I do not have time to answer polls.
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Reply 7 - Posted by:
Melody, 10/2/2012 5:26:41 AM (No. 8903558)
The article makes me want to rejoice that those with American rugged individualism, who now days are described as Tea Partyers, still have an edge in our country. On the other hand, it makes me want to cry that even those folks believe that they are the minority because they are continually told so. Its not just young people who are so susceptible to mob mentality. What a sad word ''sheeple'' is. Our country would never have become great is that's what our Founding Fathers were. It would have been, ''How low should we bow, King George?''
#4's name reminds us that the great silent majority must not be silent any longer. If ever there was a time to speak up, this is it.
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Reply 8 - Posted by:
uno, 10/2/2012 6:16:22 AM (No. 8903579)
Next: All about Presstitutes and Poll Dancers
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Reply 9 - Posted by:
navybrat, 10/2/2012 6:19:39 AM (No. 8903585)
I would love to get a call from a pollster.
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Reply 10 - Posted by:
srhcb, 10/2/2012 6:22:05 AM (No. 8903588)
"Who are these 9%?"
The IQ categories for Borderline and Extremely Low make up 8.9% of the population.
The other 0.1% must be very lonely persons with time to kill, or junior high school student pranksters.
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Reply 11 - Posted by:
Aunt Agnes, 10/2/2012 7:00:59 AM (No. 8903633)
I read that article about how few people answer the phone & talk to a a pollster. What really struck me is the fear some people have of answering questions to some unknown person on the other end of the line. It is true, that people are suspicious of who is asking the questions & if they get an answer they don't like - where does the information go? A lot of people remember what happened to Joe the Plumber, just for asking BO an unscripted question about taxes - no wonder people are reluctant to talk to pollsters. Recently, I've had two friends in my living room & we were discussing the current political situation. Both served in the military & both said at one point, "Maybe we should watch what we are saying - they might be listening to us!" That is a sad state of affairs when people are guarded about what they say in an innocent conversation. No - I am not at all surprised that people don't want to tell pollsters what they really think.
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Reply 12 - Posted by:
dadawg, 10/2/2012 7:35:19 AM (No. 8903673)
I wrote the author and thanked her, I needed that bad.
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Reply 13 - Posted by:
kanphil, 10/2/2012 7:59:06 AM (No. 8903720)
There was a time when I was being polled every week. I must have been on somebody's list. I was so annoyed that I started giving BS answers to all of them. Now, I seldom get a call. I have an idea that others have reacted the same way and are giving nonsense answers to pollers.
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Reply 14 - Posted by:
rockymtnhigh, 10/2/2012 9:33:36 AM (No. 8903911)
This time of the election cycle makes me want to get rid of my landline. It rings constantly, either a poll or recorded message. Click!
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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:53:58 PM
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We at Townhall have been covering this hotly contested Senate race for months and the results are finally in: With 36 percent of precincts reporting, Elizabeth Warren has been declared the next junior Senator from Massachusetts. Warren has never held public office before and the eye-popping $40 million she raised this election cycle evidently proved more than enough to unseat incumbent Senator Scott Brown. This was the most expensive Senate race of 2012 -- by a long shot.
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Republicans lose ground in bid to take over Senate
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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:36:34 PM
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Former Gov. Angus King, running as an independent, won the Senate contest Tuesday in Maine, NBC News projected, taking a seat that had been held by the Republicans. The loss further complicated the party's drive to take control of the Senate (Snip) Republican Ted Cruz defeated Democrat Paul Sadler to hold the open seat in Texas, succeeding retiring Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison, NBC News projected. See results Democrats held small edges in two of the other states critical to the balance of power in the Senate: In Massachusetts, where Elizabeth Warren, a law professor at Harvard University, was leading Republican
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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:23:34 PM
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CNN’s Peter Hamby reported that Mitt Romney‘s internal polling showed President Obama leading in Ohio by five percentage points.Per Hamby’s post: The number represented a sharp final bump for Obama in Ohio, a race that had essentially been a tied race through much of the previous week, according to the campaign’s daily tracking. The polling, which also showed a tight race in Pennsylvania, explains why Romney officials decided to send their candidate on last-minute Election Day visits to Cleveland and Pittsburgh.
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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:11:57 PM
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The Obama and Romney campaigns may be gearing up for a very late night, with one Obama campaign adviser predicting that in Florida alone, "they'll be counting until 2 a.m." The Obama adviser said signs suggest the race is quite tight, though the campaign claimed to be "holding strong" in key battlegrounds like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The adviser also said turnout among black voters in Virginia was better than expected, suggesting that could be a problem for Mitt Romney. Republican operatives in Virginia, though, predicted a razor-thin victory for their candidate in the state.
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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 9:02:23 PM
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Washington - Early returns on Tuesday in what is anticipated to be a dead even presidential election contained no surprises, as CNN projected President Barack Obama will win his home state of Illinois and eight other races while Republican challenger Mitt Romney will win nine states. All races called so far went as expected after the roller-coaster ride of an election campaign that was buffeted by a superstorm and missteps on both sides. Obama and Romney ran dead even in final polls that hinted at a result rivaling some of the closest presidential elections in history, reflecting the deep political
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Exit polls 2012: Hurricane Sandy not a factor
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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 8:48:28 PM
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A week after Hurricane Sandy slammed into the East Coast, a majority of voters said President Barack Obama’s response to the crisis wasn’t a factor in their vote, according to early exit polls. Fifty-five percent of those surveyed, per CBS News’ early exit polling released by radio station WKZO in Kalamazoo, Mich., said Obama’s handling of the storm was a minor factor in their vote or wasn’t a factor at all. Twenty-six percent named Sandy as an “important” factor, and 15 percent said it was the “most important” factor in their decision.
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Posted By: Photoonist- 11/6/2012 8:47:41 PM
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Mitt Romney is leading among independents in both Ohio and Virginia, early exit polls show. In Ohio, the former Massachusetts governor takes 56 percent of self-identified independents, compared with 40 percent for President Barack Obama. That’s a huge decrease for Obama from 2008, when the exit polls found him winning independents in Ohio by 12 points, 52 percent to 44 percent for John McCain. The numbers are similar but slightly tighter in Virginia: Romney takes 53 percent of independents there, according to ABC News exit polls, a 12-point lead over Obama. In 2008, Obama won independents in the state by
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WASHINGTON – The Internal Revenue Serviced scandal today spread further within the White House and closer to President Obama. White House spokesman Jay Carney today disclosed that Obama’s chief of staff, Dennis McDonough, and other top White House officials had advance warning that the IRS was targeting conservative groups. But he insisted McDonough and the other White House officials purposely kept Obama out of the loop.McDonough “rightly chose not to take action” to inform Obama, Carney told reporters at the daily White House briefing.
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WASHINGTON – A top IRS official in the division that reviews nonprofit groups will invoke the Fifth Amendment and refuse to answer questions before a House committee investigating the agency’s improper screening of conservative nonprofit groups. Lois Lerner, the head of the exempt organizations division of the IRS, won’t answer questions about what she knew about the improper screening – or why she didn’t reveal it to Congress, according to a letter from her defense lawyer, William W. Taylor 3rd. Lerner was scheduled to appear before the House Oversight committee Wednesday.
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The dam protecting the IRS scandal began to crack today when Lois Lerner, the IRS official who announced, and apologized for, the improper singling out of conservative-leaning organizations by IRS employees under her command, announced through her criminal defense lawyer that she will not testify as scheduled tomorrow before the House Oversight Committee. Rather, she will assert her Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination. This marks an enormous milestone in the IRS investigation. It can now be taken as more or less established that crimes were committed by Obama administration employees. Lerner’s lawyer tried to minimize the significance
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One of two men allegedly being questioned in connection with the Boston Marathon bombings was shot and killed by an FBI agent in Florida on Tuesday, (Snip)A friend of Ibragim Todashev said he and Todashev were being investigated as part of the Boston bombings. He said Todashev, 27, knew bombing suspect Tamerlan Tsarnaev because both were MMA fighters. The man claims he and Todashev were interviewed by the FBI for nearly three hours on Tuesday. The friend said he left the interview, and when he came back to the apartment he found that there had been a shooting.
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Former Democratic National committee chairman Howard Dean considers the controversy over Benghazi a “joke” and “silly.” “Benghazi is a laughable joke,” Dean proclaimed twice in a discussion with Republican National Committee communications chairman Sean Spicer last week. “With all due respect, governor, when four Americans die serving this country, that’s not a joke, sir,” Spicer responded. “Oh, stop it,” said Dean. The former Democratic presidential candidate also said that there were “no serious questions being asked about Benghazi” and brushed it off as an effort by Republicans to score political points.
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